Regionlisation and Tourism: The Indonesia-Malaysia-Singapore Growth Triangle

The paper considers growth triangles as a vehicle for regional development in general, and tourism development in particular, using the example of the Indonesia-Malaysia- Singapore Growth Triangle (IMS GT). The concept of growth triangles is explained within the context of regionalisation and the role of tourism is highlighted, followed by a discussion of the case selected and progress achieved to date. The analysis reveals that the potential of the IMS GT in tourism terms has yet to be realised, with practical difficulties and political uncertainties inhibiting progress. Growth triangles thus appear a viable option for governments to adopt in pursuit of certain broad economic objectives, but there are several constraints in operation and difficulties to overcome in terms of their contribution to tourism. Problems include ensuring the support of public and private sectors, the maintenance of good relations amongst participating states, the effect of instability, and securing cooperation amongst countries and institutions which are more accustomed to competition as tourist destinations.     

Polarization of the worldwide distribution of productivity

We employ data envelopment analysis (DEA) methods to construct the world production frontier, which is in turn used to decompose (labor) productivity growth into components attributable to technological change (shift of the production frontier), efficiency change (movements toward or away from the frontier), physical capital deepening, and human capital accumulation over the 1965–2007 period. Using this decomposition, we provide new findings on the causes of polarization (the emergence of bimodality) and divergence (increased variance) of the world productivity distribution. First, unlike earlier studies, we find that efficiency change is the unique driver of the emergence of a second (higher) mode. Second, while earlier studies attributed the overall change in the distribution exclusively to physical capital accumulation, we find that technological change and human capital accumulation are also significant factors explaining this change in the distribution (most notably the emergence of a long right-hand tail). Robustness exercises indicate that these revisions of earlier findings are attributable to the addition of (more recent) years and a much greater number of countries included in our sample. We also check to see whether our results are changed by a correction for the downward bias in the DEA construction of the frontier, concluding that these corrections affect none of our major findings (essentially because the level correction roughly washes out in changes.)     

Perpetual American options in incomplete markets: the infinitely divisible case

We consider the exercise of a number of American options in an incomplete market. In this paper we are interested in the case where the options are infinitely divisible. We make the simplifying assumptions that the options have infinite maturity, and the holder has exponential utility. Our contribution is to solve this problem explicitly and we show that, except at the initial time when it may be advantageous to exercise a positive fraction of his holdings, it is never optimal for the holder to exercise a tranche of options. Instead, the process of option exercises is continuous; however, it is singular with respect to calendar time. Exercise takes place when the stock price reaches a convex boundary which we identify.     

How long must a firm be great to rule out chance? Benchmarking sustained superior performance without being fooled by randomness

Although sustained superior firm performance may arise from skillful management or other valuable, rare, and inimitable resources, it can also result from randomness. Studying U.S. companies from 1965–2008, we benchmark how long a firm must perform at a high level to be confident that it is something other than the outcome of a time‐homogeneous stationary Markov chain defined on the state space of percentiles. We find (a) the number of sustained superior performers in Compustat, measured by ROA and Tobin's q, exceeds the number of false positives we would expect to be generated by such a process; yet (b) the occurrence of false positives is often enough to fool many observers, so (c) the identification of sustained superior performers requires particularly stringent benchmarks to enable valid study. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The Commodification of Race in Singapore: The Customer Service Implications of the Other-Race Effect on Tourism and Retailing

This paper examines the phenomenon known as the other-race effect, which is the ability to recognize the faces of those of one race, easier than the faces of those from another race. Typically, the race that is easier to recognize is the individual's own race, and most previous research has focused on this type of comparison. This study, though, analyzes the ability of Chinese Singaporeans to recognize the faces of people of color versus White faces in a customer service context, and compares those results with the ability of White subjects in the United States to recognize the same faces. This approach is particularly applicable to the Asia Pacific region. Tourism accounts for a significant part of the regional economies, and marketers are becoming more sensitive to the changing needs of the multicultural marketplace where inter-racial interactions between customers and service providers in retailing and tourism are on the rise. Results of the research indicate evidence of the other-race effect. Asians who were more exposed to people of color than to Whites, recognized Black faces better than White faces. The results are interpreted based on the theoretical premise that people are better at recognizing faces of races for which there is a higher level of interaction, exposure, and familiarity.     

EXAMINING MERGER SYNERGY WITH THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL

This paper analyzes the impact of mergers on the alphas and betas of actual merged firms compared to those of the homemade mergers an investor could have created by buying proportional shares of the two firms. The results provide some evidence of merger synergy. Where alpha and beta shifts were observed, the evidence did not indicate that either the relative size of target firms or concurrent capital structure changes were related to these shifts as current theory suggests. There is weak evidence that nonconglomerate mergers were more frequently synergistic.