Long-term contracts,expectations and wage inertia

This paper develops a macro model of contractual wage setting that is used to test the importance that increased contract length has in generating wage inertia. Using an errors-in-variables format to isolate the effect of price and productivity shocks, it is shown that the sensitivity of union wages to unanticipated disturbances would increase by only a small amount in the absence of long-term, three-year, labor contracts. Our results suggest that formal contracts are not a major source of nominal wage rigidity and the price surprises play a relatively small role in generating business cycles.     

Valuation of controlling shares in closely held banks

This paper investigated factors that affect the valuation of controlling shares of closely held bank stocks. With regard to traditional financial factors, earnings and growth variables proved to be important. In addition, the prior ownership position of the buyer was important in pricing the stock. Other non-traditional valuation factors were investigated with only limited success. The statistical work was enhanced by a robust regression technique.