Environmental regulation and trade pattern：a case of China

As a growing number of countries, including both developed and developing countries, have in recent yearstaken environmental regulation at different levels, a question of great concern has been raised： can the regulation alterthe existing trade volume and trade pattern, and ultimately drive pollution-intensive industries to countries with low-levelregulations or even those without regulations at all？ Starting from the three different propositions concerning therelationship between environmental regulation and trade pattern, this paper applies cointegration analysis and errorcorrection model to empirically testing the relationship between environmental regulation and trade in China during theperiod of 1985-2005. Our empirical results indicate that in the short run the collection of pollution discharge fees bearsa positive impact on the export share of clean products of total exports. Thus, higher pollution discharge fees raise theratio of clean products exports to total exports. This further indicates that more stringent environmental regulationpromotes the exports of clean products. In the long run pollution discharge fees are positively correlated with the exportshare of clean products but negatively associated with their import share. Such correlations imply that environmentalregulation tends to facilitate the international specialization in line with comparative advantages.     

影响区域旅游竞争力的要素分析——以河北省为例

随着产业结构的不断升级、经济增长方式的不断转变,旅游业日益成为一国或一地的重要支柱产业。文章对影响区域旅游竞争力的多项指标进行了回归分析,并得出如下结论:城市发展水平、对外经济开放度、城市文化氛围、客源组成状况、交通承受能力等对提升旅游竞争力有密切的相关关系,且影响显著。     

中国培育经济发展新动能的成效研究*

新动能是推动新经济发展的核心驱动力,也是中国经济实现高质量发展的重要路径.本文评估了2015-2018年全国、四大板块和省际经济发展新动能成长效果.研究发现:①中国新动能培育取得了显著进展,正在加速产生巨大的经济效益,主要表现为,技术进步和无形资本快速积累为新动能培育奠定基础,产业技术改造和升级显现成效,“新业态”喷涌式发展;然而,促进新动能成长的营商环境改善并不明显;②东部板块经济新动能成长效果显著,中西部新动能成长正在加快,但东北板块新动能成长仍在徘徊;③北京和上海是中国经济新动能成长的引擎,但新疆、海南、甘肃、黑龙江等省(市、自治区)堪忧.     

社会创业组织与政府的关系研究及其思考

本文从社会创业组织的经济地位演变出发,对其与政府的关系进行研究,指出政府的持续支持是社会创业组织有序发展的保障,社会创业组织的发展也为政府分担了很多的社会公共服务压力,而对政府持续支持的客观评价则是促进社会创业组织可持续发展的重要手段。     

国际视域下德国科学计量学影响力研究

2019年普赖斯奖获得者是德国科学计量学家LutzBornmann，至此在30位普赖斯奖获得者中，德国共有两位学者获此殊荣，反映了德国科学计量学研究在国际上的重要地位。因此，有必要对德国科学计量学发展及国际影响力进行研究。以Scientometrics期刊数据以及施引文献作为数据来源，通过使用词频分析、战略坐标图、文献计量分析、Python爬虫方法、引文分析展现德国科学计量学在国际舞台上的战略地位。结果发现，第一阶段德国科学计量学发展处于较为领先的地位，但第二阶段稍逊于第一阶段。德国在科学计量学领域的发展有较为明显的领头羊效应，即第一、第二阶段都有一家机构、一名学者一枝独秀，引领德国乃至世界科学计量学发展。     

中国金融部门间系统性风险溢出的监测预警研究——基于下行和上行ΔCoES指标的实现与优化

为了对我国金融部门间的系统性风险溢出进行实时监测和有效预警,本文基于Adrian and Brunnermeier (2016) 的CoES指标构想,在左尾视角的基础上进一步引入右尾视角,构建下行和上行ΔCoES分别作为系统性风险的同期度量指标和前瞻预警指标,并提出了更为有效合理且同时适用于下行和上行ΔCoES的计算方法。本文一方面采用下行和上行ΔCoES对我国银行、证券、保险三个金融部门间的系统性风险溢出进行监测预警研究,另一方面还基于我国的经验数据检验上行和下行ΔCoES的性质。研究结果显示,我国金融部门间具有显著的系统性风险溢出效应,且三个部门间的风险溢出存在非对称性,银行部门是系统性风险的主要发送者,证券部门是系统性风险的主要接收者;三个部门两两间的风险溢出水平表现出明显的协同性和周期性,且上行的风险溢出水平高于下行。同时,基于我国的经验数据发现,上行ΔCoES对下行ΔCoES具有显著的先导性、前瞻性,上行ΔCoES可以作为系统性风险的前瞻预警指标。此外,下行ΔCoES能够引领ΔCoVaR和基于MES估计方法计算的短期ΔCoES指标,表明本文构建的下行ΔCoES实时性更强,更适合作为系统性风险的实时监测指标。     

The role of assessment centers in job satisfaction and organizational commitment: a case of the Korean government

While many studies have shown how assessment centers affect employees’ career success or job performance, these studies do not demonstrate how employees’ attitudes are affected by their perception of assessment centers. This study aims to investigate the influence of employees’ perception of assessment centers on their job satisfaction and organizational commitment, which are the key elements in predicting working behaviors, such as job performance, job involvement, and turnover intentions. To analyze the nature of the influence, 306 employees who had been evaluated by an assessment center in the Korean Rural Development Administration (KRDA) were surveyed. Regression analysis revealed that although there is no influence on their organizational commitment, employees with a positive perception of assessment centers experience higher levels of job satisfaction (p < .01). These results suggest that the positive perception of assessment centers affects the general feeling of organizational members about their work even though it does not affect their emotional attachment to the organization or dedication to organizational values. Thus, assessment centers can be used as a tool not only to select capable candidates but also to yield positive effects on organizational members’ job attitudes.     

关于腐败问题的经济学思考

本文从腐败产生的历史环境入手,通过对腐败行为、群众举报、司法工作的经济学分析,得出治理腐败经济学分析的几点启示。     

国外社会创业组织绩效评价模式与整合研究

社会创业组织的存在与社会经济进步和民主治理密切相关,但目前对社会创业组织绩效评价的系统研究还比较缺乏。本文首先从基于社会或财务分析角度以及研究方法与过程角度分别介绍了国外经典的基于平衡计分卡的绩效评价模式、基于投资社会回报的绩效评价方法、基于影响机制的绩效评价模式和基于研究方法论的绩效评价思想,然后构建了一个社会创业组织整合指标体系,旨在为后续研究提供相应的理论分埽与指导框架。     

科技创新驱动社会“智治”:成效、问题与路径

在现代信息技术深刻改变社会治理的背景下,用科技创新为社会治理赋能,提高社会"智治"水平,是推进社会治理现代化的重要途径。新技术的广泛应用显著提升了社会治理的精准性、协同性和有效性,但与新时代社会治理创新的要求和人民群众对美好生活的期待相比,当前在基层智慧化基础设施、数据共建共享机制、信息处置能力、社会信息安全与个人隐私保护等方面仍存在短板和不足。需要进一步增强科技创新对社会治理智能化的引领作用,构建面向未来的社会"智治"体系,提升社会"智治"效能。