Using data envelopment analysis to evaluate efficiency in the economic performance of Chinese cities

This paper studies the use of DEA (data envelopment analysis) as a tool for possible use in evaluating and planning the economic performance of China's cities (28 in all) which play a critical role in the government's program of economic development. DEA promises advantages which include the absence of any need for the assignment of weights on an a priori basis (to reflect the supposed relative importance of various outputs or inputs) when evaluating technical efficiency. It is also unnecessary to explicitly specify underlying functions that are intended to prescribe the analytical form of the relations between inputs and outputs. Finally, as is illustrated in the paper, DEA can be used to identify sources, and estimate amounts of inefficiencies in each city's performance as well as to identify returns-to-scale possibilities in ways that seem well-suited to the mixture of centralized and decentralized planning and performance that China is currently trying to use.     

Analysing the stakes of stakeholders in research and development project management: a systems approach

Research and development (R&D) project management involves managing multiple stakeholders with conflicting stakes. This article proposes a systems approach to capture such conflicting stakes of multiple stakeholders in controversial R&D projects. The approach is illustrated using a New Zealand case study related to the use of 1080 chemical for pest management. Initially, the problem situation was structured systemically by analysing the behaviour of the main variables and by conducting a stakeholder analysis. Further, a participative systems model related to the problem situation was developed using a group model‐building process. The analysis of the model revealed a set of feedback loops operating in the system identified as constituting and responsible for the complexity of the problem situation relating to 1080 use. In conclusion, the paper highlights some strategies suggested by the stakeholders to manage conflict.     

Cash Flow Risk Management in the Property/Liability Insurance Industry: A Dynamic Factor Modeling Approach

This study proposes and demonstrates a dynamic factor model that can be empirically carried out by the utilization of a factor-augmented autoregressive technique to explain and forecast the time-varying patterns of cash flows of insurance companies in the United States. A principal component approach is employed in the Factor-Augmented Autoregressive Model (FAARM) to capture the augmented factors that are to be utilized for forecasting. We describe the cash flow statistical model by a dimension-reduction technique that can depict the dynamic patterns of the cash flows of insurance firms and then measure the FAARM model. Results from the first step (principal component analysis) help capture the macroeconomic variables and the variables pertaining to insurance companies' cash flows, namely, cash flows from investment, underwriting, and risk management activities. Results from the second step offer evidence supporting that the FAARM improves the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy assessed by a forecasted root-mean-squared error (FRMSE). This article presents a set of feasible FAAR models from which an insurance firm can choose one that can be a better fit to the firm corresponding to its specific firm characteristics, such as firm size. Consequently, the chosen FAARM(s) can improve the accuracy of cash flow forecasting and thus can help insurers to manage risk via cash-flow–matching techniques.     

Development Resource Planning: Complexity of Product Development and the Capacity to Launch New Products

Overcommitment of development capacity or development resource deficiencies are important problems in new product development (NPD). Existing approaches to development resource planning have largely neglected the issue of resource magnitude required for NPD. This research aims to fill the void by developing a simple higher‐level aggregate model based on an intuitive idea: The number of new product families that a firm can effectively undertake is bound by the complexity of its products or systems and the total amount of resources allocated to NPD. This study examines three manufacturing companies to verify the proposed model. The empirical results confirm the study's initial hypothesis: The more complex the product family, the smaller the number of product families that are launched per unit of revenue. Several suggestions and implications for managing NPD resources are discussed, such as how this study's model can establish an upper limit for the capacity to develop and launch new product families.     

Optimal dynamic hedging in incomplete futures markets

This article derives optimal hedging demands for futures contracts from an investor who cannot freely trade his portfolio of primitive assets in the context of either a CARA or a logarithmic utility function. Existing futures contracts are not numerous enough to complete the market. In addition, in the case of CARA, the nonnegativity constraint on wealth is binding, and the optimal hedging demands are not identical to those that would be derived if the constraint were ignored. Fictitiously completing the market, we can characterize the optimal hedging demands for futures contracts. Closed-form solutions exist in the logarithmic case but not in the CARA case, since then a put (insurance) written on his wealth is implicitly bought by the investor. Although solutions are formally similar to those that obtain under complete markets, incompleteness leads in fact to second-best optima.     

Modelling the Link Between Management Practices and Financial Performance. Evidence from Small Construction Companies

This paper develops a structural model to investigate the direct and indirect effects of owner–manager and company characteristics and selected management practices on the financial performance of a sample of 218 small Belgian construction companies. The results show that the owner–manager and company characteristics (experience, education, financial knowledge, knowledge of cost accounting, company size and age) have no direct significant impact on financial performance. However, several significant paths have been found between the owner–manager and company characteristics and management practices. As far as the direct effects of the management practices are concerned we observe several significant paths from the management practices to financial performance. Our findings indicate that a model approach by including owner–manager and company characteristics and management practices in an intertwined way is necessary when exploring their effects on small business financial performance.     

Retrospective and prospective views about the future of the multinational enterprise

This paper reflects upon Buckley and Casson's seminal volume The Future of the Multinational Enterprise (1976). Retrospectively, it examines the reasons for the impact of The Future on research in international business, on the one hand, while it reviews the merit of the different chapters in today's economic environment. The paper subsequently also introduces some prospective views on the use of internalization theory, which are elaborated upon in the other papers in this issue.     

The Wage–Health Insurance Trade‐off and Worker Selection: Evidence From the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey 1997 to 2006

Key provisions within healthcare reform will likely further increase the cost of employer‐sponsored insurance. Theory suggests that workers pay for their health insurance through a wage offset. We investigate this issue using data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. GMM estimates aimed at correcting for endogenous worker mobility reveal evidence of a trade‐off for workers who are offered health insurance as the only fringe benefit. On the other hand, employees in establishments with a more comprehensive set of benefits enjoy higher wages relative to employees in establishments that offer no benefits. Health also affects the wage–health insurance trade‐off.