Adjustable-rate mortgages,household mobility,and homeownership: A simulation study

A semi-Markov model is used to evaluate the effects of adjustable-rate mortgages on housing tenure decisions of recent movers and steady-state homeownership rates. Simulations were undertaken based on household data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics together with information on FRM-ARM rate spreads and Treasury yield curves. Results suggest that under most interest rate patterns that prevailed in the 1980s, ARMS had little effect on the relative cost of owning to renting and, as a result, had little effect on mover tenure choice and home sales. Moreover, despite some minor projected increase in the percentage of movers that choose to own when ARMs are available, ARM effects on steady-state owner-occupancy rates appear to be largely mitigated by an ARM-induced tilt toward a relatively more mobile steady-state pool of owner-occupiers.     

THE MEASUREMENT OF GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN KOREA

South Korea began its measurement of Gross National Product during the turbulent 1950's, a period of postwar rebuilding and of political and social changes. With only a small and largely inexperienced staff, and with little support from other statistical agencies whose data were essential to adequate GNP measurement, the Bank of Korea began this task in the early 1950's. Early estimates were extremely rough; over the years, the statistical staff was trained and other statistical agencies were upgraded. Measurements of output in the large agricultural sector and in manufacturing have gradually but consistently been strengthened as recent input-output data has been developed. Gaps still persist, particularly in the wholesale and retail sectors, but certain strengths are present: an outstanding job has been done in product pricing. The author describes the evolution of Korea's improving GNP program, presents its sources of data and its methodologies, and gives an assessment of problems of the past and prospects for the future.     

Inequality of Opportunity in Europe

Using the EU‐SILC database, we estimate and compare the Inequality of Opportunity (IO) of 23 European countries in 2005. IO is estimated as the between‐type (ex‐ante) inequality component following the parametric procedure of Ferreira and Gignoux (2011 ), which allows for the inclusion of the large set of circumstances in the database. We also measure the degree of correlation between IO estimates and a set of past and contemporaneous economic factors related to the degree of development, labor market performance, investment in human capital, and social protection spending.     

Microenterprise Dynamics in Developing Countries: How Similar are They to Those in the Industrialized World? Evidence from Mexico

A rich panel data set from Mexico is used to study the patternsof entry, exit, and growth of microenterprises and to comparethese with the findings of the mainstream theoretical and empiricalwork on firm dynamics. The Mexican self-employment sector ismuch larger than its counterpart in the United States, whichis reflected in higher unconditional rates of entry into thesector. The evidence for Mexico points to the significant presenceof well-performing salaried workers among the likely entrantsinto self-employment, as opposed to the higher incidence ofpoorer wageworkers among the entrants into the U.S. self-employmentsector. Despite these differences, however, the patterns ofentry, survival, and growth with respect to age, education,and many other covariates are very similar in Mexico and theUnited States. These strong similarities suggest that mainstreammodels of worker decisions and firm behavior are useful guidesfor policymaking for the developing-country microenterprisesector. Furthermore, they suggest that, as a first approximation,the developing-country microenterprise should probably be viewedas they are in the advanced countries as offering potentiallydesirable job opportunities to low-productivity workers.     

Blog,collaboration and e-commerce theoretical and applicative research project

This theme continues and completes another interdisciplinary project launched one year ago, and its aim is to realize one or several models about e-business in Romania. As a consequence, we can speak now about an extended project. The elaborated material will be useful for a large number of companies doing business in Romanian online environment. The team wants to elaborate solutions for e-businesses, as well as to create a complex and utile work, a starting point for companies wishing to exist in web lifestyle within a global economy. It will be elaborated a manual of blog and electronic commerce, both with theoretical and applicative aspects. This project will consolidate a research nucleus in blogs, collaboration and electronic businesses at the Business Administration Department, Babes-Bolyai University. The results of this extended project will have impact on several plans on the scientific community.     

A Note on Building a Counterfactual for Mercosur

ABSTRACT

Heterogeneity among trade agreements across Latin American countries is important for comparing different experiences and for evaluating the success of existing trade agreements. This note evaluates the Mercosur agreement in a counterfactual framework. Member countries’ experiences are compared to the Mexican experience in several dimensions other than trade. In particular, the effect of trade agreements is evaluated in terms of its effect on the labor market (inequality and informality) and on other measures of integration. This new analysis puts Mercosur in a more positive balance with respect to the pure trade theory analysis.     

Manipulation of voting schemes with restricted beliefs

In this paper we define manipulation with restricted beliefs as the possibility for some voter to have an insincere preference ordering that dominates the sincere one within the given individual beliefs over other agents’ preferences. We then show that all non-dictatorial voting schemes are manipulable in this sense, up to a given threshold.     

Man,the city and the automobile in the future

The present day city mirrors the internal conflict of modern man. He wants to live in towns and preferably in towns which are pleasant to live in. But, at the same time, he does not wish to be deprived of his car and indeed cannot do without it. Yet the present day automobile has shown itself to be incompatible with the city, or at least with a city that is good to live in. Is there any hope of resolving this dilemma in the next generation, the 26 years which will take us to the year 2000, without endangering a powerful automobile industry, probably vital to the survival of our industrial society, and without destroying our civilisation which is essentially a civilisation of town dwellers ?