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1.
Patrick Minford Michael Wickens Yongdeng Xu 《Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics》2019,81(1):178-194
We propose a way of testing a subset of equations of a DSGE model. The test draws on statistical inference for limited information models and the use of indirect inference to test DSGE models. Using the numerical small sample distribution of our test for two subsets of equations of the Smets–Wouters model we show that the test has accurate size and good power in small samples, and better power than using asymptotic distribution theory. In a test of the Smets–Wouters model on US Great Moderation data, we reject the specification of the wage‐price but not the expenditure sector. This points to the wage‐price sector as the source of overall model rejection. 相似文献
2.
In the context of personal income tax (PIT) reform in China in 2018, this paper examines some of the major issues of concern regarding the reform and income distribution. Using the China Personal Income Tax Micro‐simulation model, the paper compares the differences between the 2011 and 2018 PIT systems, and finds that residents relying on different income sources may face a large degree of real tax rate change. Once the tax system is altered to PIT 2018, the coverage of PIT for wage earners will decrease from 46.9 to 23.4 percent, the income redistributive effect will drop from 1.95 to 1.22 percent and the PIT's role in fiscal revenue will also be negatively affected. Nevertheless, if individual income continues to grow, the share of PIT in fiscal revenue is expected to return to the 2018 level in 2022, but its income redistribution function is difficult to recover in the short term. The paper finds that the effect of PIT on income distribution depends on the tax structure. Gradual transition to an “entirely comprehensive” tax system when conditions are appropriate will achieve better income redistribution results at a lower average tax rate. 相似文献
3.
This article studies how aid for trade (AfT) affects the quality of recipient countries’ exports. It shows that the quality effect is most discernible for AfT for assistance in trade policy: a 50% increase in the value of AfT received in this category is associated with a 0.5–1% increase in the quality of exports to the donor and other OECD countries. On average, the actual AfT received for assistance in trade policy leads to a 2% upgrade of the recipient country in the quality ladder of all developing countries. Around half of this quality effect is driven by the quality improvement of continued products in continued markets (intensive margin), and the other half by the quality upgrading of new products in continued markets and existing products in new markets (extensive margin). 相似文献
4.
如何减少欺骗是当前中国社会普遍面临的问题。文章结合社会地位理论和自我概念理论,研究了减少欺骗行为的机制。我们利用实验室实验,区分先赋性和自致性两种地位获取方式,用欺骗博弈来检验不同社会地位来源对欺骗决策的影响。结果发现,个人通过真实劳动获得的自致性社会地位可以显著减少欺骗行为;由于幸运得到的先赋性社会地位不能减少欺骗行为。同时,非物质收益的社会地位比赋予物质收益的社会地位更有效减少欺骗行为,说明物质收益是对市场化自我概念的提醒,从而无助于降低欺骗。研究结果在剔除策略性行为后依然稳健。研究有效验证了Mazar et al.(2008)关于影响欺骗行为的自我概念内在决定机制,并对各类组织提升诚信管理具有重要借鉴意义。 相似文献
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从建国到改革开放初期,我国国民经济核算采用的是前苏联、东欧国家的物质产品平衡表体系(MPS)、核心指标是国民收入,反映的是物质生产。改革开放后,非物质性服务业获得了迅速发展,并在国民经济中发挥越来越重要的作用。随着1998年石油行业重组改制和2000年股份公司改制上市、股份制石油企业的管理体制、运行机制、经济关系和会计核算方法等都发生了重大变化,对增加值这一重要经济总量指标的核算方法进行研究已迫在眉睫。增加值有三种核算方法:一是生产法,二是收入法或分配法,三是支出法或最终使用法。文章结合石油企业的实际,着重讨论了前两种核算方法,包括基本原则、计算公式、主要指标、资料获取,以及对生产法和收入法增加值计算结果不等的处理。 相似文献
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State-owned enterprises going public The case of China 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
Public listing is a key reform measure for large state‐owned enterprises (SOEs) in China. We find evidence that public listing lowers state ownership significantly, lessens firms’ reliance on debt finance, and allows firms to increase capital expenditure, at least temporarily. We also find that ownership structure affects post‐listing performance. However, we find no statistical evidence of a positive effect of public listing on firms’ profitability. We suggest alternative interpretations of the last finding. 相似文献
9.
文章以芜湖市邮政局2005年报刊收订工作为例,探讨了如何以市场为导向做好报刊发行的策划、宣传、收订和服务工作,并对如何整合邮政内外部资源,提高宣传力度,扩大市场份额作了具体阐述。 相似文献
10.
入夏以来,北京出现持续高温天气,酷暑难耐.导致电力负荷急剧上升。当千家万户在享受空调的清凉时。却很少有人能够真正意识到目前北京电力供需状况的严峻性.清楚地了解我们轻松用电的背后.市委市政府及有关部门为此付出的艰辛和所做的大量卓有成效的工作。实际上.北京早已打响缓解电力供需矛盾,安全迎峰度夏的“战役”。 相似文献