首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   11045篇
  免费   79篇
财政金融   2008篇
工业经济   913篇
计划管理   2079篇
经济学   2329篇
综合类   135篇
运输经济   81篇
旅游经济   171篇
贸易经济   1700篇
农业经济   536篇
经济概况   1150篇
信息产业经济   1篇
邮电经济   21篇
  2021年   84篇
  2020年   146篇
  2019年   217篇
  2018年   212篇
  2017年   239篇
  2016年   270篇
  2015年   153篇
  2014年   221篇
  2013年   1055篇
  2012年   317篇
  2011年   349篇
  2010年   314篇
  2009年   355篇
  2008年   314篇
  2007年   292篇
  2006年   265篇
  2005年   225篇
  2004年   220篇
  2003年   222篇
  2002年   250篇
  2001年   232篇
  2000年   257篇
  1999年   226篇
  1998年   233篇
  1997年   210篇
  1996年   225篇
  1995年   184篇
  1994年   171篇
  1993年   192篇
  1992年   197篇
  1991年   188篇
  1990年   195篇
  1989年   146篇
  1988年   130篇
  1987年   124篇
  1986年   144篇
  1985年   207篇
  1984年   168篇
  1983年   153篇
  1982年   125篇
  1981年   147篇
  1980年   126篇
  1979年   131篇
  1978年   129篇
  1977年   73篇
  1976年   101篇
  1975年   78篇
  1974年   75篇
  1973年   75篇
  1972年   67篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
991.
随着时间的推移,中国的消费者将能够在越来越充分的信息背景下做出消费选择,即使是针对新的、不熟悉的商品。随着时间的推移,制造商会意识到开发质量稳定、品牌知名的优势产品的莫大益处。届时,品牌的价值将大大增加,高质量产品的价格将会上升,劳动力也将得到  相似文献   
992.
993.
    
We discuss a mixed methodology for analyzing pile sorting data. We created a list of 14 barriers to colon cancer screening and recruited 18, 13, and 14 participants from three American Indian (AI) communities to perform pile sorting. Quantitative data were analyzed by cluster analysis and multidimensional scaling. Differences across sites were compared using permutation bootstrapping. Qualitative data collected during sorting were compiled by AI staff members who determined names for the clusters found in quantitative analysis. Results showed five clusters of barriers in each site although barriers in the clusters varied slightly across sites. Simulation demonstrated type I error rates around the nominal 0.05 level whereas power depended on the numbers of clusters, and between and within cluster variability.  相似文献   
994.
995.
996.
    
In Bayesian analysis of vector autoregressive models, and especially in forecasting applications, the Minnesota prior of Litterman is frequently used. In many cases other prior distributions provide better forecasts and are preferable from a theoretical standpoint. Several of these priors require numerical methods in order to evaluate the posterior distribution. Different ways of implementing Monte Carlo integration are considered. It is found that Gibbs sampling performs as well as, or better, then importance sampling and that the Gibbs sampling algorithms are less adversely affected by model size. We also report on the forecasting performance of the different prior distributions. © 1997 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
997.
    
Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity, measured as marginal costs, are modeled within a set of extended New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) models. It is shown that mechanical removal or modeling of simple low‐frequency movements in the data may yield poor predictive results which depend on the model specification used. Basic NKPC models are extended to include structural time series models that describe typical time‐varying patterns in levels and volatilities. Forward‐ and backward‐looking expectation components for inflation are incorporated and their relative importance is evaluated. Survey data on expected inflation are introduced to strengthen the information in the likelihood. Use is made of simulation‐based Bayesian techniques for the empirical analysis. No credible evidence is found on endogeneity and long‐run stability between inflation and marginal costs. Backward‐looking inflation appears stronger than forward‐looking inflation. Levels and volatilities of inflation are estimated more precisely using rich NKPC models. The extended NKPC structures compare favorably with existing basic Bayesian vector autoregressive and stochastic volatility models in terms of fit and prediction. Tails of the complete predictive distributions indicate an increase in the probability of deflation in recent years. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
998.
999.
1000.
Summary and Conclusions This study investigated the role of both domestic structural factors and tariff protection in explaining inter-industry differences in profitability in Australian manufacturing industries. At no stage did concentration have a significant effect on profitability at the four-digit level of analysis, in comparison to its observed significant positive effect at the three-digit level. Other structural factors appear to be more important in explaining inter-industry variations in profitability in Australia. The effective tariff rate was negatively associated with profitability, the relationship notably being more highly significant in those industries enjoying higher than average tariff protection. It is suggested that this negative relationship for Australia may be due to a similar phenomenon noted in relation to Canadian manufacturing, namely that tariff protection has led to the permanent creation of too many sub-optimal production units, resulting in lower efficiency and decreased profits. A reduction in the effective rate of tariff protection given to high cost Australian manufacturing industries may therefore yield greater efficiency, as well as at the same time permitting the possibility of increased potential and actual foreign competition.This paper was written while the author was Visting Associate Professor at the University of Delaware. Thanks are due to members of the Industrial Organization Workshop at the University of Virginia for comments on an earlier draft, and to the Managing Editor for his suggestions. I am grateful to the Reserve Bank of Australia for support for this research from their Economic and Financial Research Fund. The views expressed in this paper are those of the author alone.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号