西部十二省市区2002年与2020年全面小康的差距--生活质量主要指标的比较

西部地区2002年的现状与2020年全面小康目标在生活质量方面总体上存在很大差距，12个省市区的综合实现程度都很低。     

科技政策对企业创新的作用机制研究——以广东省为例的实证分析

科技创新是立国之本、强国之路。政府在不同阶段制定相应的科技政策,以求持续激励企业参与创新活动、提高企业核心竞争力、促进产业结构转型升级。基于广东省2005-2017年上市公司数据,采用计数模型实证分析了地级市政府科技政策对企业创新的影响及作用机制。研究表明：科技政策力度越大,越能提高企业的创新水平;科技政策的激励作用主要通过研发强度这一中介变量产生;科技政策不仅能促进企业的策略性创新行为,同时也会导致企业的实质性创新行为;直接激励类型的政策对企业创新并无显著影响,而营造创新氛围的间接激励类型政策则对企业创新有着显著的正向影响;政策激励对非国有企业、非高科技企业的正向作用更加明显。     

银行信贷与中国经济波动:1993-2005

基于1993—2005年的季度数据,本文在一个包含银行部门的动态随机一般均衡模型中,讨论了银行信贷和中国经济波动的关系。模拟结果和实际数据的对比表明,引入银行贷款渠道和价格粘性的经济周期模型对中国经济波动有很好的解释力。脉冲响应和方差分解的结果表明:(1)技术冲击解释了大部分产出、投资以及长期消费的波动;(2)信贷冲击解释了大部分短期消费、贷款以及货币余额的波动,对产出、投资的波动有一定解释力;(3)货币需求冲击影响不显著,仅对通货膨胀、贷款以及货币余额波动有一定的解释力;(4)货币政策冲击解释了通货膨胀的大部分波动。     

Income distribution and unequal gains from trade

This paper studies welfare gains from trade in a tractable model with a nonhomothetic preference over product quality. We show that the welfare changes due to trade shocks are unequal across consumers and derive a parsimonious formula to measure these welfare changes as in Arkolakis et al. (2012, American Economic Review, 102, 94–130). We find that the welfare changes are larger for consumers with lower income. Moreover, this paper shows that the welfare implications are different between a change in (iceberg-type) variable trade cost and a change in tariff when tariff revenue matters. More importantly, we show that the difference varies across consumers with different income levels.     

应用于雷达方位超分辨的改进Richardson-Lucy算法

方位超分辨是国内外雷达界持续探索的一项技术难题。为解决高斯噪声情况下天线低通效应造成的方位低分辨力问题,利用基于泊松噪声情况下Richardson-Lucy(RL)算法对其进行研究。针对RL算法中高斯噪声被放大出现虚假目标和RL算法收敛速度慢的缺点,提出了一种改进RL算法。该算法首先使用低通滤波去除高频段的噪声,然后利用加速RL算法进行方位超分辨。仿真结果表明：与原RL算法相比,改进RL算法能降低高斯噪声的影响,消除虚假目标;在信噪比低至0 dB时,相对于半功率波束宽度,改进RL算法的最大分辩倍数为1.8倍,与维纳逆滤波算法相比具有较强的噪声适应能力,可以应用于雷达方位超分辨。     

A comparison of Ad valorem and per unit taxes in regulated monopolies

This paper compares the output and revenue effects in the rate-of-return regulated monopoly model. Both the ad valorem and the unit tax generally decrease the use of capital, and as such, reduce the output and raise the price. In addition, it is shown that Suits and Musgrave's conclusion of higher revenue of an ad valorem tax at a given output can apply to a regulated monopolist if the marginal product of labor under the ad valorem tax is greater than or equal to that under the unit tax. Similarly, their second conclusion, that for a given tax revenue an ad valorem tax has a larger output than a unit tax rate before the revenue-maximizing tax rate, can also apply to the regulated monopolist.     

车险电销客户投保体验迫切改进点的数据挖掘

本文旨在从车险电话销售客户体验调研数据中寻找到车险电话销售客户投保体验的最迫切改进点,以期用较低的成本投入有效地提高车险电话销售成功率和产能。使用SPSS MODELER数据挖掘软件,遵从CRISP—DM数据挖掘方法论,对调研数据进行数据挖掘,得到车险电话销售客户体验最迫切的改进点,并相应提出改进的政策建议。政策建议包...     

Azéma martingales for Bessel and CIR processes and the pricing of Parisian zero‐coupon bonds

In this paper, we study the excursions of Bessel and Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) processes with dimensions . We obtain densities for the last passage times and meanders of the processes. Using these results, we prove a variation of the Azéma martingale for the Bessel and CIR processes based on excursion theory. Furthermore, we study their Parisian excursions, and generalize previous results on the Parisian stopping time of Brownian motion to that of the Bessel and CIR processes. We obtain explicit formulas and asymptotic results for the densities of the Parisian stopping times, and develop exact simulation algorithms to sample the Parisian stopping times of Bessel and CIR processes. We introduce a new type of bond, the zero‐coupon Parisian bond. The buyer of such a bond is betting against zero interest rates, while the seller is effectively hedging against a period where interest rates fluctuate around 0. Using our results, we propose two methods for pricing these bonds and provide numerical examples.     

为企之道 重在执行

文章围绕如何提高执行力，如何建立良好的执行力保障体系，如何把企业战略、规划转化成为成果、效益等问题，根据人力资源管理的相关理论和日常的工作实践，对执行力深意进行解析和探讨。     

关于加速我市绿色食品产业化经营的思考

随着经济的发展和人们生活水平的提高、膳食结构的改善,人们越来越向往和追求绿色.受这种消费市场导向影响,以无公害、无污染、营养型为标志的绿色食品如雨后春笋快速崛起,以致许多专家、学者把它称之为“绿色浪潮“,并断言:“21世纪绿色产品将成为主导产品“.正是基于对这种市场潜力的认识,我省各地充分发挥与内地省份相比得天独厚的“蓝天、白云、碧水“的比较优势,纷纷做起了“绿色蛋糕“.……