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Integrated risk management for financial institutions requires an approach for aggregating risk types (market, credit, and operational) whose distributional shapes vary considerably. We construct the joint risk distribution for a typical large, internationally active bank using the method of copulas. This technique allows us to incorporate realistic marginal distributions that capture essential empirical features of these risks such as skewness and fat-tails while allowing for a rich dependence structure. We explore the impact of business mix and inter-risk correlations on total risk. We then compare the copula-based method with several conventional approaches to computing risk. 相似文献
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Shlomo I. Lampert Ph.D. Larry J. Rosenberg Ph.D. 《Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science》1975,3(3-4):337-354
Studies on the diffusion of new products show that word-of-mouth activity WOMA) is an important influencer of consumer acceptance. WOMA has usually been defined primarily as information seeking behavior aimed at risk reduction prior to the purchase decision. To test this hypothesis, data on a new milk additive brand were used from a 1,100 state-wide sample conducted longitudinally. The findings were consistent in rejecting the hypothesis, therefore casting doubt on the exclusive information search nature of WOMA. The main implication is to view WOMA as a multiform communication activity including conversation types other than information search. 相似文献
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Marjorie A. Rosenberg Ph.D. F.S.A. M.A.A.A. 《North American actuarial journal : NAAJ》2013,17(4):74-83
Abstract This paper is an extension of earlier work (Rosenberg 1998; Rosenberg, Andrews, and Lenk 1999; Rosenberg and Griffith 2000) that introduced a statistical control model to supplement current efforts inexpensively to help reduce unnecessary expenditures. The application of the study was to predict the rate of nonacceptable inpatient claims (NACs). In that work, a statistical model was proposed to link information obtained through an expensive audit with inexpensive information that is readily available to estimate the probability that a claim is a NAC. The premise was that a statistical system can be developed to supplement the expensive audit for additional control between audits. Estimates of the NAC rate obtained from the statistical model are used as input in a statistical monitor to assess whether the NAC rate had changed over time. The statistical monitor is the subject of this paper. The idea is that subgroups of claims can be analyzed inexpensively with the statistical monitor to determine whether any current intervention is required prior to the time of the next scheduled audit, or whether adjustments are needed in the determination of claims to be sampled for the audit. In this study, the estimate for the NAC rate at t 0 is compared against the estimate of the NAC rate at some later time t 1. A decision rule is proposed to assess whether a change in the NAC rate has occurred for that subgroup. The methodology is also applicable to other health care measurements. 相似文献
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我国中部地区产业结构优化研究——基于旅游业发展的视角 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
不同的产业结构决定着一个国家或地区经济的内在活力和增长潜力,并最终引起经济以不同的速度和质量增长。中部地区的崛起需要以产业结构的优化作为基础,而旅游业具有典型的产业关联度高、产业波及效应明显的经济特征,可有效助推中部地区实现产业结构的优化。在阐述旅游业发展如何作用于产业结构优化的基础上,实证分析了旅游业发展对中部六省产业结构优化的影响。 相似文献
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