Attributes affecting the level of tourist satisfaction with and loyalty towards theatrical performance in China: Evidence from a qualitative study

This study seeks to explore attributes affecting the level of tourist satisfaction with and loyalty towards theatrical performance in China. Based on four focus group discussions with 31 participants, the study identifies 34 attributes that affect the level of tourist satisfaction with theatrical performance, and groups them into five categories: stage, performance, venue, service and tourist‐related attributes. The findings on tourist loyalty reveal that 21 of the 31 respondents would not watch the same theatrical performance alone in the future; however, they would recommend it to others. The study concludes with a discussion of the rich and insightful findings and their implications for tourism industry practitioners. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

改革开放30年来江苏和广东经济发展路径对比研究

中国省域经济格局中,广东和江苏占据两席重要地位。通过对两省社会发展背景的全面比较,系统回顾了粤、苏两地经济和社会发展历程与轨迹,抽炼出各自经济发展的主导模式。最后,针对两省存在的优劣势,提出两省未来经济发展的建议和对策,尤其提出两省未来经济合作的可能性。     

环渤海地区汽车产业产学研集成化合作模式探讨

汽车产业是环渤海地区的支柱产业,自主创新是汽车产业发展的关键。实现自主创新的有效途径是集成各方面的资源优势,构建集成化产学研合作模式。环渤海区域已具备产学研集成化合作的条件,实现的途径是建立健全整体运行机制和保障机制。     

Business Cycle Asymmetry in China： Evidence from Friedman＇s Plucking Model

Friedman＇s plucking model of business fluctuations suggests that output cannot exceed an upper limit, but it is occasionally ＂plucked＂ downward below trends as a result of economic recessions. This paper investigates China＇s business fluetuations using quarterly real GDP data for the period 1978 2009. Our results show some evidence supporting Friedman＇s plucking model. We find that a ceiling effect of real output exists, and that negative asymmetric shocks significantly affect the transitory component, which captures the plucking downward behavior during the recession. The results also suggest that the basic asymmetric unobserved component model is not appropriate for directly modeling China＇s real output because the business＂ cycle is inaccurately measured, but it works quite well when considering a structural break in the second quarter of 1992. The results reveal that although China＇s economy strengthened in the second quarter of 2009, it is essential for China＇s government to take further positive and effective measures to maintain sustainable development of the economy.     

国际金融危机与美国的单极地位——当前美国的国家实力、国内制度和国际战略调整

国内政治经济制度和国家从国际秩序中获益性将决定一定时期内该大国的兴衰趋势。在分析国际金融危机与美国的单极地位时,作者在考察国际金融危机对主要大国和地区所造成的冲击时发现,美国所受到的冲击相对较轻,而它的综合国力、失业率和国际竞争力指标都仍然领先,即便从短期效应来说,国际金融危机致使美国实力衰落的观点值得质疑。从应对金融危机的经验和美国社会的人口结构等因素来看,美国的优势仍然存在。在短期内,整个美国社会并没有因为金融危机而出现大的动荡。从长期来说,国际金融危机可能会促进美国国内政治和经济制度的改良,也有利于奥巴马政府调整国际战略,避免承担过多的国际责任和过度扩张,进而重振美国在国际秩序中的领导地位。在这些调整过程中,如果奥巴马政府采取了一种稳健的方式,坚持自由市场的基本原则和分权制衡的政治传统,经历了国际金融危机的美国霸权及其单极地位相反有可能会进一步得到加强。     

商业银行对科技中小企业贷款方式的研究

商业银行贷款给科技中小企业面临着高风险,而高收益的要求在我国由于分业经营和利率浮动上限的限制,不能得到满足。文章设计的资产价格浮动利率法和滚动结算法可以使银行贷款给科技中小企业,承担高风险的同时,获得高收益,从而增强商业银行给科技中小企业贷款的激励,解决科技中小企业的融资难题。     

经济结构调整在污染治理中的作用——基于中国1985—2009年的实证分析

经济结构及其调整是否有利于治污减排目标的实现,这是政策制定者非常关心的问题。本文通过中国1985—2009年的统计数据,分析经济结构及其调整与三类主要污染物排放之间的关系。研究发现,随着经济结构的改善和优化,污染物排放呈现逐渐下降的趋势,也就是说经济结构调整有助于污染治理。本文的研究为资源环境约束下经济结构调整的必要性进一步给出了经验证据。     

高层结构施工应注意的几个问题

针对铜陵地区特殊的地质条件,文章就高层建筑地下室地基土方施工应注意的问题,以及本地区高层建筑施工中混凝土施工缝留设、地下室混凝土壁板抗渗、钢筋施工、混凝土界面处理等方面常见的问题及处理措施进行了分析。     

米特教学方法体系的构建与语言能力的开发

米特教学方法体系在同一时间内可提供的交际频率高,交际方式多,交际向度广,交际效度稳。这种体系运用听、说、读、写、看等多项交际方式,通过口语交际、大脑内部语言交际、书面语交际等传递方式,使所有的参加者都能消除心理障碍,在规定的时间内进行广泛的语言交流,引起思维共振,形成群体效应,最大程度地提高参与者的语言学习能力、应用能力及决策能力。     

Testing semiparametric conditional moment restrictions using conditional martingale transforms

This paper studies conditional moment restrictions that contain unknown nonparametric functions, and proposes a general method of obtaining asymptotically distribution-free tests via martingale transforms. Examples of such conditional moment restrictions are single index restrictions, partially parametric regressions, and partially parametric quantile regressions. This paper introduces a conditional martingale transform that is conditioned on the variable in the nonparametric function, and shows that we can generate distribution-free tests of various semiparametric conditional moment restrictions using this martingale transform. The paper proposes feasible martingale transforms using series estimation and establishes their asymptotic validity. Some results from a Monte Carlo simulation study are presented and discussed.