Some characteristics of adopters of a major innovation in the computer field and its potential use in marketing

The computer industry is changing dramatically thanks to new technologies that facilitate departure from the lock-in strategies pursued by the long-term industry leaders. New, highly competent competitors have entered the market with the resulting lower profit margins. Innovations in hardware and software are continuously introduced, and a rapid, successful introduction in the market is essential to gain a foothold before new contenders erode the opportunity. The selection of the most likely buyers is therefore important to direct the marketing efforts optimally. An international and a regional field study were carried out to identify the profile of organizations and individuals most likely to adopt an innovation in the computer field. These findings coupled with data base marketing techniques seem promising for a higher success rate in reaching the early adopters (lead users), making it possible to establish a first-mover advantage. The suggested approach can be used in other industries in rapid change.     

对中央银行非常规政策退出的几点思考

当前,随着全球经济复苏态势的不断显现,关于非常规货币政策的有序退出也逐步提上了各国央行的议事日程。该文对于非常规货币政策的概念、类别,以及金融危机以来美日欧等主要经济体所采取的非常规政策进行了梳理,在此基础上对于非常规货币政策的效果评价,及非常规货币政策的退出时机、节奏和顺序等战略决策进行了相关探讨和思考。     

当前宏观经济形势与2004年的比较与思考

当前,国内外经济形势错综复杂。文章通过对近期和2004年中国宏观经济形势的比较,分析其中的异同,以厘清未来走势,并为宏观调控提供借鉴。两个时期部有一些相同点：中国经济从低谷走出,乐观情绪升温,房价骤涨,通胀开始抬头,中国跟随世界进人新一轮加息周期,人民币升值压力不断加大。两者不同点是：当前货币增长速度远远快于2004年。贸易顺差更大,信贷和财政状况逊色。未来,预计CPI回升势头更快,央行面临回收流动性的压力更大,贸易摩擦加剧,中美息差可能进一步扩大,人民币的升值压力将加大。     

对云南省执行企业所得税优惠政策的调查与思考

从云南省执行企业所得税优惠政策的实践可以看出,在经济欠发达区域,税收优惠政策的作用尚未有效发挥,存在着一些影响政策运行的现实问题。据此,本文提出了完善企业所得税优惠政策的思路及建议。     

基于马尔可夫分析的人民银行分支机构人力资源配置预测

本文以人民银行济南分行为例,在对辖区2006—2008年人力资源配置情况进行分析的基础上,尝试运用马尔可夫分析法,对2009、2010年人力资源配置情况进行分析预测,以期为分支机构人力资源优化配置提供参考。     

Some Properties of Past Entropy and their Applications

In the context of information theory, measure of uncertainty in past lifetime distribution has been proposed by Di Crescenzo and Longobardi (J Appl Probab 39:434–440, 2002). In this paper, we study some ordering and aging properties in terms of past entropy (based on past lifetime) and develop some characterization results. Some discrete distribution results are also addressed here.     

Tensions in local government employment relationships

Abstract

A wide variety of initiatives characterized under the umbrella term of new public management have been introduced over the past two decades to improve efficiency and cost-effectiveness in the public sector. The implications of these initiatives for public sector employment relationships have been the subject of on-going debate. This article contributes to this debate through examining how employees within local authorities are managed in a time of personal crisis with a particular focus on long-term sickness absence in the context of increased management drives for efficiency under the NPM agenda. The findings reveal that for managers in two local authorities that form the focus of this study there is a tension in struggling to achieve a workable balance between the needs of employees and wider operational requirements, resulting in role ambiguity for line managers and detrimental effects for vulnerable public service workers.     

近代东北区城市化与工业化相互作用的过程分析

20世纪初,东北地区一度发展成为我国最早的重化工业地域,同时城市化的水平位于全国前列.快速的工业化是东北区高速城市化的基础,同时殖民地产业布局地调整和优化又离不开城市化的支撑.吸取历史经验,对于当今振兴东北老工业基地具有深远的现实意义.