中国基础设施资本存量估算

基础设施是国民经济赖以发展的基础。而深入考察基础设施对于中国经济增长的影响,依赖于一套完整的全国及省际基础设施资本存量数据。为此,本文在现有研究的基础之上,对基础设施投资范围进行了界定,并对官方统计数据进行了必要的补充和调整,进而通过永续盘存法分别估算了全国层面1953—2008年以及省际层面1993—2008年各年末的基础设施资本存量。     

租购并举政策背景下青年群体房屋租购意愿及行为经济学解读

结合租购并举政策的政策背景,对青年群体进行了大范围的抽样调查,分析了青年群体的租赁与购买意愿,以及其影响因素,并利用行为经济学原理,分析了其消费倾向背后的心理动机,最后对租购并举政策的落地实施提出了政策建议。     

The Price of Being Foreign: Stock Market Penalties Associated with Accounting Irregularities for U.S.-Listed Foreign Firms

We examine the stock market consequences of disclosing accounting irregularities for U.S.-listed foreign firms. After controlling for the severity of the irregularity and other firm characteristics, we find that foreign firms experience significantly more negative short-window stock market reactions following irregularity announcements than do U.S. firms. Moreover, for a subsample of 64 irregularities of foreign firms that are listed on both a U.S. and home country stock exchange, we find evidence that restating firms' U.S. investors react more negatively to the same irregularity than their home country investors. This differential market reaction appears related to firm-specific information risks that are greater for foreign firms than U.S. firms. Collectively, consistent with the reputational bonding hypothesis in prior literature, our results suggest that accounting irregularities cause U.S. investors to reassess the information risk associated with foreign firms.     

How does the executive pay gap influence audit fees? The roles of R&D investment and institutional ownership

Using a sample of US firms from 2003–2014, this study examines how the executive pay gap affects audit fees for firms with different levels of R&D investment and institutional ownership. Consistent with managerial power theory, we find that the executive pay gap is positively associated with audit fees, and that the positive association is attenuated by intense R&D investment and higher institutional ownership. We also find that the executive pay gap more strongly affects audit fees after the passage of the 2010 Dodd–Frank Act and the PCAOB's 2012 call to identify the audit risk related to executive incentive compensation. Additional analyses show that the moderating effects of R&D investment and institutional ownership on the pay gap–audit fees association are not conditional on auditor tenure, but the moderating effect of institutional ownership is stronger for firms hiring specialist auditors. Collectively, our findings suggest that auditors consider the business context, such as innovation initiative and external monitoring, when assessing audit risk related to the executive pay gap.     

A Textual Analysis of US Corporate Social Responsibility Reports

We employ computer-based textual analysis to examine disclosure patterns for a sample of US corporate social responsibility (CSR) reports from the period 2002–2016. Starting from 466 features commonly used in computational linguistics, our results show that the linguistics or disclosure patterns in CSR reports can be used to accurately predict the actual CSR performance type of CSR reporters. Specifically, we find that the two most commonly used disclosure characteristics, number of words and number of sentences, alone can be used to predict reporting firms’ CSR performance type with 81% accuracy. The accuracy of prediction increases to 96% when the top 50 linguistics features most relevant to firms’ CSR performance are included in the prediction model. In addition, we find that the linguistic features of CSR disclosure identified by our study are incrementally value relevant to investors even after controlling for the actual CSR performance score from the professional CSR rating agencies. This finding suggests that the linguistic features of CSR disclosure can be an important venue for capital market participants in evaluating firms’ CSR performance type, especially when professional CSR performance ratings are not available.     

