Four themes in fertility research

This study is concerned with four main themes that have been combined to describe U.S. fertility trends since 1920. These themes are identified as a time adjustment mechanism, income, the wife's labor force activities, and some intergenerational factor. "In order to obtain an unambiguous picture each theme will be represented by only one variable. After selecting the variables and estimating a model, an examination of the changing role these variables have had in explaining changes in fertility (the total fertility rate) throughout much of this century will be made. Finally, the implications these themes have for future fertility will be examined." The authors conclude that "in interpreting historical U.S. fertility rates, the results seem to indicate that much of the early decline in U.S. fertility was due to falling infant mortality. After the Second World War, fertility rose sharply as the age-structure variable declined and income rose. Eventually both women's labor force participation rates and the age-structure variable rose and, consequently, fertility fell." They also suggest that the age structure variable may cause a temporary upward swing in fertility in the near future.     

The emergence of migration theory and a suggested new direction

Abstract. The literature on internal labour migration is surveyed using a fourfold taxonomic scheme. The potential migrant, as presented in the existing literature, can be viewed as a supplier of labour, an investor in human capital and a consumer of regional amenities such as public goods. The paper develops a fourth approach which treats the household, rather than the individual, as the migrating unit and which views the potential migrant as a producer of home produced commodities. The continuities as well as the contrasts between the four approaches are discussed in the paper.     

Additional Information in Accounting Reports: Effects on Management Decisions and Subjective Performance Evaluations Under Causal Ambiguity

Organizations have often been criticized for reliance on a single item of accounting information (e.g., profit) in evaluating performance, because of its incompleteness. We provide theory‐based experimental evidence that under frequently occurring performance‐evaluation conditions (subjective performance evaluation, causal ambiguity, and individual differences in cognitive ability, knowledge, and/or motivation that lead to different interpretations of information), reliance on a single item of accounting information (profit), rather than profit plus additional (e.g., nonfinancial or external) information, can provide two potential benefits which offset the costs of information incompleteness. First, subordinates are more likely to make the management decisions that superiors will evaluate and reward highly—that is, there are fewer coordination failures in management decisions. Second, even after controlling for the presence or absence of coordination failures, subordinates experience less negative surprise about their performance evaluations.     

Regional Asymmetries in the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Prices: Evidence from US Cities*

Variations in real exchange rates across US cities are smaller than corresponding international variations, but nevertheless substantial. We find that a proportion of these variations can be explained by asymmetric responses to federal monetary policy shocks, and that a large part of the asymmetry can be explained by city‐specific economic characteristics including the composition of local industry, bank size, house prices and the age distribution of the population.     

A comparison of partitioned survival analysis and state transition multi-state modelling approaches using a case study in oncology

Abstract

Aims

To construct and compare a partitioned-survival analysis (PartSA) and a semi-Markov multi-state model (MSM) to investigate differences in estimated cost effectiveness of a novel cancer treatment from a UK perspective.     

AUDITOR CHANGE ANNOUNCEMENTS AND DISPERSION OF INVESTOR EXPECTATIONS

The effect of auditor change announcements on the dispersion of investor expectations is investigated by using two approaches. First, the consensus effect (Holthausen and Verrecchia, 1990) is measured by examining unanticipated trading volume change. We show that auditor change announcements provide information to the market, and that the consensus effect dominates the informedness effect. Second, the reduction in information asymmetry (Glosten and Milgrom, 1985) due to auditor change announcements is demonstrated by a reduction in proportional bid-ask spread, which is not driven by increased trading volume. Thus, auditor change announcements reduce dispersion of investor beliefs in that they are both information asymmetry-reducing and consensus-increasing. Finally, we show that the type of auditor change (Big-Eight to Non-Big-Eight, Non-Big-Eight to Big-Eight, or Within-Class) has no impact on the dispersion-reducing effect of auditor change announcements.     

What governs directors’ monitoring behavior in China? The influence of director social identification,learning goal orientation,and avoidance orientation

Drawing together literature on corporate governance, organizational behavior, and educational psychology, and using survey data from a sample of 300 Chinese company directors, this study examines the mediating role of director learning goal orientation in linking two widely-acknowledged director social identifications (identification with the organization and identification with executive-agents) and a key director task behavior, namely the monitoring of executive-agents. We also investigate the moderating role of director avoidance orientation in influencing this mediation since a predisposition to avoid loss of “face” is widely posited as having particular relevance in the Chinese context. Results show, first, that directors with stronger organizational identification monitor executive-agents more diligently than those with stronger executive-agent identification. Second, we find that while learning goal orientation mediates the positive effects of both organizational identification and executive-agent identification on monitoring, the mediated indirect effect of organizational identification on monitoring is stronger than the mediated indirect effect of executive-agent identification on monitoring. Third, results show that the indirect effects are stronger when director avoidance orientation is low. These findings underscore the importance of director social identification and learning goal orientation in inducing director monitoring in the Chinese context, as well as the worth of selecting directors who exhibit a low disposition to avoidance.