在我国利率市场化改革中金融约束思想的运用

利率市场化是指由资金市场的供求关系来决定利率水平，政府放弃对利率的直接行政干预，作为一项宏观金融制度的变迁，必然会引起社会经济结构的重新整合和不同利益集团的利益重构，在带来巨大收益的同时，也具有极大的社会成本。根据经济人假设，利率市场化能否进行，主要取决于现行利率体制与改革后市场化利率体制之间收益与成本的差额比较。假定R1、C1、R2、C2分别代表现行利率体制与改革后市场化利率体制的收益和成本，则利率市场化能否进行的必要条件是（R2—C2）—（R1—C1）〉0，即利率市场化后的纯收益优于非利率市场化的纯收益。     

论虚拟企业核心竞争力的培育

近年来,随着信息技术、网络及通讯技术的高速发展,企业面临前所未有的变革与挑战。要想在激烈的市场竞争中立于不败之地,就必须建立高度灵活、富有弹性的动态组织形式,以适应变革时代的需求。虚拟企业的出现,为经济发展提供了全新的拓展空间。因此有人称之为“正酝酿着的一次新     

论业余训练中长跑项目的选材

科学选材是创造世界高水平运动成绩的重要因素之一，为保证运动员获得优异运动成绩、延长运动寿命，教练员必须重视科学选材。     

改进利润计量管理的战略性思考

现行会计利润计量只关注短期忽视长期,不能适应战略管理的现实需要,必须以企业价值增长理论为指导,拓展会计计量利润的空间及目标。利润战略管理的基本内容包括构筑利润导向型经营策略体系、培育企业利润心理和建立有效保护企业利润的战略控制体系。文章认为,销售利润率、预期利润增长率、资产效率、战略控制指数、市值收益比率这5个指标的复合计量,可以作为会计对战略转移利润进行核算的一种尝试。最后,作者借鉴国际权威咨询公司的成果对各类企业如何立足自身客观条件逐步实现价值增长提出了具体的策略思路。     

DEFAULT RISK AND DIVERSIFICATION: THEORY AND EMPIRICAL IMPLICATIONS

Recent advances in the theory of credit risk allow the use of standard term structure machinery for default risk modeling and estimation. The empirical literature in this area often interprets the drift adjustments of the default intensity's diffusion state variables as the only default risk premium. We show that this interpretation implies a restriction on the form of possible default risk premia, which can be justified through exact and approximate notions of "diversifiable default risk." The equivalence between the empirical and martingale default intensities that follows from diversifiable default risk greatly facilitates the pricing and management of credit risk. We emphasize that this is not an equivalence in distribution, and illustrate its importance using credit spread dynamics estimated in Duffee (1999) . We also argue that the assumption of diversifiability is implicitly used in certain existing models of mortgage-backed securities.     

Some economics of content protection

We are grateful to a perceptive referee for many constructive comments on an earlier version of this paper entitled The Economics of Content Protection: A Dual Approach. The usual disclaimer applies.     

A development model of developing economies with capital and knowledge accumulation

This study suggests a model of economic development which treats knowledge accumulation as an endogenous variable. It examines possible dynamic processes in an economic system which accumulates knowledge from developed nations. We describe the dynamics of the system by the interactions of three variables—economic conditions, level of knowledge, and openness. The introduction of openness as an important endogenous variable is due to the fact that the development model considered here is primarily concerned with the economic dynamics of the People's Republic of China. We are especially interested in nonlinear phenomena such as catastrophes and limit cycles. We show that small shifts in political policies may result in great social structural changes.The author is very grateful to two anonymous referees for important comments and to an anonymous referee for linguistic help.     

发展农业电子商务实现农业信息化

农业电子商务,作为先进的生产力,其潜在优势是不可忽略的。针对我国农业发展过程中面临的突出问题,提出农业电子商务是促进农业发展的强大推动力和客观需要。并研究了当前加快农业产业信息化进程中存在的困难并探讨了相应的解决策略。     

关于证券市场投资者风险偏好的实证研究

根据显现偏好理论,投资者的投资行为显现了其内在的风险偏好。在本文中,采用均衡分析方法,以中国证券市场中的指数序列为样本,综合期望收益、方差,自相关系数等统计量,准确反映证券组合的投资价值,揭示市场中投资者作为一个整体所具有的风险偏好和投资组合无差异曲线的形式。     

On efficiency of the ratio estimator

Summary The exact mean square error for the ratio estimator of a finite population total based on simple random sampling without replacement is shown to have an expected value less than that of the variance of the ratio estimator based on Midzuno’s scheme, under a usual super-population model.