亚洲国家(地区)人口年龄结构变化对储蓄率的影响研究——基于HW模型对中国“第二人口红利”的分析

笔者在对HW模型进行修正的基础上,实证分析了亚洲国家(地区)人口年龄结构变化对储蓄率的影响,计量结果表明:人口老龄化对于储蓄率的负面效应将随着老龄化程度的加深而越来越严重;少儿人口比例的下降对于近年亚洲国家(地区)的储蓄率上升做出了贡献;把滞后储蓄看成内生或外生变量对方程影响较小,而在工具变量的选择中实际利率这一变量的添加与否对方程结果影响较大。人口老龄化时期要延续"人口红利"效应需要吸引更多积累财富进入养老保障体系以实现资本的保值增值,而不是依靠储蓄率上升使资本在代际之间转移。     

区域创新与企业经营增长影响研究

针对半导体企业经营增长问题,依据创新空间理论,运用逐步回归和后向回归方法,基于中国证券监督管理委员会(China Securities Regulatory Commission,CSRC)2004—2019年半导体上市公司财务报表数据,构建多元完全回归分析模型.结果表明:创新空间,技术投入、地理区域、所有者背景、经营年限和融资负债对经营增长具有显著促进作用;碳排放、金融市场化、政府效率、技术投入和融资负债对经营增长表现为非直线性U型趋势;创新空间对技术投入影响经营增长的效益具有正向放大作用;韩国三星投资空间选择关注半导体生产所需的稀缺性资源获取.     

基于波特钻石模型的中国汽车金融产业竞争力分析

本文以汽车金融为独立金融产业,在波特钻石模型基础上引入金融竞争力若干指标,对我国汽车金融产业的生产要素、国内需求、支持性产业和相关产业、公司结构、战略和竞争分析进行分析。研究发现我国汽车金融产业竞争力存在复合型汽车金融人才匮乏、资金来源限制多、消费征信制度缺失、汽车信贷产品单一、市场开发不够,产业集中度低等问题。最后从产业政策、法律制度与监督管理三方面提出了汽车金融产业竞争力的提升对策。     

机构投资者真的有助于降低盈余管理吗？——来自中国上市公司混合与平衡面板数据的证据

本文采用中国上市公司2004～2008年相对较长时期数据,在控制机构投资者持股比例与盈余管理程度内生性基础上,通过混合与平衡面板数据模型回归分析发现：机构投资者持股比例与正向盈余管理显著正相关,其中国有控股企业的这种相关性较非国有控股企业更显著;国有控股企业中机构投资者持股比例与负向盈余管理显著负相关,而非国有控股企业中则变成显著正相关;机构投资者持股比例与盈余管理绝对值显著正相关,其中国有控股企业的这种相关性较非国有控股企业也更为显著。这些证据充分说明中国机构投资者仍然是短视的,对盈余管理不存在制约作用反而推动了企业的盈余管理。     

The impacts of governance and institutions on inbound tourism demand: evidence from a dynamic panel data study

This study explores the impact of governance and institutions on inbound tourism demand in Malaysia using a dynamic panel data approach for 45 tourism source countries over the period 2005–2015. The results show that institutions play a very important role in explaining the behaviour of inbound tourism demand. To obtain a better picture, we investigate the response of international tourists to disaggregated institutional quality. We find that international tourists are more concerned about political stability, governmental effectiveness, regulations, laws, and corruption than voice and accountability. Therefore, policymakers should focus on ways to improve institutional quality to significantly increase international tourist arrivals.     

Seeing relationships through the lens of psychological contracts: the structure of consumer service relationships

Serving as mental models, psychological contracts guide consumers’ service interactions with their service providers. This study incorporates a psychological contract perspective into the relationship marketing literature, exploring service customers’ beliefs about the terms and conditions of the resource exchange process and the types of relationships they form with service providers. It provides new insights that explain why and how some customers respond favorably to a company’s relationship overtures and investments while others do not. A latent class analysis on a sample of 700 consumers across three different service industries reveals that consumers form four distinct types of psychological contracts: relational, standard, transitional, and captive. To further validate the differences between the contract types, open-ended responses from the respondents were sorted by each class. The distinctive themes that emerged provide a richer understanding of the characteristics of each class beyond those inferred from the quantitative results. Each contract type is also profiled against its underlying level of trust, satisfaction, and commitment to understand the relationship between the contract types and these traditional relationship marketing variables. Marketers can differentiate their relationship marketing strategies and allocate their resource investments more effectively by segmenting consumers according to their psychological contract type.     

Job stress and well-being of female employees in hospitality: The role of regulatory leisure coping styles

The job stress and coping behavior of female employees has become a key issue in the hospitality industry. This study investigates the moderating role of regulatory leisure coping styles on the effect of job stress on female employees’ well-being. Specifically, this study extends Patry et al.’s (2007) findings to further confirm the direct and moderating role of regulatory leisure coping styles in the relationship between job stress and well-being. Data were collected from the female employees of 22 tourist hotels in Taiwan. The results showed that the Planned-Breather Leisure Coping Style (PBLCS) was positively and significantly associated with well-being, whereas the Avoidant Leisure Coping Style (ALCS) had a negative and significant effect on it. In addition, the results also revealed that the PBLCS plays a buffering role, but that the ALCS plays an amplifying role. Based on these findings, the implications and research suggestions are then discussed.     

人格特质对旅游管理专业实习生留职意愿影响研究——组织社会化的中介作用

文章以旅游管理专业大学本科实习生为例,实证分析实习生人格特质与其在本行业留职意愿之间的关系,并探讨组织社会化的中介作用.结果显示,外倾性、勤勉正直性人格特质对留职意愿具有显著的正向预测作用,情绪敏感性人格特质对留职意愿具有显著的负向预测作用;工作胜任社会化、组织文化社会化在外倾性人格特质和留职意愿的关系中起完全中介作用;工作胜任社会化、人际关系社会化在勤勉正直性人格特质对留职意愿的影响中起部分中介作用.据此,文章最后提出了相关建议.     

论"以学生发展为中心"的课程理念

重视"以学生发展为中心"的课程理念,并不意味着降低和排斥体育教师的指导作用,教师应关注体育课程内容资源的开发,营造良好的课堂教学氛围,提高学生的学习兴趣,促进学生的发展。     

基于信号延迟和宽度调理的脉冲波形设计

高性能脉冲发生器,作为一种通用测试设备,能够产生参数连续可调的脉冲信号.分析脉冲波形产生的基本思路和方法原理,根据计数延迟和延迟线延迟的方案结合,设计出能实现信号延迟的脉冲延迟方案和实现脉冲宽度调理的实现方案.实现多周期延迟下的脉冲输出.