分析国情 寻找对策 ——《中国综合农业区划》编写的回顾

对<中国综合农业区划>的编写过程中分析国情、总结历史经验、寻找对策等做法进行了回顾,提出当前农业区划要重视农业可持续发展和市场经济的研究.     

深化“三农”品牌管理与营销

服务“三农”是农业银行的特色项目。农业银行目前已有一系列的产品品牌。文章分析了服务“三农”产品品牌的特色,探讨了服务“三农品牌”创新与营销推广的路途。     

中国农民工供给态势与“十二五”时期走向

我国农村劳动力转移已进入总体上仍然过剩,但结构性供求矛盾开始突出,农村劳动力供求关系正从长期供过于求转向总量过剩,结构短缺的新阶段。促进农村劳动力转移仍将是我国中长期的重要任务。十二五以及更长时间内,要做好劳动力转移工作,必须把产业结构优化调整放在重要的位置,坚持发展服务业,有序积极推进农民工市民化工作,进一步增加对农村居民培训的投入,提高农村劳动力的受教育程度和技能水平,进而促进社会和谐发展。     

2003:脆弱复苏中的日本经济

2003年日本经济呈现出复苏的迹象,国内外专家、学者对此极为关注。但是,对日本经济走势的分析目前还尚难定论,还需要透过现象进行深入的研究。为此,我们组织了吉林大学东北亚研究中心日本研究方面的有关专家、学者从总体、内需、财政、货币金融、国际贸易、国际直接投资、产业国际竞争力和企业雇佣等角度,对2003年的日本经济进行了回顾与分析,并在此基础上,对日本经济今后的走势进行了展望。     

Differentials in urban-rural fertility in the countries of the ESCAP region

Fertility differentials between rural and urban populations are investigated using World Fertility Survey data for Bangladesh, Fiji, Indonesia, Malaysia, Nepal, Pakistan, the Philippines, the Republic of Korea, Sri Lanka, and Thailand. "The fertility measure used in this analysis is the number of children ever born to a woman. An attempt is made first to establish the differential in fertility levels between urban and rural areas after necessary control of the demographic factors..., and then the possible explanation of the differential is sought in terms of socio-economic variables such as education of the respondent, and occupation, work pattern, work status and place of work of the respondent as well as that of the husband." Data concerning the fertility differentials and the associated explanatory variables are presented in tables and charts. "The results tend to show that the countries of Asia are undergoing similar patterns of fertility transition as was experienced in the advanced countries. Perhaps one can graduate the countries in the transition scale as follows: Bangladesh, Indonesia, Nepal, Pakistan and Malaysia are in the initial stage; Fiji, the Philippines, the Republic of Korea, Sri Lanka and Thailand are in the middle stage of transition."     

2008年宏观经济及债券市场前景展望

该文分别从经济增长、资金面以及货币政策三个方面分析了宏观经济的前景,认为通货膨胀会见顶回落、债券市场的资金面和宏观货币政策会转为宽松;文章认为2008年宏观经济的增长将趋缓,但利率的由升转降以及资金面的宽松将使得债券市场得以起飞和发展。