资本市场支持战略性新兴产业政策设计

培育和发展战略性新兴产业已成为我国经济社会发展的重要战略任务,而作为金融市场重要组成部分的资本市场,在战略性新兴产业演进过程中具有重要的支持作用.本文以产业生命周期理论为切入点,在分析资本市场支持战略性新兴产业演进过程的基础上,探讨了资本市场支持战略性新兴产业演进的机理性框架,并进一步提出了资本市场支持战略性新兴产业培育、发展与升级的政策建议.     

Corporate Governance and Corporate Bond Liquidity

Using a unique dataset of corporate bond trading information and corporate governance evaluation scores, this study examines the determinants of corporate bond market liquidity in Korea. In particular, this study explores whether corporate governance performance of a company influences liquidity of bonds issued by the company. The paper reports three important findings. First, the issue size and age of bond are important determinants of bond liquidity. Second, liquidity of corporate bonds is influenced by changes in macroeconomic conditions. Third, and most importantly, better corporate governance increases liquidity of corporate bonds. This result suggests that corporate governance is an important determinant of bond liquidity, as it lowers transaction costs by improving transparency and reducing asymmetry of information. This paper contributes to the literature by providing new evidence that corporate governance performance is an important determinant of liquidity in corporate bond markets.     

Some Reflections on U.S. Treaty Commitments

Abstract

The world oil price has risen significantly since the late 1990s and reached a record high in 2008. The recent oil price hike raises concerns regarding the possible negative effects of the rising oil price on the economy as in the 1970s. We investigate the effects of the oil price hike on the Korean economy using a Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DGSE) model. We explicitly model the small open economy nature of the Korean economy and its oil usage and estimate the constructed model within a unified Bayesian framework. We also examine possible changes in the effects of world oil shocks on the Korean economy using counterfactual simulations. We find the adverse effects of world oil shocks as well as their importance in Korean business cycles have diminished due to reductions in the relative usage of crude oil in the economy, while world oil shocks themselves have changed relatively little over time.     

The Rising Supply of College Graduates and Declining Returns for Young Cohort: The Case of Korea

Abstract

This study analysed the effect of an increase in the supply of youth college graduates, in terms of the return on education. The rate of return on education in Korea substantially dropped from 1983 to 1994. Since then, however, the declining trend of the rate of return on education stopped and turned upward. The rate of return has declined especially for college graduates, and such a decline has been most prominent for young cohorts, among college graduates, since 1987. The observed trend of the rate of return appears to be related to the sharp increase of labour supply of college graduates since the mid 1980s.

The elasticity of substitution between education levels and age groups was estimated in this study, using a generalized demand-supply model. The effects of relative supply of college graduates (as a whole and by age) on the relative wages of college graduates by age were analysed under the assumption of constant skill-biased technological change. As it turned out, the relative college graduates’ labour supply of each age group had large bearings upon relative wages of each corresponding group, while the relative labour supply of all college graduates did not. It implies that labour is an imperfect substitute, not only between education levels but also between age groups.

Thus, as youth college graduates’ supply increases, there needs to be a corresponding demand increase for them, to avoid the drop in the wage or employment level for them. Therefore, to tackle with the issues of youth labour market, such as youth unemployment, separate policies targeting the youth group are called for.     

Confucian Controversy over Westernization in China: An Exposition and Criticism

The semiconductor industry in Taiwan has successfully developed over the past 20 years. The development of the industry can be featured by a spiral‐type industrial policy deployment of the state with special emphasis on R&;D and human resource development at public institutes and mobilization and organization of overseas human resources. All in all, the role played by the state has not been market‐intervention but the coordination of various systems functioning in the private sector.     

我国农村劳动力流动均衡状态重建的H-T模型研究——基于咸阳市丰王村的实证分析

文章构造了农村劳动力流动均衡状态重建的H-T模型,并应用计量方法对农民由农业生产转向非农业生产的影响因素进行了定量测度。实证研究结果表明,提高农户资金可获得性、改善农村信息来源条件、增强教育的针对性,有利于拓宽非农业就业渠道,实现农村劳动力流动均衡的重建。     

区域文化产业品牌构建研究——以广东梅州为例

随着文化产业竞争的加剧,实施品牌战略成为区域发展文化产业、提高产业竞争力的必然选择。区域文化产业品牌的塑造需要特色文化资源、企业为主体的市场化运作机制、有效的商业模式及政府的宏观引导等要素条件。文章以客家文化名城梅州为例,通过个案的解析为我国地域文化产业品牌化发展提供参考。     

深圳股票市场的羊群行为及其演化——基于一个改进的CCK模型

基于股票市场上升和下降的非对称性以及ARCH效应,提出检验羊群行为的新模型——AAE-CCK模型。对深圳成份股周收益率数据羊群行为的静态分析表明,相对于CCK、E-CCK和A-CCK模型而言,AAE-CCK模型有较好的检验效果和稳健性。不同样本区间数据的检验表明,2007年前后深圳成份股的羊群行为比较显著。对深圳成份股日收益率数据的动态研究显示,深证股票市场一直存在着羊群现象,并且呈逐渐减弱的趋势。深证股市下跌时的羊群行为始终强于股市上涨时的羊群行为。这种羊群行为非对称性特征的发现,不仅弥补了Tan et al.(2008)对深圳股市羊群行为研究的不足,而且很好地解释了股票市场的"慢涨快跌"现象。