城市地铁系统发展规模与建设时机研究

利用全世界各地地铁系统发展相对完善的城市特征数据进行关联分析,论证城市地铁系统合理建设规模;利用国内已开通运营地铁城市特征数据构建规格化分析指标,判断地铁系统适宜的建设时机.研究结果表明:城市地铁系统发展规模与城市人口规模呈现正相关关系,但人均拥有地铁里程与线网客流强度呈现负相关关系;地铁系统建设时机则与市区常住人口数、人均GDP、一般公共预算收入、建成区人口密度等高度相关.     

强制减排和碳偏好影响下的制造商产能决策

为了研究在政府给定碳排放总量的约束下,面临随机需求的制造商的产能决策问题,在改进报童模型的基础上,比较了碳排放总量约束前后的制造商最优产量和单位产品减排量的变化,发现了排放总量约束使得最优产量减少。然后,在市场减排努力函数拉动需求的前提下,给出了制造商的最优产量和单位产品减排量之间的关系式,并且证明了减排努力函数可以是任意线性函数或者非线性的凹函数。最后通过算例分析印证了结论。     

Unemployment as an Adverse Trigger Event for Mortgage Default

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics - There is limited evidence of the role of household-level adverse trigger events in driving mortgage default, and the evidence based on proxies,...     

外交决策分析与国际关系学范式革命

外交决策分析旨在通过对决策者言语和行为的分析来研究政府对外决策的过程和政策输出。它既不是国际关系学的具体问题领域,也不是它的方法论,而是一个成长中的范式。从本体论上看,外交决策分析把国家关系设定为人与人之间的关系,假定个人是国际关系的起点,把人置于国际关系的中心,从而克服了主流国际关系理论对人的忽视和同质化处理。在认识论/方法论上,外交决策分析批判弗里德曼的工具主义,推崇科斯式实在论,强调理论的目的在于解释以及理论的前提必须真实,从而让历史回归国际关系。在研究方法上,外交决策分析鼓励跨层次分析,通过对外交决策精英尤其是政治领袖在具体事件中的言语和行为,来归纳和检验各层次变量对外交决策的影响,实现理论整合。尽管前途远大,但外交决策分析在国际关系学中仍然处于边缘地位,其发展严重受制于高昂的研究成本、学者们历史学训练的缺乏、主流学派的打压以及普遍的工具主义信念等因素。外交决策分析既符合中国的学术文化传统,又是中国国际关系学者普遍的研究偏好,因此是发展国际关系学中国特色或中国学派的最优路径之一。     

The Role of Product Originality,Usefulness and Motivated Consumer Innovativeness in New Product Adoption Intentions

Prior research has posited that product attributes are primary drivers of success that a firm must consider to develop a competitive advantage. Two product attributes, originality and usefulness, have been identified in the literature as significant dimensions of new product success. Customer demands differ, and more purchase intentions toward a new product depend on how consumers connect the product attributes to their own individual characteristics. Studying motivated consumer innovativeness as a personality trait may improve our understanding of the motivations for adopting innovations; however, questions remain regarding whether the effects of originality and usefulness on consumers' intentions to adopt are different when levels of these attributes are matching or dissimilar and what the relationship is between these effects and motivated consumer innovativeness. This study seeks to empirically investigate these effects and their relations by collecting data from 560 potential consumers in China. This paper uses hierarchical regression analysis to test hypotheses in four product domains as representative of higher or lower levels of usefulness and originality. The research shows that new product originality affects consumers' intentions to adopt new products only if it matches the level of new product usefulness. The results also reveal that motivated consumer innovativeness has a positive moderating role on the relationship between new product originality and consumers' new product adoption intentions when both attributes are at a lower level. The theoretical and practical implications for new product development and marketing communications are discussed.     

德国光伏电价的下降历程及其对中国光伏发电产业的启示

近年来,我国大力发展光伏发电,然而目前的财政补贴和单一电价的扶持方式不足以实现其大规模发展。光伏大国——德国在2000~2011年间通过一系列政策调控,实现了光伏快速发展,同时光伏电价逐渐由50 Euro cent/kWh下降到20 Euro cent/kWh,降幅达60%,逐步接近市电价格。文章深入解析德国光伏的发展历程,利用投资与回报的分析方法,研究了德国光伏政策对装机量和光伏电价竞争性的影响,结果发现德国以清晰、有针对性的产业政策为基础,分起步、发展及调整三个阶段调整光伏电价,促使其累计装机量增加了325倍,上升至24 820 MWp。另外,德国采用全国终端用电客户分摊绿色电力成本的方式代替财政补贴,使其发展更具可持续性。借鉴德国经验,中国应该按光伏现有规模完善其电价体系,刺激光伏发展,同时,通过明朗的扶持政策增强光伏投资信心,构建稳定的投资回报预期。     

凝聚文化之力 助推持续发展

企业文化是企业的经营理念．品牌形象．制度规范．精神支柱，是企业可持续发展的基础和保障，当今时代．文化在企业核心竞争力中的地位日益重要。     

民国会计教育研究

我国古代传统的会计教育是以账房师傅手把手教徒弟,一代传一代的方式进行的,且每个人记账的方式都大有不同,直至晚清之前,中国的会计教育是不成系统的。随着西方会计科学的传入和我国第一批留学归来的会计学者的推广,晚清时期,学堂的商科会计教育已经具备现代会计教育的雏形。在改良中式账簿与完全引进西方会计科学的激烈讨论中,"中华民国"时期的会计教育正式走向正轨,也可以说,中国系统的现代意义上的会计教育是从中华民国开始的,而民国早期与后期又有不同。本文将根据中国会计教育发展的时间轴线,对中国古代会计教育与晚清商科会计教育作一梳理,并着重研究"中华民国"时期的会计教育,并从官办会计教育与民间会计教育两个方面来考量。     

Interactive effects of environmental experience and innovative cognitive style on student creativity in product design

Environmental experience can enhance the ideas of design students. Thus, this type of experience may interfere with the influence of design students’ cognitive style on creativity. The aim of this study was to examine the influence of environmental experience on the relationship between innovative cognitive style and industrial design students’ creative outcomes. The environmental experience was measured according to the total scores of the five components of sense, feel, think, act, and relate on the basis of Schmitt’s strategic experience modules. The cognitive styles were measured using Kirton’s adaption–innovation inventory, and creative works were assessed through the consensus assessment technique, which was employed by three experts. Through a field experiment and survey investigation, the analysis indicated that innovative cognitive style significantly and positively influenced creativity, but this only occurred when student was accompanied with a low degree of environmental experience (i.e., a student had a low score for environmental experience); as the student attained a high degree of environmental experience, the influence of innovative cognitive style on creativity became weakened. The experiential media suggested that the natural elements, cultural history, group travel, and narrator effectively diversified the experiences of the students and enhanced creative thinking. This paper suggests providing increased stimulation of environmental experience prior to instructing design students to engage in creative activity. Environmental experience can benefit students by enhancing their creativity.     

城市化进程中的人力资本与住房价格

以人为载体的人力资本随着城市化的发展而流动,通过人口迁移,积累到宏观层面就形成了城市的人力资本存量.城市人力资本水平的提升能够增加城市住房的有效需求,推动房价上涨,并且城市人力资本水平对房价的正向影响存在异质性.为探究城市化进程中城市人力资本水平与城市住房价格之间的关系,对中国255个地级市的面板数据采用动态面板分位数回归的方法进行了实证检验,实证结果表明城市人力资本水平与城市住房价格之间存在正向关系,高人力资本水平对高房价地区房价的正向影响程度更大.