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951.
Prof. Dr. S. Koller 《Metrika》1971,17(1):30-42
Ohne Zusammenfassung 相似文献
952.
953.
Dr. W. Katzenbeisser 《Metrika》1984,31(1):5-23
Zusammenfassung In dieser Arbeit wird die asymptotische Verteilung des Prognosefehlers, wie er sich im Rahmen einer dynamischen Simulation eines allgemeinen autoregressiven ökonometrischen Modells der Ordnungp (einschließlich verzögerter exogener Variabler der Ordnungq) ergibt, abgeleitet. Daran anschließend werden einige Fragestellungen, die damit in unmittelbarem Zusammenhang stehen, diskutiert: Die Frage der relativen Effizienz der Prognoseschätzung, basierend auf der unrestricted- bzw. der derived reduced form, die Verwendung der asymptotischen Verteilung des Prognosefehlers für einen predictive test des Modells. Außerdem werden asymptotische simultane Prognoseintervalle abgeleitet.
Summary The asymptotic distribution of the forecast error in the dynamic simulation of a higher than first order linear dynamic econometric model is derived and related topics are discussed.相似文献
954.
Prof. Dr. J. Pfanzagl 《Metrika》1969,14(1):249-272
Summary The concept of minimum contrast (m.c.) estimates used in this paper covers maximum likelihood (m.l.) estimates as a special
case. Section 1 contains sufficient conditions for the existence of measurable m.c. estimates and for their consistency.
The application of these results to m.l. estimates (section 2) yields the existence of m.l. estimates for families ofp-measures (probability measures) which are compact metric or locally compact with countable base, admitting upper semicontinuous
densities, whereas the classical results refer to continuous densities. This generalization is insofar of interest as upper
semicontinuous versions of the densities exist whenever the densities areμ-upper semicontinuous (whereasμ-continuity does not, in general, entail the existence of continuous versions).
Under appropriate regularity conditions, consistency of asymptotic maximum likelihood estimates is proven for compact (and
also locally compact) separable metric families ofp-measures with upper semicontinuous densities and for arbitrary families having uniformly continuous densities with respect
to the uniformity of vague convergence. The conditions sufficient for consistency are shown “indispensable” by counterexamples.
Section 3 contains auxiliary results. Besides their relevance for sections 1 and 2, some of them may also be of interest in
themselves, e.g. Theorem (3.4) on the selection of semicontinuous functions from semicontinuous equivalence classes. 相似文献
955.
Dr. H. Strelec 《Metrika》1980,27(1):171-187
Zusammenfassung Der Fehler, der bei der Approximation einer Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilung durch eine Grenzverteilung entsteht, wird mit Hilfe von Differential- (bzw. Differenzen-)gleichungen asymptotisch (bezüglich eines wachsenden Parameters) entwickelt. Diese Aussagen stellen Verallgemeinerungen des vonWasow [1956] behandelten Falles auf beliebige stetige oder gitterförmige Grenzverteilungen dar. Zwei Beispiele veranschaulichen die theoretischen Aussagen.
Summary The error, which is caused by the approximation of a probability distribution by a limit distribution, is asymptotically expanded (to an increasing parameter) by means of differential (or difference) equations. These statements are generalizations ofWasow's [1956] theorem to arbitrary continous or lattice distributions. Two examples are given to show the practical effect of the stated theorems.相似文献
956.
Dr. A. Chaudhuri 《Metrika》1978,25(1):65-76
Summary Observing that the estimator for a finite population variance as recommended byLiu [1974a, b] can sometimes become negative, we suggest a few non-negative alternative estimators and note some of their properties. UnlikeLiu we follow the conventional Bayesian approach to get another estimator with an optimal property of uniform admissibility.This paper, however, was prepared when the author worked in the Department of Economic Statistics, University of Sydney. 相似文献
957.
Summary For a two-parameter Pareto distributionMalik [1970] has shown that the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters are jointly sufficient. In this article the maximum likelihood estimators are shown to be jointly complete. Furthermore, unbiased estimators for the two parameters are obtained and are shown to be functions of the jointly complete sufficient statistics, thereby establishing them as the best unblased estimators of the two parameters.This research is a part of the first author's Ph.D. dissertation. The authors wish to thank Dr. Kenny S. Crump, for many helpful suggestions and a referee for improvements in the proofs. 相似文献
958.
Kim Dr. Sangphill Rui Dr. Oliver M. Xu Dr. Peter 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2002,19(1):45-63
This study investigates the role of the trading volume in explaining the shift of firm's total and systematic risk when a dividend change is announced. We compared the differential interpretation hypothesis and pre-announcement disagreement hypothesis with more than 20,000 samples collected for 30 years. We found that the total risk generally increases regardless of the level of abnormal trading volume, which supports the differential interpretation hypothesis. We also found a positive relationship between announcement-period abnormal trading volume and post-announcement changes in beta, which is only consistent with the differential interpretation hypothesis. However, the decrease in beta for the majority of sample firms is only consistent with the pre-announcement disagreement hypothesis. 相似文献
959.
Aiming the stabilisation of the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere at 450 ppm, a strong climate policy in the EU-27 will be required. Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) and the building up of a CO2 pipeline system will be one option to avoid climate change. The analysis of the potential CO2 storage options in Europe shows a huge potential in the North Sea and their neighbouring countries and only less potentials in the southern European countries. A scenario analysis using the European energy system model TIMES PanEU shows that the installation of CO2 transport pipelines for cross boarder exchange of CO2 from power plants located next to the boarder could be one possible infrastructure solution. This solution is a cost efficient option which will be used mainly by the North Sea neighbouring countries (Germany, UK, the Netherlands, Denmark) and Poland. A central pipeline grid in the North Sea for the usage of huge storage options like the Utsira formation will be important in the future for countries with limited CO2 storage capacities (like Belgium or the Netherlands). If cheap storage options like onshore Aquifers are not available, the design of central CO2 pipeline grids has a strong impact on the power plant structure, the electricity and CO2 certificate price. Based on a limited availability of onshore CO2 storages the electricity price will increase by up to 16 € 2007/MWh and the CO2-certificate price will rise by additional 35 € 2007/t CO2 in 2050. 相似文献
960.
The concept of social comparison is a core aspect of social psychology research and an important part of identity development, yet there has been little research on this phenomenon in the context of media usage. Combining different kinds of measurements, this study investigates the similarities and differences in social comparison to media characters versus persons from the social environment. A sample of 278 respondents answered a questionnaire about both kinds of comparison. Results indicate that persons from the social environment serve more often as comparison targets than media characters. Furthermore, media characters lead to an increased amount of upward comparison and to comparison with dissimilar others. The relevance of comparison dimensions seems to be independent of the comparison target. 相似文献