Prospects for the international oil market

The OPEC price conference in Geneva on May 25–26, 1981 did not resolve the disagreement among OPEC member countries over official prices. As a result of this stalemate, Saudi Arabia with its intention to moderate prices will in the foreseeable future probably not be prepared to make substantial reductions in its high volume of production with which it puts pressure on prices. What short- and medium-term perspectives for the international oil market arise from this situation?     

Wirtschaftspolitische Beratung unter Wertabstinenz

Ohne ZusammenfassungDer Gedankengang dieses Aufsatzes wurde vom Verfasser Ende 1965 vor dem Post-Doctoral Research Seminar von Prof. W. Isard (University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia) zum ersten Mal vorgetragen. Mit den dort angeregten Änderungen wurde das Manuskript in vorläufiger Form veröffentlicht unter: H. Zimmermann: The Treatment of Imprecise Goals: The Case of Regional Science, Preliminary Draft, Regional Science Research Institute Discussion Paper Series, No. 9, Philadelphia 1966. Für die kritische Durchsicht dieses Artikels dankt der Verfasser insbesondere den Professoren H. Albert, G. Colm, R. A. Gakenheimer, K. H. Hansmeyer und G. Schmölders sowie seinem Kollegen Dr. G. Engelhardt. Eine der wichtigsten Anregungen bestand darin, den Anwendungsbereich vom speziellen Gegenstand der Regionalpolitik auf den allgemeinen Beratungsfall auszudehnen. Die Weiterführung des regionalpolitischen Aspekts, insbesondere der Zieldiskussion (s. u., §§ 2 und 3), findet sich in: H. Zimmermann: Öffentliche Ausgaben und regionale Wirtschaftsentwicklung, Veröffentlichungen Veröffentlichungen der List Gesellschaft, erscheint in Kürze.     

Einzelbesprechungen

Ohne Zusammenfassung     

Campaign dynamics of cognitive accessibility of political judgments: measuring the impact of campaigns and campaign events using response latencies in two German rolling cross section studies

Do campaigns matter? Based on two rolling cross-section computer-assisted telephone surveys conducted in the run-up to the 2009 and 2013 German Federal Election, we test whether we can detect campaign effects on the accessibility of voters’ judgments: how do response latencies of political judgments evolve over the course of campaigns? The study uses response latencies, i.e. the standardized time it takes respondents to answer a survey question, as a proxy measurement of cognitive accessibility of political judgments. If campaigns do help voters to make up their minds, we should be able to observe changes at the implicit level of response latencies. Do people answer questions about their voting behavior and political attitudes faster as Election Day comes closer? Our results suggest that attitudes towards candidates and voting intentions become more cognitively accessible during campaigns whereas the accessibility of party identification is conditional on the contextual features of campaigns. In addition we find specific short-term effects of TV debates.