煤矿安全生产与经济发展

现代安全经济学对安全的重要性有一个很好比喻，即“三角形理论”：经济为两条边，安全是一条底边，没有底边的支撑，形成不了这个三角形。经济发展再快，没有安全就构不成稳定的三角形。可见，安全不仅是人类生存的需要，而且是经济发展的前提。一是安全生产保护生产力。生产力3大要素中，人是最具决定性的因素。人类自有生产活动，便存在事故隐患。安全生产的本质是不断消除隐患、遏制事故，保护劳动者的生命安全健康，所以，安全生产始终是保护生产力的一项不可缺少的工作。二是安全生产发展生产力。生产是一种复杂的物质转换活动，活动过程中会遇到各类事故隐患。安全生产通过排治隐患遏制事故，用尽量少的劳动消耗和物质消耗，生产出更多符合社会需要的产品，来促进生产力的发展。     

Global economy gathering strength

Encouraged by a highly expansionary economic policy, the global economy is enjoying a rapid upturn. Utilisation of capacity is high in many sectors, particularly in the growth centres of the USA and East Asia, where China leads the field. With inflationary risks on the increase, most countries are now shifting the focus of economic policy. Fiscal policy in particular can be expected to provide little in the way of further stimulus. In addition, there has been a turnaround in interest rates in many countries. Yet how quickly can the monetary reins be tightened without jeopardising growth or endangering price stability?     

New ways of achieving debt sustainability beyond the enhanced HIPC Initiative

In 1996 the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative was launched by the Bretton Woods institutions to reduce the external debt burden of low-income countries (LICs) to sustainable levels in a reasonably short period of time because debt constitutes an obstacle to sustainable economic growth and poverty reduction. In some HIPCs, however, debt sustainability has been in danger despite debt relief under the HIPC Initiative. Debt relief is a necessary but not a sufficient condition for development. It can do no more than play a catalytic role. The question, then, is how to achieve debt sustainability beyond the HIPC Initiative.     

QUADRATIC TERM STRUCTURE MODELS FOR RISK-FREE AND DEFAULTABLE RATES

In this paper, quadratic term structure models (QTSMs) are analyzed and characterized in a general Markovian setting. The primary motivation for this work is to find a useful extension of the traditional QTSM, which is based on an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) state process, while maintaining the analytical tractability of the model. To accomplish this, the class of quadratic processes, consisting of those Markov state processes that yield QTSM, is introduced. The main result states that OU processes are the only conservative quadratic processes. In general, however, a quadratic potential can be added to allow QTSMs to model default risk. It is further shown that the exponent functions that are inherent in the definition of the quadratic property can be determined by a system of Riccati equations with a unique admissible parameter set. The implications of these results for modeling the term structure of risk-free and defaultable rates are discussed.     

论我国物流托盘标准的选择--基于商品出口市场角度

托盘（pallet）是为了便于货物装卸、运输、保管和配送等而使用的、由可以承载若干数量物品的负荷面和叉车插口构成的装卸用垫板。它起始于20世纪30年代的太平洋战争中，当时美国军队首次使用托盘来改善货物搬运效率，保证后勤物资供应。其后，托盘在世界各国得到了广泛应用，被认为是20世纪物流产业中两大关键性创新之一。目前，美国有80％的商品由托盘运载，欧洲每年有2．8亿个托盘在企业间循环。     

循环经济的投入产出分析

本文运用投入产出理论对循环经济进行了量化分析，首先，在模型中将循环经济部门从生产部门和消除污染部门中分离开来，在投入不变的条件下，运用循环经济下的各种经济指标来研究新的投入产出关系。其次，通过比较研究的方法，来分析循环经济对整个国民经济的影响程度及对其效果进行评价。最后本文还探讨了在不引入循环生产部门的情况时循环经济的投入产出关系。     

对2002年中国经济形势的几点看法

从过去两年的经济运行态势来看，中国经济增长速度减慢迹象比较明显，目前，外部环境尚好，经济增长率的高低，主要看内需增长状况，国内需求依然是拉动经济增长的主要动力，应警惕出现内需增长乏力的局面，加大短期需求管理的力度。