基于齐套零件策略的人为失误及其质量问题分析

针对混流装配线不能实现高质量零部件供应的问题,提出在齐套零件策略下,以提高零部件配送质量为目的,分析和总结了套件准备和交付过程中出现的人为失误,建立模型对装配系统的质量成本进行经济评估,并针对性的提出各项管理建议,帮助企业管理者在实施齐套零件策略时探索可行的方案,并做出具有成本效益的决策。     

Resignation of officials as independent directors and firm performance

In 2013, the Chinese government implemented Rule No. 18, which suspended the directorships of incumbent government officials and precluded those who retired within the past three years from serving as independent directors for listed firms. The surprise implementation of Rule No. 18 triggered a wave of resignations among official independent directors (OIDs). The event provided a unique opportunity to examine the impacts of the political connections of board members on firm performance. We applied a difference-in-difference technique to empirically investigate the effect of OID resignations on firm performance from the perspectives of resource dependence theory and social capital theory. The results indicate that the resignation of OIDs had a significantly negative effect on firm performance, as measured by Tobin’s Q and firm leverage. This also confirmed the importance of independent directors’ political connection on firm performance, as discovered in prior research. However, this influence varied across OIDs’ heterogeneity, external environment and firm ownership. The results indicate that political connections may not be necessary channels for firms to achieve success.     

节能消费激励政策能否引领制造企业绿色转型?

依托中国典型的节能消费激励政策——节能产品惠民工程,利用渐进双重差分法,探究了节能消费激励政策能否协同引领制造企业绿色转型这一问题.研究发现,节能消费激励政策会约束制造企业绿色效率提升,在经过动态效应分析以及安慰剂检验、倾向得分匹配等一系列稳健性检验之后,结果仍然成立.从外部机制看,政策对企业外部环境规制并无有效作用;从内部机制看,政策虽有助于提升企业绿色创新能力,但无法促进企业要素生产效率提高和降污减排技术进步,是其抑制制造企业绿色转型的两大内因.进一步异质性分析表明,国有制造企业绿色效率在政策响应上劣于非国有制造企业,财务资源基础越强的制造企业受政策约束越弱.研究不仅揭示了中国节能消费激励政策实施的困境,而且还阐明了其可能对生产领域微观企业绿色化发展产生的扭曲效应,对于未来协调和完善中国供需两端的环境政策具有启示意义.     

金融科技应用能够促进银行信贷结构调整吗?-基于银行对外合作的准自然实验研究

近年来,金融科技的发展给商业银行带来了广泛而深刻的影响.金融科技能否以及在何种程度上促进银行信贷结构向更符合双循环新发展格局的方向调整是一个值得探究的问题.文章首先从理论上分析了金融科技应用对银行信贷扩张的作用机制,然后选取2011-2018年我国220家商业银行面板数据,构建商业银行与金融科技公司合作的个体层面指标,运用倾向得分匹配-双重差分(PSM-DID)方法,探究了金融科技运用对我国商业银行信贷结构的影响.研究发现:第一,金融科技运用有利于提高银行处理软信息的能力,提升信息精度,将更多金融弱势群体纳入业务范围,扩大银行总体信贷规模,促进信贷的信用结构和客户结构调整;第二,与全国性银行相比,对外合作模式下的金融科技应用对区域性银行信贷结构调整的影响更加显著;第三,金融弱势群体的高风险溢价提升了银行的盈利效率,并推动了银行零售业务的进一步主动扩张.     

产业政策研究的演化经济学范式:日文文献的贡献

近年来,在产业政策研究领域,演化经济学逐渐呈现出成为主要范式之一的趋势。日文文献是演化经济学范式的早期来源之一,代表了演化经济学范式的一个发展方向。但是,受制于语言壁垒和学科偏见,日文文献的贡献被长期湮没。考证相关文献,我们发现,具有演化经济学特色的日文产业政策研究出现于八十年代初期,在九十年代持续发展,近十余年来取得重要进展。相关日文文献依托技术革新研究和企业史研究,主要讨论企业合理化政策对于企业能力的影响。与相关英文文献相比,日文文献历史更久、更具深度。理解日文文献的贡献,有助于推动产业政策研究的演化经济学范式持续发展、改善中国的政策实践。