The extensive margin and monetary policy

The creation of new firms, referred to as the extensive margin, is a significant but overlooked dimension of monetary policy. A monetary VAR documents that monetary policy has significant effects on firm creation. An analytically tractable model combining sticky prices and firm entry shows that entry alters the transmission of monetary policy innovations, acting much like a type of investment in more standard models. Monetary policy rules that offset the uncertainty of productivity shocks can raise the mean level of entry and thereby welfare, suggesting a new motivation for stabilization policy.     

Money as an Institution of Capitalism: Some Notes on a Monetary Theory of Uncertainty

Dillard notes that to consider money as an institution of capitalism means to emphasize that money is an essential element in explaining fluctuations in income and employment. He states that Keynes's liquidity preference theory offers a sound explanation of money as an institution of capitalism. Keynes's explanation is based on a necessary condition, independent of money: the presence of uncertainty. The objective of the paper is to elaborate a different explanation of the role of money, based on Keynes's 1933 and 1937–39 works, according to which the presence of money constitutes the necessary condition to justify the importance of uncertainty.     

Budget Deficits and Exchange-Rate Crises

This paper investigates currency crises in an optimizing general equilibrium model with overlapping generations. It is shown that a rise in government budget deficits financed by future taxes generates a decumulation of external assets, leading up to a speculative attack and forcing the monetary authorities to abandon the peg.     

Government deficits, consumption, and the price level

This paper investigates the dynamics of the price level in a continuous time monetary version of the Yaari-Blanchard overlapping generations model with capital accumulation. It is shown that there is an interaction between fiscal discipline and price stability when the government budget is intertemporally balanced. Relevant implications are that high debt and slow adjustment adversely affect both prices and capital accumulation. Received: April 2005, Accepted: November 2005 We are very grateful to Paulo Brito, the editor, and to an anonymous referee for helpful comments. We also thank seminar participants at the University of Rome for useful discussions. Financial support from MIUR is gratefully acknowledged. The usual disclaimer applies.     

Politically Motivated Fiscal Deficits: Policy Issues in Closed and Open Economies

In this paper we reconsider the trade-off between rules and discretion in fiscal policy in the presence of politically motivated fiscal deficits. We present a model of political bias in the budget process appropriately developed to allow for tax-smoothing-motivated deficits as well as for the consideration of deficit biases in open economies. We find that endowing politically-biased governments with the ability to respond to economic shocks with deficit finance will not exacerbate the existing biases. In an open economy, the ability to borrow abroad will significantly increase the deficit. However, restrictions to public foreign borrowing will not reduce the political bias as long as the private sector has access to international capital markets at the same terms as the government.     

Sraffa's path to Production of Commodities by Means of Commodities. An interpretation

The present article provides a reconstruction of the path followedby Sraffa in the long journey (begun in the late 1920s) whichbrought him to his 1960 book. The starting point of Sraffa'sresearch was the formulation of his cost-price equations, whichsurprisingly enough appear to have been derived neither fromRicardo's theory of value, nor from Marx's ‘transformationof values into prices of production’, but rather fromMarx's reproduction schemes, published in volume II of Capital,to which Sraffa was almost certainly brought by his study ofMarx's interpretation of Physiocratic theory in volume I ofTheories of Surplus Value. The main device that Sraffa usedin his attempts to bring to light the existence of solutionsto his system and their properties, which basically meant buildinga consistent wage–profit–price relationship, wasthat of somehow cutting out the prices from this relationship.The paper shows that different routes were attempted by Sraffato achieve this end, and that the main influences on these attemptswere Ricardo and Marx, in particular Ricardo's corn-ratio theoryof profits, and the related conception of a maximum rate ofprofits. In the course of his research, Sraffa was helped bysome distinguished mathematicians, in particular Frank P. Ramseyand Abram S. Besicovitch. Of Ramsey's contribution there areimportant traces, but no more than traces, while ample recordsremain of the relationship between Sraffa and Besicovitch, andthey will play an important part in the story told in this paper.     

International dimensions of optimal monetary policy

This paper provides a baseline general equilibrium model of optimal monetary policy among interdependent economies with monopolistic firms and nominal rigidities. An inward-looking policy of domestic price stabilization is not optimal when firms’ markups are exposed to currency fluctuations. Such a policy raises exchange rate volatility, leading foreign exporters to charge higher prices vis-à-vis increased uncertainty in the export market. As higher import prices reduce the purchasing power of domestic consumers, optimal monetary rules trade off a larger domestic output gap against lower consumer prices. Optimal rules in a world Nash equilibrium lead to less exchange rate volatility relative to both inward-looking rules and discretionary policies, even when the latter do not suffer from any inflationary (or deflationary) bias. Gains from international monetary cooperation are related in a non-monotonic way to the degree of exchange rate pass-through.     

On the monetary nature of the interest rate in a Keynes–Schumpeter perspective

Abstract

Keynes, in the General Theory, explains the monetary nature of the interest rate by means of the liquidity preference theory. The objective of this article is twofold. The first objective is to point out the limits of the liquidity preference theory. The fundamental limitation of this theory is that it does not allow to realize the intent declared by Keynes in 1933 to elaborate a monetary theory of production The second objective is to present a more solid theory of the monetary nature of the interest rate. It will be shown that an essential element of this explanation is Schumpeter’s analysis of the role of bank money in a capitalist economy. In fact, this analysis represents a fundamental tool to explain the characteristics that, according to Keynes, distinguish a monetary economy from a real-exchange economy     

The Euro Crisis in the Mirror of the EMS: How Tying Odysseus to the Mast Avoided the Sirens but Led Him to Charybdis

Open Economies Review - Why was recovery from the euro area crisis delayed for a decade? The explanation lies in the absence of credible and timely policies to backstop financial intermediaries and...