STAGFLATIONARY CONSEQUENCES OF PRUDENT MONETARY POLICY IN A UNIONIZED ECONOMY

Stylised models of the policy game between monetary policy makersand the private sector have suggested that discretionary policyregimes suffer from an inherent inflationary bias and that pre-commitmentto a target rate of inflation may be desirable. This paper showsthat in the presence of labour unions, the monetary policy gamecan lead to radically different results: a central bank thatis completely indifferent to the level of inflation may obtainoutcomes with high employment rates and zero inflation while‘prudent’, inflation-averse, central banks generatestagflation with positive inflation and low rates of employment.     

“Lucas” in the Laboratory

We study the Lucas asset pricing model in a controlled setting. Participants trade two long‐lived securities in a continuous open‐book system. The experimental design emulates the stationary, infinite‐horizon setting of the model and incentivizes participants to smooth consumption across periods. Consistent with the model, prices align with consumption betas and comove with aggregate dividends, particularly so when risk premia are higher. Trading significantly increases consumption smoothing compared to autarky. Nevertheless, as in field markets, prices are excessively volatile. The noise corrupts traditional generalized method of moment tests. Choices display substantial heterogeneity, with no subject representative for pricing.     

The choice of fuel in the eighteenth‐century iron industry: the Coalbrookdale accounts reconsidered

Disquiet has remained over Hyde's conclusions as to the costs of coke‐ironmaking in the early eighteenth century. A detailed re‐examination of the production costs at Coalbrookdale has confirmed his conclusions for pig iron, but not for bar iron. Coalbrookdale Forge was merely small and inefficient. Any technological difficulties in the use of coke pig iron in finery forges were overcome before 1728. However, the iron industry was depressed in the 1730s due to Russian bar iron imports. After the Swedes increased their prices from 1747, new Shropshire furnaces began making pig coke iron for forges in 1754.     

TECHNICAL NOTE: THE FORMULA APPROXIMATION FOR THE OPTIMAL CYCLE TIME OF THE NET PRESENT VALUE

This article proposes the best bounds for e^?x ?l+x subject to some constraints. With these bounds for e^?x ?l+x, the better bounds for the optimal cycle time can be developed such that the bisection algorithm locates the optimal cycle time more accurately. Finally, an example is given to illustrate all results obtained by this article.     

The IASB Agenda — A Moving Target

This paper reviews the agenda of the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and the opportunities for research that it provides. The paper analyses the progress of topics on the 2001 agenda and concludes that evolution is variable, partly due to the appearance of later priorities. It goes on to discuss how research may inform standard-setting and analyses how major projects currently on the agenda lend themselves to academic research.