Comparing Sunspot Equilibrium And Lottery Equilibrium Allocations: The Finite Case*

Sunspot equilibrium and lottery equilibrium are two stochastic solution concepts for nonstochastic economies. We compare these concepts in a class of completely finite, (possibly) nonconvex exchange economies with perfect markets, which requires extending the lottery model to the finite case. Every equilibrium allocation of our lottery model is also a sunspot equilibrium allocation. The converse is almost always true. There are exceptions, however: For some economies, there exist sunspot equilibrium allocations with no lottery equilibrium counterpart.     

Child malnutrition and school performance in China

Data on the height, weight, age and grade level of over 3,000 children in five quite different locations in China allow computation of how far behind in school each child is, relative to where he should be given his age, as well as of the nutritional status variables of height-for-age, weight-for-age and weight-for-height. This paper uses these data to estimate the impact of the nutritional variables on the available measure of school performance. Children tend to be about one grade further behind in rural areas than in the provincial capitals, and about one-half a grade further behind in the provincial capitals than in Beijing. Even after controlling for location, however, lower nutritional status (particularly height-for-age) was found to affect school performance adversely; a one standard deviation reduction in height-for-age, for example, would result in a child's being about one-third of a year further behind. Though results from a geographically limited sample should be generalized only with substantial caution, and alternative interpretations of the data are possible, it does appear likely that malnutrition in rural China remained sufficiently prevalent in 1979 to retard the school advancement of large numbers of children.     

Entry deterrence through credit denial

Firms in oligopoly can use debt to commit to a strategic position that negatively affects rival firms and improves profitability. In this paper, I show that an incumbent firm can deter entry by using debt to commit to such a low price that an entrant's lender will not finance entry, even if the entrant's expected profit from entry is positive. Empirical evidence shows that concentration and debt are positively related in several industries, indicating that debt may be used to reduce competition.     

The effects of ownership concentration and corporate debt on corporate divestitures in Chinese listed firms

This study examines how ownership concentration and corporate debt impact corporate divestitures in China. Corporate divestitures reduce the asset base of a company and the opportunity for expropriation by majority shareholders. In emerging economies, weak legal institutions, combined with equity ownership concentration and high corporate debt, allow majority shareholders to avoid such disciplines. Consequently, the relationship between these governance mechanisms and divestiture activity exhibits a pattern that is different from that in developed economies. Using archival data collected from 1,210 Chinese listed companies during 1999–2003, we found that ownership concentration by the largest shareholder depressed corporate divestitures both in state-controlled and in non-state-controlled firms. The negative effect of corporate debt on divestitures only existed for state-controlled firms. Our finding provides corroborating evidence for principal–principal conflicts in emerging economies. It suggests that corporate strategy in these countries can be better explained by taking into account the unique agency problems that are prevalent in these economies.     

The intraday liquidity management game

We use a game theoretical framework to analyze the intraday behavior of banks with respect to settlement of interbank claims in a real-time gross settlement setting. The game played by banks depends upon the intraday credit policy of the central bank and it encompasses two well-known game theoretical paradigms: the prisoner's dilemma and the stag hunt. The former arises in a collateralized credit regime where banks have an incentive to postpone payments when daylight liquidity is costly, an outcome that is socially inefficient. The latter arises in a priced credit regime where the postponement of payments can be socially efficient. Banks are risk neutral, but we show that most of the results are unaffected by risk aversion.     

Book Reviews

Miyohei Shinohara and Fu-Chen Lo (eds), Global Adjustment and the Future of Asian-Pacific Economy, Kuala Lumpur and Tokyo: Asian and Pacific Development Centre and Institute of Developing Economies, 1989, pp. 585 + xxi, npg.

Frank J. Costa, Ashok K. Dutt, Laurence J.C. Ma and Allen G. Noble, Urbanization in Asia: Spatial Dimensions and Policy Issues, Honolulu: University of Hawaii Press, 1989. US$44.

W. de Jong and F. van Steenbergen, Town and Hinterland in Central Java, Jogyakarta: Gadjah Mada University Press, 1987, pp. 250 + iv. Paper: Rp 7,000.

Bruce Mckern and Praipol Koomsup (eds), The Minerals Industries of Asean and Australia: Problems and Prospects, Sydney: Allen and Unwin, 1987, pp. 378 + xviii. Paper: $29.95.

Bruce Mckern and Praipol Koomsup (eds), Minerals Processing in the Industrialisation of Asean and Australia, Sydney: Allen and Unwin, 1988, pp. 388 + xvii. Paper: $29.95.

Mohamed Ariff and Tan Loong-Hoe (eds), The Uruguay Round: Asean Trade Policy Options, Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1988, pp. 211 + xvi.

William R. Cline, The Future of World Trade in Textiles and Apparel, Institute for International Economics, Washington, 1987, pp. 325 + xiv. US$20.

Peter Drysdale, International Economic Pluralism: Economic Policy in East Asia and the Pacific, Sydney: Allen and Unwin, 1988, pp. 294. Paper $20; Cloth: $30.

Helen Hughes (ed.), Achieving Industrialization in East Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988, pp. 377 + xviii. $59.50.

BRIEFLY NOTED: J. C. Conroy, Shelter for the Homeless: Asian-Pacific Needs and Australian Responses, Canberra: Australian Council for Overseas Aid Development Dossier No 22,1987, pp. 141 + vi.     

Destination management plans – a new approach to managing destinations in England: evidence from Milton Keynes

Within a new political and economic context, Destination Management Organizations (DMOs) across England are expected to facilitate a more holistic and inclusive approach to destination management and provide core leadership functions, rather than being solely responsible for the marketing and development of destinations. Destination Management Plans (DMPs) are an expression of a government-mandated, current policy-driven approach to guiding the work of private-led DMOs. These DMOs are being challenged to achieve a more sustainable level of performance in times of decreasing state funding. Building on the scarce literature surrounding this new approach to managing destinations, this paper looks into how an emerging destination has approached the development of such a plan in practice. The paper examines the case of Milton Keynes and its local destination management structure, the collaborative approach to policy development and the resultant DMP. The paper concludes by discussing the importance of the key aims of the plan and their relevance to comparable emerging destinations, which are developing DMPs.