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41.
The notion that prices impound a wide array of information, including market expectations, has led to earnings forecast models conditioned on prices. Yet, presumably, analysts' forecasts capture both public information and certain private information not previously impounded in prices. Accordingly, price-based models are seemingly an inefficient, and less effective, source of expecta-tions. This article investigates this hypothesis using financial analysts', price-based, and naive forecasts. Results indicate that analysts' forecasts (1) are at least as accurate as price-based and naive models, and (2) yield better expectations for market tests relating returns and earnings. These inferences are robust across different information environments. The evidence suggests that analysts either possess private information or are more effective information processors, or both. 相似文献
42.
Marketing’s contribution to the strategy dialogue 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
George S. Day 《Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science》1992,20(4):323-329
43.
Prior to making important decisions, marketing managers go through an evaluation process in which available alternatives are
compared. Yet, no systematic discussion of the evaluation process exists in the marketing literature. This article reviews
the marketing and behavioral decision theory literature in order to identify factors that may cause errors in the two fundamental
elements of the evaluation process—the estimation of probabilities and the determination of the value of outcomes. Propositions
are developed that specify circumstances in which marketing management decisions may be influenced by judgmental biases, and
procedures are identified for debiasing such judgments. 相似文献
44.
45.
Muzaffer S. 《Annals of Tourism Research》2002,29(4)
46.
47.
Popular monthly coincident indices of business cycles, e.g. the composite index and the Stock–Watson coincident index, have two shortcomings. First, they ignore information contained in quarterly indicators such as real GDP. Second, they lack economic interpretation; hence the heights of peaks and the depths of troughs depend on the choice of an index. This paper extends the Stock–Watson coincident index by applying maximum likelihood factor analysis to a mixed‐frequency series of quarterly real GDP and monthly coincident business cycle indicators. The resulting index is related to latent monthly real GDP. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
48.
Steven C. Hall 《Journal of Business Finance & Accounting》1993,20(4):613-621
This study investigates whether economic consequences have an effect on the length of the period over which goodwill is amortized. It finds that there is a significant relationship between the size of the firm and the length of the amortization period. It also finds, when the only firms included in the sample are those reporting debt covenant restrictions dependent in part on goodwill accounting, evidence that the length of the amortization period for goodwill is related to the firm's leverage. 相似文献
49.
50.
Björn S. Stefansson 《Quality and Quantity》1991,25(4):389-392
Borda's vote method was used by the French Academy from 1796 to 1803 when Napoleon got it abolished. In the laws and regulations
of the Academy there are stipulations regarding the election of new members. The practice is demonstrated by some examples
from the protocols.
In fact, Borda presented two vote methods which he showed would give the same conclusion. The method which has not been in
the limelight proves to be the same one as is used for selecting the best player in chess tournaments. 相似文献