Asymmetric impact of oil prices,exchange rate,and inflation on tourism demand in Pakistan: new evidence from nonlinear ARDL

This study scrutinized the asymmetric impact of oil prices, exchange rate, and inflation on tourism demand in Pakistan using [Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014) Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In Festschrift in honor of peter schmidt (pp. 281–314). New York, NY: Springer] nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model. The NARDL bounds test examined the existence of cointegration in study variables, including CO₂ emissions, institutional quality, oil prices, exchange rate, inflation, and tourism demand. The evidence proposes that disregarding the intrinsic nonlinearities may misinform inference. The estimated NARDL model affirmed long-run negative and significant effect of CO₂ emissions on tourism demand, while institutional quality was positively associated with tourism demand. Furthermore, the findings of the study also suggested long-run asymmetric relationship between oil prices, exchange rate, inflation, and tourism demand.     

Fads and the Crash of '87

This paper examines changes in return-generating processes before and after the crash of '87. We find that the process for daily returns of size-sorted portfolios changed from an ARMA(1, 2) in the pre-crash period to a MA(1) in the post-crash period. The change is explained by a “fads” model similar to that proposed by Poterba and Summers [17]. The analysis suggests that the crash may have been related to speculative fads that prevailed prior to the crash. The fads component in stock prices then disappeared after the crash. Other possible explanations are also discussed.     

ESTIMATION BIAS IN REGIONAL INPUT-OUTPUT MODELS USING SECONDARY DATA*

Regional input-output models are widely utilized in policy oriented research relating to regional economic growth and development problems. National coefficients are frequently used in conjunction with existing secondary data to estimate regional input-output models, with regional exports and regional imports being estimated on net or residual basis. This paper illustrates and clarifies the nature of inaccuracy that may exist in trade, technical and interdependence coefficients and multipliers when this technique is utilized. Methods of improving regional estimates are suggested Les modéles régionaux interindustriels sont souvent utilisés dans le cas de recherche pour une politique concernant les problèmes de développement el de progrès économique dans une région. Les coefficients nationaux sont souvent employés en connection avec les données secondares existantes pour estimer les modèles, régionaux interindustriels, avec ?exportation régionale et ?importation régionale qui sont évaluées sur une base nette ou résiduelle. Cette étude met au jour et clarifie la nature de ?inexactitude technique qui peut exister dans le commerce, et ?interdépendance des coefficients et des multipliants on se sen de cette technique. On donne des méthodes pour améliorer ?évaluation des estimations régionales.     

Influence of Leadership on Job Satisfaction: The Moderating Effects of Follower Individual‐Level Masculinity–Femininity Values

The current study examined whether employee individual‐level masculinity–femininity values moderate the relationship between leadership styles (structural, human resource, political, and symbolic) and employee job satisfaction. Overall, the research provided support for the impact of individual‐level masculinity–femininity on follower reactions to various leadership behaviors. The findings indicated that followers who scored high on feminine orientation perceived a weaker relationship between all leadership behaviors and job satisfaction. Followers with more masculine values associated more perceptions of job satisfaction with human resource, political, and symbolic leadership and viewed leaders' structural behaviors as less important for satisfaction at work.     

Type-2 TOPSIS: A Group Decision Problem When Ideal Values are not Extreme Endpoints

In the traditional TOPSIS, the ideal solutions are assumed to be located at the endpoints of the data interval. However, not all performance attributes possess ideal values at the endpoints. We termed performance attributes that have ideal values at extreme points as Type-1 attributes. Type-2 attributes however possess ideal values somewhere within the data interval instead of being at the extreme end points. This provides a preference ranking problem when all attributes are computed and assumed to be of the Type-1 nature. To overcome this issue, we propose a new Fuzzy DEA method for computing the ideal values and distance function of Type-2 attributes in a TOPSIS methodology. Our method allows Type-1 and Type-2 attributes to be included in an evaluation system without compromising the ranking quality. The efficacy of the proposed model is illustrated with a vendor evaluation case for a high-tech investment decision making exercise. A comparison analysis with the traditional TOPSIS is also presented.     

Uncertainty Resolution and Strategic Trade Policy in Oligopolistic Industries

This paper investigates a government's choice of strategic trade policy when the domestic firm observes a private noisy signal about the stochastic market demand while in competition with a rival firm. The government chooses between quantity controls and subsidies to maximize profits of the domestic firm. Assuming that firms compete à la Cournot in a third country, it is shown that the optimal trade policy depends not only on demand uncertainty but also on the predictability of the true market demand by the firms.     

Medición,estructura y efectos de la informalidad en una microeconomía

En este artículo se mide el alcance del empleo informal y los ingresos no registrados que genera en una microeconomía caracterizada por una gobernanza deficiente. Se utilizan datos censales y de encuestas para estimar el número de trabajadores informales en Chipre Septentrional y analizar sus características durante el periodo 2004–2011. En su mayoría son nacionales no registrados en el régimen de seguridad social, inmigrantes ilegales o pluriempleados que no han declarado su segundo empleo. En términos de valor añadido, el tamaño estimado de la economía informal era del 9,1 y del 12,2 por ciento del PIB en 2006 y 2011, respectivamente.     

The effect of foreign ownership restrictions on stock price dynamics

The Effect of Foreign Ownership Restrictions on Stock Price Dynamics. —This paper uses Finnish data to explore the impact of foreign ownership restrictions on the dynamic properties of domestic stock prices. These restrictions create unrestricted stocks (foreign and domestic ownership) and restricted stocks (domestic ownership). Unrestricted share prices are significantly more volatile than those of restricted shares but their means are not significantly different from each other. The returns on the two types of shares are found to be generated by an error correction model. These results support the hypothesis that the unrestricted share prices tend to overshoot relative to equilibrium with the arrival of new information.     

Uncertainty determinants of corporate liquidity

This paper investigates the link between the optimal level of non-financial firms' liquid assets and uncertainty. We develop a partial equilibrium model of precautionary demand for liquid assets showing that firms alter their liquidity ratio in response to changes in either macroeconomic or idiosyncratic uncertainty. We test this hypothesis using a panel of non-financial US firms drawn from the COMPUSTAT quarterly database covering the period 1993–2002. The results indicate that firms increase their liquidity ratios when macroeconomic uncertainty or idiosyncratic uncertainty increases.     

Multi-factor of cultural values: a confirmatory factor analytic approach

All organisations is unique and thus practise different cultural values in the context of an organisation. Determination of values that constitute to the organisation is of challenging task. Therefore, this paper expounds the value-based culture that is related to the performance of the organisation based on the literature review and expert’s view. This study aimed at testing the psychometric properties of the questionnaire of value-based culture items of performance measurement based on the value-based total performance excellence model. 400 questionnaires were distributed to the selected Institution of Higher Learning (IHL) i.e, the public university of Malaysia. The data collected was analysed using predictive analytics software and analysis of moment structures software, both version 18. Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) technique i.e., the confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) approach was employed to test the 6-factor hypothesized model of the value-based cultures which consisted values of citizenship, consultation, caring, trust, respect and quality. The result suggested that 2 core values i.e., consultation and trust that dominantly explained the university’s culture in the selected university from the proposed of 6 core values in the hypothesized model. The findings also paved the way forward for empowering value-based cultures especially at the IHL. However, future research should be conducted to reaffirm this model to represent the values embraced by the universities in Malaysia.