An Incentive Contract With Asymmetric Information

This Paper considers the problem of designing an optimal incentive contract between a retailer and a manufacturer when the former has private information about demand and its own cost. Based on a multi-period framework, we show that the incentive franchise contract can bring about the fist-best outcome of vertical integration when the retailer has complete information about consumers' preferences. [L42, D8]     

Regional Economic Growth and Spillover Effects： An Analysis of China＇s Pan Pearl River Delta Area

The Pan Pearl River Delta(PPRD) Regional Co-operation Framework Agreement was signed in 2004.It aims to bring prosperity through partnership among nine Chinese Mainland provinces and China ’s two special administrative regions.In this paper,we use a dynamic panel data model to examine the economic growth of the PPRD economies from 1985 to 2009.Our analysis confirms the existence of regional growth spillover effects in the PPRD area.Our results also show that economic growth spillover effects of non-PPRD regions on the PPRD regions are greater than those among the PPRD members themselves.These findings imply that economic integration between Chinese provinces has generated considerable spillover effects on regional growth.However, the anticipated benefits of the implementation of the PPRD agreement have not been realized thus far.Therefore,greater effort should be made to promote further economic integration among these members so that their local economies can benefit from the positive spillover effects.     

跨境资本自由流动的政治经济学分析

20世纪70年代以来,理论界和国际社会基本秉承资本自由流动能够改善资源全球配置的理念,宣称资本流出国与流入国都将从中受益。然而2010年开始,全球范围内掀起一轮资本管制的浪潮,新兴市场国家和部分发达国家主张采取征收资本利得税或者金融交易税的方式,抑制跨境资本的大范围流动,维持本国经济政策的独立性和有效性。作者结合"新自由主义"和"国家干预主义"的理论思想,比较分析跨境资本自由流动的利弊,提出新兴市场国家在特定条件下针对短期资本流动应该加以管制。同时,发达市场政府对资本自由流动态度的变化是国内利益集团矛盾冲突与调和的结果,不同利益集团党派偏好和选举周期最终影响资本流动的政策选择,欧美国家本国经济低迷迫使其实行国内保护的资本流动政策来缓解矛盾。全球化下的国际金融市场需要一种全新的国际管理机制解决市场失灵问题,应对资本流动产生的跨国溢出效应需要有效的国际协调,构建反映新的实力分配的全球治理框架,从而寻找到集体利益和本国利益的平衡点。     

Money and Inflation: International Evidence Based on Cointegration Theory

This study investigates the relationship between money and inflation using cointegration tests. For a broad sample of countries, the paper finds that most time series data underlying a typical monetarist model are nonstationary, indicating that it is necessary to appropriately transform the data in order to render the confidence tests reliable. Our principal finding is that money and inflation are related only in countries with high inflation [E 31]     

Asymmetric Effects of Money on Inflation: Evidence from Korean Data

New Keynesian macroeconomic models predict that monetary shocks have asymmetric effects on inflation, i.e., inflation responds more to positive monetary shocks than to negative shocks (Asymmetry Hypothesis A), and that the asymmetry is positively associated with movements in average inflation (Asymmetry Hypothesis B). Korean data are shown to provide little support for Asymmetry Hypothesis A and strong support for Asymmetry Hypothesis B. [O53, E12]     

从制度设想到贸易政策:美国碳关税蜕变之路障碍分析

美国试图在其气候变化立法中确立碳关税制度,对来自未实施减排的国家的能源密集型产品采取边境调节措施。这一制度设想以碳关税理论研究为基础。经济上和政治上的正当性是碳关税早期研究的重点,而国内程序性障碍及多边体制下的合法性问题是后危机时代碳关税研究的中心。作者回顾了碳关税理论研究,从国内和国际两个层面对碳关税从制度设想蜕变为美国贸易政策面临的障碍加以分析。一方面,公众对美国经济再次受挫的担忧、气候变化立法对国内产业的影响以及各种利益集团的博弈决定了美国国内不具备碳关税成为贸易政策的现实条件;另一方面,多边体制下碳关税也难以成为符合世贸组织法律的贸易政策,因为不仅碳关税制度设计中存在诸多违反非歧视原则的规定,而且碳关税欲借一般例外条款谋求合法地位也面临许多挑战。中国应未雨绸缪,从容应对。     

国际关系中的网络政治及其治理困境

在网络化进程蓬勃发展的国际背景下,网络政治借助互联网的传播与组织功能,通过蝴蝶效应以及网络活动主义途径作用于国际关系。除了财富外,网络政治在国际关系的权力、身份、规则象限中都有其存在形式。国际关系中的网络政治并未超越权力政治,但网络时代的权力分配、权力范畴与权力性质却发生了一定改变。互联网使人们的思维结构与身份认同发生改变,世界不再仅仅以国界划分,而是辅之以认同划分。传统民族国家作为主要政治忠诚对象的地位被弱化,国家、市场和市民社会的各种行为体在重新平衡。信息网络还对国际制度转制、改制和创制形成了巨大的压力。信息革命中崛起的各种国际政治行为体不再屈服于强权政治,国际关系民主化的呼声越来越高。互联网的无政府状态特性、主权超越性以及技术影响不确定性都呼唤着网络政治的全球治理的出现,但是制度行动者、组织结构以及制度文化的限度决定了信息技术与制度互动的有限化以及网络政治的全球治理困境。