油井水泥产品质量现状分析

结合2000～2005年对各油田油井水泥的质量监督工作，对我国油井水泥使用的标准、产品工艺、产品质量现状进行了分析。     

试论加快实施客户经理制

客户经理制作为国外商业银行已经实践获得成功的先进的商业银行营销体制，现已被国内商业银行广泛应用和实践。对国内商业银行来讲，这是具有十分重要意义的制度创新，农总行也在１９９９年提出在全系统推行客户经理制度。在中外金融机构激烈竞争，金融机构和产品日益同质化的     

浅议企业绩效评价业务

关于企业绩效评价业务据财政部统计评价司的阐述,所谓企业绩效评价,是指运用数理统计和运筹学原理,特定指标体系,对照统一的标准,按照一定的程序,通过定量定性对比分析,对企业一定经营期间的经营效益和经营者业绩做出客观、公正和准确的综合评判。需指出的是,当前我国企业信息管理领域正逐步流行的ERP,也同样需要企业绩效评价,不过它与我们这里所讲的企业绩效评价是两个不同的概念,ERP中采用的企业绩效评价是特指评价其资源管理项目实施的效益和企业整体应用ERP后的效果。我国当前实施的企业绩效评价,实质上是按照市场经济要求实行的一…     

General‐to‐Specific Model Selection Procedures for Structural Vector Autoregressions*

Structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models have emerged as a dominant research strategy in empirical macroeconomics, but suffer from the large number of parameters employed and the resulting estimation uncertainty associated with their impulse responses. In this paper, we propose general‐to‐specific (Gets) model selection procedures to overcome these limitations. It is shown that single‐equation procedures are generally efficient for the reduction of recursive SVAR models. The small‐sample properties of the proposed reduction procedure (as implemented using PcGets) are evaluated in a realistic Monte Carlo experiment. The impulse responses generated by the selected SVAR are found to be more precise and accurate than those of the unrestricted VAR. The proposed reduction strategy is then applied to the US monetary system considered by Christiano, Eichenbaum and Evans (Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 78, pp. 16–34, 1996) . The results are consistent with the Monte Carlo and question the validity of the impulse responses generated by the full system.     

拖拉机总装流水线的时间平衡

本文联系拖拉机总装配的实际,阐述了装配线时间平衡的做法及其所可取得的显著的经济效益。     

Syndicated Loan Announcements and Borrower Value

Announcements of syndication loans increase borrowers' shareholder wealth if they are revolving credit agreements but not if they are term loans. Share price responses to revolving credit announcements are positive and significant, whereas the wealth effect for term loans is negative and significant. The results show that announcements from both the financial press and commercial information providers can affect borrower share price reaction. Overall, single syndication announcements appear to be more newsworthy than multiple announcements reported in the financial press, and we find evidence of information leakage, post‐announcement drift, or both.     

Improved estimation of portfolio value‐at‐risk under copula models with mixed marginals

Portfolio value‐at‐risk (PVAR) is widely used in practice, but recent criticisms have focused on risks arising from biased PVAR estimates due to model specification errors and other problems. The PVAR estimation method proposed in this article combines generalized Pareto distribution tails with the empirical density function to model the marginal distributions for each asset in the portfolio, and a copula model is used to form a joint distribution from the fitted marginals. The copula–mixed distribution (CMX) approach converges in probability to the true marginal return distribution but is based on weaker assumptions that may be appropriate for the returns data found in practice. CMX is used to estimate the joint distribution of log returns for the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE) index and the associated futures contracts on SGX and TAIFEX. The PVAR estimates for various hedge portfolios are computed from the fitted CMX model, and backtesting diagnostics indicate that CMX outperforms the alternative PVAR estimators. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 26:997–1018, 2006     

路过天空——深圳航空平面广告创意手记

曾经读过泰戈尔的这句“天空没有翅膀的痕迹，而我已飞过”。无奈地承认，这曾是对天空最美丽的想象。不过生存要继续。2006，深航，我们要继续为它构筑在天空的远大版图。 航空业显然是不轻松的，高风险低回报，加之油价上涨、外航潜人、国内航空公司3＋X竞争局面的加剧…在高度发展的商业社会中，天空中也有狭路相逢之时。     

The mean-variance investment problem in a constrained financial market

This paper extends the mean-variance analysis and the two-fund separation theorem to a market with some constraints, such as, the incompleteness, prohibition of short-selling, and partial information, with stochastic interest rate, and with stochastic volatility for risky assets. By maximizing a quadratic utility of terminal wealth, we show that the efficient frontier for the problem is a straight line in the mean-standard-deviation diagram. The quadratic utility function exhibits mean-variance efficiency. Our results apply to portfolios of claims in a single period, multiperiod, and continuous time.     

当前农业形势分析与对策

今年以来,全国各地认真贯彻落实中央农村工作会议、中央1号文件精神,紧紧围绕建设现代农业,扎实推进新农村建设,使农业和农村经济稳步发展.