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11.
Recently, it has been shown that seasonal and business cycles are related and a similar economic mechanism is at work in producing both types of cycles (Miron 1996). Thus, an analysis of seasonal fluctuations sheds light on the nature of the business cycle. This paper uses the classical test developed by Hylleberg et al. and the LM-type tests proposed by Canova and Hansen (1995) to investigate seasonal behavior in the unemployment series of Australia, Canada, Japan, New Zealand, the US and a number of OECD countries. The main findings are that the Australian, Austrian and Canadian series are non-stationary at all seasonal frequencies, French, Japan, the NZ and the UK series are stationary at all seasonal frequencies and the USA series is stationary only at the annual frequency. The test results for other series are mixed, suggesting that further analysis is required to reach a definite conclusion. The series, except for France, Japan, New Zealand and the UK, appear to possess unstable seasonal patterns, indicating changing business cycle conditions. 相似文献
12.
This paper primarily examines whether the ‘hybrid new Keynesian Phillips curve’ (HNKPC) holds for four important emerging economics viz., Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa. This has been done after testing for the structural stability of this relationship. Econometric issues like the test of unit roots in presence of a structural break and estimation of output gap have also been done appropriately. Our findings suggest that the HNKPC is not stable for all the four countries. However, the analysis based on the two sub-periods thus formed clearly shows mixed evidence in respect of holding of this relationship.
相似文献13.
Shipra Gupta James W. Gentry 《International Review of Retail, Distribution & Consumer Research》2016,26(3):260-271
The literature on scarcity has generally examined consumers’ attitudes towards scarce products and suggested that scarcity messages have a positive effect on the evaluation of and attitude toward the scarce object. However, literature has largely failed to explain consumers’ feelings or reactions to human-controlled scarce environments. This study examines how deliberate product scarcity influences the consumers’ behavioral responses, and provides an understanding of consumers’ reactions to conditions of scarcity that are strategically created by marketers. The context of this study is fast fashion retailers, as they are known to create extreme human-induced scarcity. We conducted 21 face-to-face interviews with fast fashion store managers, consumers, and an industry expert. Further, observational research was also conducted to observe the consumer buying behavior across 10 different fast fashion stores. The objectives were to (1) help the interviewees think about the various strategies adopted to induce scarcity within the stores (from retailer’s perspective), (2) understanding of scarcity in these stores (from consumer’s perspective), and (3) consumers’ responses to such deliberate manipulations. All the interviewees agreed that fast fashion stores were successful in creating perceived scarcity which reflected both limited merchandise supply as well as deliberate manipulation of merchandise availability by the retailer. The findings also suggest that consumers in these perceived scarcity conditions exhibit buying behavior like urgency to buy, which further leads to deviant and competitive behaviors like in-store hoarding and in-store hiding. Though perceived scarcity, urgency to buy, and in-store hoarding was consistent across the interviews with store managers and consumers, surprisingly, the phenomenon of in-store hiding behavior did not emerge from any of the interviews conducted with store managers, but was a consistent theme across most consumer interviews. 相似文献