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11.
One of the effects of structural adjustment programs in Sub-SaharanAfrica has been the reduction of imports in the face of scarceforeign exchange. This article takes the analysis of importdemand beyond the traditional income and price determinantsto account for factors likely to be important to Sub-SaharanAfrican countries in the 1990s. First, the effect of demandon imports is reflected by the level of absorption rather thanthe less direct income variable. Second, because adjustmentprograms may cut government consumption and, through increasesin interest rates, reduce investment, these components of absorptionare also considered independently to assess their differentialeffect on imports. Third, import barriers are often set in dollarterms to limit the use of foreign exchange. Because reliableand complete data for import restrictions are not available,the ratio of exports to debt is included as an indicator offoreign exchange availability to reflect its effect on tradebarriers and thus imports. The findings suggest that this morecomprehensive assessment of import demand will be needed ifthe size and even direction of changes in import demand in responseto policy reform is to be understood and anticipated. 相似文献
12.
Ramon P. Degennaro 《Managerial and Decision Economics》1989,10(3):221-228
The total volume of wagering at a racetrack is important since it affects both racetrack and state revenues. This paper studies the factors that determine the volume of wagering. One of these factors is the sire stakes, a major form of government subsidy. We conclude that this subsidy has little or no economic impact on the volume of wagers. Unless the state recoups nearly all of the subsidy in other ways, such as sales taxes on racehorses, the sire stakes amount to a direct transfer from taxpayers to the breeding industry. We also develop information useful to racetrack managers. 相似文献
13.
We use a cohort-based model to analyse the determinants of labour force participation in six European economies, focusing on age and cohort effects as factors explaining differences in participation behaviour across countries. Cohort effects are particularly relevant for women with those born in the late 1960s and early 1970s more likely to participate over the life-cycle. Our results suggest that cohort effects can be interpreted as evolving social norms or preferences towards participating in the labour market according to Fernandez (NBER working paper no. 13373, 2007). We find substantial variation in the estimated age and cohort effects across European countries: cohort effects can account for a substantial part of the recent increase in participation in Spain, the Netherlands and Germany, and a positive, but smaller part of in the increase in participation of the UK, Italy and France. Looking forward, positive cohort effects could help counteract the downward impact of population ageing on participation. 相似文献
14.
This paper analyses the income distribution of households in Barcelona metropolitan area. For this purpose we use the monocentric model. As the basic model does not have direct implications for this distribution, we survey the extensions of the model that have been used in empirical literature. One of the most promising ways is to introduce externalities in the decision process; they can result directly from exogenous amenities (given traits of urban area) or be created by other agents’ decisions. We first test the simple model relating income to distance. Then we introduce and test the model with exogenous amenities; recreational areas, transportation systems, health, educational and cultural infrastructure. In the third stage we test the model with spatial effects. We present evidence that any model with spatial effects improves significantly the empirical results. 相似文献
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The application of generalized ARCH models to daily stock returns shows changes in delivery and payment terms to be an important factor in determining measured volatility. In contrast, the holding period between trading days when markets are closed is relatively unimportant. This new approach allows fresh insights into stock return volatility and indicates that subsequent research on stock return volatility should incorporate the effects of payment delays. 相似文献
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Under what circumstances do workers sign contracts with high quitting penalties? Our answer points to market transparency. When the worker's performance is privately observed by the incumbent firm, alternative employers face an adverse selection problem. As a result, efficient separations can only take place through involuntary layoffs and there is no role for quitting fees. In contrast, when performance is public, quitting fees are useful devices to appropriate the surplus from workers’ reallocation. Separations are amicable and take the form of quitting after downwardly renegotiating the fees. Qualitative features of contracts are independent of the distribution of ex-post bargaining power. The impact of switching costs on total welfare and its distribution depends on the degree of market transparency and the ex-ante distribution of market power. 相似文献
20.
Jose Ramon Cancelo 《International Advances in Economic Research》2004,10(2):87-99
This paper compares the stylized facts of the European growth cycle stemming from the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the
European Monetary Union with an unobserved common factor derived from a dynamic factor model with regime switching. The aim
of this paper is to provide empirical evidence about the most adequate indicator for short-term monitoring of the cyclical
state of the European economy.
Previous versions of this article have been presented at the 55th International Atlantic Economic Conference (Vienna, Austria,
March 12–16, 2003) and at the VI Encuentro de Economía Aplicada (Granada, Spain, June 5–7, 2003). The author would like to
thank the conference participants and an anonymous referee for their comments and suggestions. 相似文献