Labour-Market Developments at a Time of Heightened Uncertainty

These are testing times for labour-market policies in Indonesia. The country faces two major challenges in an unpredictable international and domestic environment: providing people with better, more secure jobs and raising productivity to help raise living standards and reduce poverty. Over the past several months, new global and domestic threats to economic growth have emerged and may hinder progress in jobs and productivity. In the longer term, the government is searching for new strategies to increase productivity, with a focus on supply-side investments in skills and training. In relation to events abroad, uncertainty has increased over the early initiatives taken by the new US president and his nationalist administration, such as the scuttling of the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal. At home, likely to be of some significance for economic policy are mass actions that were levelled against Jakarta’s governor but de facto also directed against the government. In the medium term, our assessment of the record of the Joko Widodo (Jokowi) government on the labour market is mixed. Over the past two years, growth has been slower than under the previous administration and hence job creation has also been muted. The experience of a handful of countries in Asia suggests that the government might have done more to stimulate economic growth and create jobs. The disappointing performance of manufacturing stands out. Yet inflation has fallen and the slide in the value of international trade—both exports and imports—has reversed in recent months. Improved fiscal management and a generally successful tax amnesty are other pluses. There was also an unexpected but considerable fall in unemployment in 2015–16, according to labour-force statistics. Some policies, such as the new approach to minimum wages, seem to have had beneficial effects for both business and the economy, and Indonesia has done well in some international rankings, such as the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business index. However, the picture for the medium to longer term seems less bright for the labour market. There has been much talk about raising productivity by improving skills through government support for investment in training and apprenticeships, as well as by expanding vocational training along the lines of the German model. Expanding tourism is seen as one solution to the lack of employment for young secondary- and tertiary-educated jobseekers. But we have an impression of policy-making on the run; often, the argument for government intervention has not been made clearly enough. We argue that Indonesia still lacks a coherent, well-thought-out plan to increase jobs and productivity.     

日照港煤码头国内环境分析与竞争力提升策略

在经济全球化、一体化时代,随着船运公司和货主的实力增强,港口之间的竞争日趋激烈,港口已不再像过去那样具有较强的自然垄断力。本文以日照港为例,分析我国北方港口煤码头运输现状,从港口文化、港口战略、生产管理、资源整合、硬件设施、政策因素等六个方面研究提升港口综合竞争力的途径。     

闽台食品供应链标章与规范整合研究

闽台食品供应链标章与规范及其监管路径和制度存在较大差距.探讨闽台食品及农产品标准对接和供应链标章与规范整合的可行路径,有助于推动闽台农业经贸一体化愿景的实现.     

PORTFOLIO CHOICE VIA QUANTILES

A portfolio choice model in continuous time is formulated for both complete and incomplete markets, where the quantile function of the terminal cash flow, instead of the cash flow itself, is taken as the decision variable. This formulation covers a wide body of existing and new models with law‐invariant preference measures, including expected utility maximization, mean–variance, goal reaching, Yaari's dual model, Lopes' SP/A model, behavioral model under prospect theory, as well as those explicitly involving VaR and CVaR in objectives and/or constraints. A solution scheme to this quantile model is proposed, and then demonstrated by solving analytically the goal‐reaching model and Yaari's dual model. A general property derived for the quantile model is that the optimal terminal payment is anticomonotonic with the pricing kernel (or with the minimal pricing kernel in the case of an incomplete market if the investment opportunity set is deterministic). As a consequence, the mutual fund theorem still holds in a market where rational and irrational agents co‐exist.     

WIN7平台ARP网络攻防

为了确认Windows7平台下ARP欺骗攻击的防御能力,利用arpfree命令行工具,模拟三种不同的ARP网络攻击,分析攻击结果及对Windows7的性能影响,并检测ARP防火墙在面对以上攻击时的防御能力。未安装防火墙的Windows7可以防御ARPRequest攻击,但三种攻击都会显著的占用带宽资源。Windows7在防火墙的支持下,可以防御三种攻击,只能发现并阻断ARPRequest攻击,两种攻击仍然会占用大量用户的带宽与CPU资源。     

浅议德国的关系型融资

近年来,银行与企业之间的关系型融资在世界范围内得到广泛运用。在美、日、德等发达国家,关系型融资已成为企业外部融资的一条有效途径,并对企业的经营管理产生着重要的影响。本文总结分析了德国关系型融资模式的特点,希望能够对我国企业的外部融资有一定的指导意义。     

沪通铁路建设背景下的南通区位形势及交通行业影响预测

沪通铁路建设的帷幕在南通提出加快沿江沿海开发和建设长三角北翼经济中心的背景下正式拉开。沪通铁路工程将对南通地方交通格局及交通运输行业形成重要影响。文章将首先对南通地方交通体系的历史和现状作简要陈述,在此基础上,围绕沪通铁路的建设对完善南通地方交通体系格局的作用展开分析,然后就该工程对南通地方交通行业的影响作综合分析和预测。     

以90后大学生为主体的高校职业生涯规划课程教学改革探索

针对90后大学生为主体的高校职业生涯规划课程，分析现阶段该课程的教学现状及存在的问题，对该课程从课程设置、教学方法、教学形式、社会实践、师资队伍、课程结合等方面进行了教学改革尝试。     

文化语境在语词翻译中的重要作用

语词是语言中最活跃的因素，语言又是文化的载体，所以在进行语词翻译时，必须考虑到文化语境，这样才会忠实地传达本国文化的价值与灵魂，真正做到不同文化间的交流。要深入探讨文化语境中诸多因素对语词翻译的影响，以及相应的翻译方法。     

论存款机构的保密义务

存款机构对存款人负有保密义务，这种义务来源于存款合同中的默示条款理论，存款机构的保密义务不是绝对的，存在有例外情形，我国现行法律有关存款机构保密义务的规定缺乏系统性、操作性，亟待完善。