Human Development and Economic Sustainability

This paper attempts to integrate the concern for human development in the present with that in the future. In arguing for sustainable human development, it appeals to the notion of ethical “universalism”—an elementary demand for impartiality of claims—applied within and between generations. Economic sustainability is often seen as a matter of intergenerational equity, but the specification of what is to be sustained is not always straightforward. The addendum explores the relationship between distributional equity, sustainable development, optimal growth, and pure time preference.     

中国的土地财政与宏观经济波动研究——基于贝叶斯估计的DSGE模型分析

利用贝叶斯方法估计模型参数,定量分析土地财政的宏观经济效应。研究表明：土地的出让收入构成了地方政府财政主要收入来源;土地出让冲击最高可解释34.21%的土地价格波动,土地需求冲击可解释超过50%的投资波动,并带来消费、投资及产出的正向响应,说明土地市场的供求关系是导致宏观经济波动的重要原因,而地方政府的土地财政行为通过影响土地价格传导至实体经济,放大了宏观经济波动。因此,改革分税制度、完善土地市场机制、制定科学的长期供地计划、加快土地市场改革进程,有助于避免供地行为本身对经济波动的影响。     

The Firm's Management of Social Interactions

Consumer choice is influenced in a direct and meaningful way by the actions taken by others. These “actions” range from face-to-face recommendations from a friend to the passive observation of what a stranger is wearing. We refer to the set of such contexts as “social interactions” (SI). We believe that at least some of the SI effects are partially within the firm's control and that this represents an exciting research opportunity. We present an agenda that identifies a list of unanswered questions of potential interest to both researchers and managers. In order to appreciate the firm's choices with respect to its management of SI, it is important to first evaluate where we are in terms of understanding the phenomena themselves. We highlight five questions in this regard: (1) What are the antecedents of word of mouth (WOM)? (2) How does the transmission of positive WOM differ from that of negative WOM? (3) How does online WOM differ from offline WOM? (4) What is the impact of WOM? (5) How can we measure WOM? Finally, we identify and discuss four principal, non-mutually exclusive, roles that the firm might play: (1) observer, (2) moderator, (3) mediator, and (4) participant.     

CRM在酒店管理系统中的设计与应用

客户关系管理(CRM)是一种新的管理理念,在企业的具体实践中引入这一理念有利于企业去管理并分析宝贵的客户数据,从而更加了解和更准确预测客户的需要,改善客户服务质量,不断改进与客户关系,提高客户满意度以及加强客户的忠诚度。文章介绍了一个实用的酒店管理信息系统的设计和实现方法,针对目前传统酒店管理信息系统中存在的缺陷,重点论述了如何把CRM理念引入该管理信息系统中。实践证明,该系统具有良好的性能和较强的适用性。     

汽车初始备件两级库存模型研究

运用汽车可靠性试验时的故障数据,并针对新车型在使用初期的故障规律,提出了基于泊松分布的初始备件两级库存模型.通过一组实例数据,初步验证了模型的可行性.     

CRM在酒店管理系统中的设计与应用

客户关系管理(CRM)是一种新的管理理念,在企业的具体实践中引入这一理念有利于企业去管理并分析宝贵的客户数据,从而更加了解和更准确预测客户的需要,改善客户服务质量,不断改进与客户关系,提高客户满意度以及加强客户的忠诚度。文章介绍了一个实用的酒店管理信息系统的设计和实现方法,针对目前传统酒店管理信息系统中存在的缺陷,重点论述了如何把CRM理念引入该管理信息系统中。实践证明,该系统具有良好的性能和较强的适用性。     

基于DEA的AHP分析基础上的应急物流配送目的地的决策分析

在大规模突发灾害时，国家应急物流最先反应是把现有救援物资在第一时间送达灾情最严重的地区4-，然后再调集社会力量救援抢险。运用将DEA和AHP相结合的定量分析法，给救援物资的配送提供决策支持，并通过实证分析给出了方法决策的具体过程。