Food policy research for improving the reform of agricultural input and output markets in Central Asia

Agriculture is a significant component of the Central Asian economies. Since independence, the republics have implemented agricultural reforms in varying measure, yet production has fallen sharply across the region. The more ambitious agricultural reform programs have included measures aimed at liberalizing agricultural marketing, trade and prices. However, so far the expected supply response has yet to emerge. The objective of this paper is to highlight key policy and research issues surrounding reform of agricultural markets. It summarizes the main features of agricultural performance since the reforms, highlighting trends in grain and cotton, livestock, input use, and trade and analyzes key constraints to improvement of the sector, emphasizing price policy, sequencing problems, and institutional weakness. It presents a research agenda by identifying the main research needs for better agricultural policy design. It calls for more research on input and output market efficiency, private sector development, the effects of reform on farmers, sequencing issues, comparative advantage, water management, land tenure and farm size.     

Financial systemic risk: Taxation or regulation?

This paper describes financial systemic risk as a pollution issue. Free riding leads to excess risk production. This problem may be solved, at least partially, either by financial regulation or by taxation. From a normative viewpoint, taxation is superior in many respects. However, reality shows that financial regulation is adopted more frequently. This paper makes a positive, politico-economic argument. If the majority chooses regulation, the level is likely to be too harsh. If it chooses taxation, then the level is likely to be too low. Due to regressive effects, a tax on financial transactions receives low support from a majority of low polluting portfolio owners. The same kind of majority may strategically choose regulation in order to burden the minority with a larger share of the cost of reducing systemic risk.     

The environmental benefits of changing logistics structures for fresh vegetables

The transport phase is one of the crucial stages that can be improved to reduce the environmental impact of the fresh fruit and vegetable supply chain. In this paper, we calculate the environmental impact of feasible logistic alternatives for the above-mentioned supply chain so as to identify the type of transportation that incurs the lowest environmental costs. Specifically, we consider the early potato supply chain as a case study, as it involves one of the main fresh vegetables exported from Italy. Consumers' willingness to pay for the environmental impact of different logistic chains was obtained through life cycle assessment. Our results show that rail transport could reduce environmental impact in terms of tons of oil equivalent, environmental loads, and fuel consumption while ensuring reasonable shipment times. Development of an efficient rail transport system would be positively considered by consumers, enhancing their preferences for Italian products.     

Change vs. decline: A comparative analysis of the evolution of TFP in Italian regions,with a particular attention to the case of Turin

Recently a debate emerged in Italy, about the changing pattern of specialization in the sectors traditionally considered as cornerstones of the national economy. Such changes are far from representing a hopeless process of decline. Rather this process should be regarded as a step in a process of structural change, in which one can find the ingredients of creative destruction. This leads to spell out the hypothesis that the Italian economy has been taking a new direction, rather than a dead-end. In this paper we carry out an analysis of the evolution of Total Factor Productivity in the different macro-sectors at the regional level, over the period 1982-2001. The results of the analysis confirm the existence of a generalized process of transition characterized by the growing weight of service sectors. Within the Piedmont region, the case of Turin is of paramount importance, as it has influenced the national economy since the early decades of the 20^th century. (JEL: O41, O47)     

Revisiting the case for a populist central banker

It is known that discretionary policy may give rise to an inflationary bias if wages are negotiated in nominal terms. In a recent issue of this Review, Guzzo and Velasco argued that this bias can be eliminated, and welfare maximized, by the appointment of a central banker who does not care at all about inflation (a ‘populist’ central banker). A conceptual flaw of the latter result is identified here. It is shown that when wages are negotiated in nominal terms the result is true only in the special case of a single, all-encompassing, union. In the more general case of multiple unions, however, inflation increases linearly with their number and a populist central bank may turn out to decrease welfare.     

Exploring efficient sets and equilibria on risky assets with APABO DSS prototype version 2.1

ABAPO 2.1 (Assets/Business(es) Analyser and Portfolio Optimizer) is a DSS prototype for portfolio managers. It assists the decision maker in two important stages of his task. First, it provides an integrated synthesis of the returns scenario in order to support the decision maker in the selection of the assets to retain, in accordance with his strategy. Second, on the retained assets it computes and shows the E- efficient solutions. For each efficient portfolio ABAPO supplies immediately a lot of information that should help the decision maker to single out the portfolio which fits his goals best.ABAPO works on an integration of elements derived from the Portfolio Selection Theory, the Capital Asset Pricing Model, the Utility Theory. ABAPO uses the principal component, the univariate, the bivariate regression and the correlation analysis, a parametric quadratic programming model and an algorithm based on the critical line method.ABAPO is implemented in C language under AIX operating system and runs on a IBM RT PC 6150. It is a ductile, interactive procedure that involves graphics in order to increase the efficiency and the effectiveness of the what if simulations.This version 2.1 improves upon the previous one by the evaluation of the Security Market Line, some statistics on the returns of the efficient portfolios, the evaluation of the quadratic indifference curves associated to the efficient portfolios.Research supported by the Italian National Research Council (CNR), grant n. 88.03065.10. ABAPO DSS 2.1 prototype has been developed with the support of the CNR (grant n. 87.1210.10), of the Banca Popolare di Verona, of the Cassa di Risparmio di Verona Vicenza e Belluno, of the Società Cattolica di Assicurazione, at the Istituto di Matematica, Università di Verona.     

Reopening the convergence debate: A new look at cross-country growth empirics

There are two sources of inconsistency in existing cross-country empirical work on growth: correlated individual effects and endogenous explanatory variables. We estimate a variety of cross-country growth regressions using a generalized method of moments estimator that eliminates both problems. In one application, we find that per capita incomes converge to their steady-state levels at a rate of approximately 10 percent per year. This result stands in sharp contrast to the current consensus, which places the convergence rate at 2 percent. We discuss the theoretical implications of this finding. In another application, we perform a test of the Solow model. Again, contrary to prior reults, we reject both the standard and the augmented version of the model.     

On the Equivalence between the APV and the wacc Approach in a Growing Leveraged Firm

While in a steady state framework the choice between the wacc approach ( Modigliani‐Miller, 1963 ) and the adjusted present value (APV) approach ( Myers, 1974 ) is irrelevant since the two approaches provide the same result, however, in a growing firm context the wacc equation seems to be inconsistent with the APV result. In this paper we propose a simple model to evaluate the tax savings in a growing firm in order to show under which assumptions the two approaches lead to the same results. We demonstrate that the use of the wacc model in a steady‐growth scenario gives rise to some unusual assumptions with regard to the discount rates to be used in calculating tax shields. We show that the widely used wacc formula, if used, as it is in most cases, in a growth context, implies that a) debt tax shield related to already existing debt are discounted using k_d; b) debt tax shield related to new debt, due to company's growth, are discounted, according to a mixed procedure, using both k_u and k_d. We discuss the inconsistency of such a discounting procedure and the preferred features of the APV approach.