Risikomanagement in Schaden-/Unfall-Versicherungsunternehmen

Seit Inkrafttreten des KonTraG im Mai 1998 sind Versicherungsunternehmen gesetzlich zur Einführung eines Risikofrüherkennungssystems verpflichtet. Es existieren bisher keine genauen gesetzlichen Vorgaben für die inhaltliche Ausgestaltung dieses Systems. Ziel dieses Artikels ist es zum einen, einen überblick über die verschiedenen Ausgestaltungsvarianten von Risikofrüherkennungssystemen in der Versicherungspraxis zu geben. Grundlage hierfür bildet eine Umfrage unter 229 deutschen Schaden-/Unfall-Versicherungsunternehmen im Herbst 2000. Zum anderen werden theoretische Ansatzpunkte für eine Integration von Risikomanagementsystemen in die Unternehmensführung anhand der betrieblichen Teilsysteme Planung, Organisation, Personalführung, Informationssystem, Kontrolle und Controlling aufgezeigt.     

Speed of Issuance,Lender Specialization,and the Rise of the 144A Debt Market

Using a large sample of convertible and straight debt issues in the public, 144A, and bank loan markets from 1991 to 2004, we find that the 144A market has risen largely at the expense of the nonshelf public market, the overwhelming majority of the 144A issues are subsequently registered, and straight debt issuers with the highest credit quality and transparency tend to use the shelf public market. Our findings suggest that firms’ preference for speed of issuance drives the growth of the 144A market, and banks and qualified institutional buyers have advantages over public lenders in handling credit risk and information asymmetry.     

This is what the leading indicators lead

We propose an optimal filter to transform the Conference Board Composite Leading Index (CLI) into recession probabilities in the US economy. We also analyse the CLI's accuracy at anticipating US output growth. We compare the predictive performance of linear, VAR extensions of smooth transition regression and switching regimes, probit, non‐parametric models and conclude that a combination of the switching regimes and non‐parametric forecasts is the best strategy at predicting both the NBER business cycle schedule and GDP growth. This confirms the usefulness of CLI, even in a real‐time analysis. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Linking Exploration with Exploitation through Relationship Memory*

Companies that are able to help clients make better decisions and enhance their business capabilities to flourish. However, there is often poor rapport between operating personnel who are in touch with end customers and executive personnel who make decisions. Through exploration and exploitation processes, new ideas and actions flow from the individual (i.e., operating personnel) to the organization (i.e., the rest of individuals and groups that form part of the organization). This paper examines the relative importance and significance of “the relationship memory” as a bridge between “exploration” and “exploitation” processes and its effects on the creation of “customer capital” through an empirical investigation of 139 small to medium‐sized enterprises in the Spanish optometry sector using structural equation modeling validated by factor analysis.     

Securitization and regulatory arbitrage within the ABCT framework

This paper discusses the consequences of securitization and how it links to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT). The argument that securitization is behind fiduciary credit expansion preceding the 2008 crisis is incomplete. Consolidated balance sheet analysis demonstrates that securitization per se actually sterilizes the inflationary effect of previous fiduciary credits by transforming them into credits backed by voluntary savings. This sterilization stage is subsequently followed by new fiduciary credits issuance as securitization creates excess reserves and excess capital for banks. However, when securitization is used as a tool to implement arbitrage strategies of the Basel prudential rules, it enables banks to create more fiduciary credit while time preference remains unchanged. This creates the conditions for business cycle amplification.     

Debtor-in-possession financing

Several recent papers have documented the benefits of debtor-in-possession (DIP) financing in the restructuring of firms in Chapter 11. However, the view on benefits is not unanimous and some legal scholars have raised doubts about DIP financing's effects on debt-holders and the possibility of expropriative wealth transfers. In this paper we address this issue by analyzing both stock and bond price data for a comprehensive sample of DIP loans and find significant positive abnormal stock and bond returns at the announcement of DIP loans. Also, we do not find evidence of wealth transfers from junior to senior debt-holders. Further, we examine the DIP loan process in detail and we document important institutional features of DIP loans such as maturity, covenants, fees and interest charges. We find evidence of intense monitoring using covenants. We also find higher fees and charges associated with DIP loans. We argue that overall the results are consistent with the information processing role of financial intermediaries.     

WITHDRAWN SPIN‐OFFS: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS

We examine market reaction to corporate spin‐offs that are eventually withdrawn. These spin‐offs do not experience the significant positive share price response reported for spin‐offs generally. The overall market reaction to both the initial spin‐off announcement and the withdrawal announcement is not significant. When a reason is provided for withdrawing a spin‐off, there is a significant positive market reaction; otherwise, there is a significant negative reaction. Firms that withdraw a spin‐off without stating a reason experience significant deterioration in industry‐adjusted operating performance in the three years following the withdrawal. These results indicate the market can anticipate the viability of withdrawn spin‐offs at the time of the initial announcement. JEL classification: G34