The causal analysis of contingency tables: A return to first principles

Given the undoubtedly major advances in the analysis of contingency tables which have been achieved over the past ten years or so (see for example, Fienberg, 1980; Upton, 1978; Everitt, 1977; Haberman, 1978, 1979), it might seem rather unnecessary to want to return to first princples again. However, the need arises precisely because of these advances; for progress in the specifically causal analysis of contingency tables has not matched the other advances at all. Whilst Fienberg devoted a chapter to causal analysis, he made it clear that he views “the assignment of numerical values [to the arrows in a path diagram] as problematic, and [he] would limit [the analysis] to an indication of sign for causal relationships, in a fashion similar to that described by Blalock (1964)” (Fienberg, 1980, pp. 91–92). Considering how far quantitative-variable causal analysis has developed since Blalock (1964), it becomes clear that the causal analysis of qualitative data is still at a rather primitive stage. Indeed, Haberman (1978, 1979), in his two-volume survey of the analysis of qualitative data, does not mention it at all. The problem, I believe, is that log-linear and logit methodology are not particularly suited to the logic of causality in contingency tables. In order to derive a suitable method, it is necessary to uncover the logic underlying causality when applied to qualitative variables. A few others have taken seriously the idea that a direct analysis of the form of a contingency table can lead to fruitful results (see, especially, for example, Boudon, 1967), but their work has been overshadowed by the statistically more profound advances made in log-linear methods. This article is an attempt to provide a statistically rigorous analysis based on the direct interpretation of causality embodied in a contingency table.     

Introduction to special issue: Macroeconomics with frictions

This is an introduction and overview of the special issue on “Macroeconomics with frictions”.     

Directed search, unemployment and public policy

Abstract .  We examine the effects of public policy parameters in a simple directed search model of the labour market, and contrast them with those in standard random matching models with Nash bargaining. Both finite and limit versions of the directed search model are considered, and the value of the limit model as an approximation of the finite one is assessed. As with the random matching model, job creation is the key channel through which the policy parameters affect the equilibrium of the directed search model. Both comparative static effects of the policy parameters and optimal configurations are identified.     

Teacher Perceptions of Design and Technology: A Study of Disjunction between Policy and Practice

This study examines the curriculum directions being charted by a sample of county secondary school design and technology teachers in England and Wales. The purposes of design and technology are analysed, and the syllabuses and examinations used reviewed, together with how design folios are incorporated into teaching. In addition, teacher reports on student-teacher classroom performance, and student-teacher evaluations of their teaching practice experiences are analysed. It was found that teacher perceptions are highly pragmatic and technical, with the pupils‘ intended learning outcomes largely being defined instrumentally in terms of product output rather than in design process terms. A disjunction is found between the statutory Order on Design and Technology and its implementation, with many teachers ’constructing‘ their design and technology education programmes within a ’craft paradigm‘. The discussion offers possible explanations for this and concludes that it has as much to do with the perceived status of Design and Technology as a school subject as with a ’product – process‘ debate. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Resonance tropes in corporate philanthropy discourse

This paper explores corporate charitable giving disclosures in order to question the extent to which corporations can claim that their philanthropy activities are charitable at all. Exploration of these issues is carried out by means of a tropological analysis that focuses on the different linguistic tropes within the philanthropy disclosures of 52 companies, namely metaphor and synecdoche. The results reveal a number of complex and contradictory things. Primarily, the master metaphor of 'altruism' projected by the corporate disclosures is ideologically at odds with the more business case-oriented discourse that shapes the disclosures. This contradiction is put into starker contrast by the existence of a root metaphor, whereby the recipients of corporate philanthropy are presented as the 'deserving poor'. Synecdochal devices are present within the corporate disclosures, whereby employee initiatives that are independent of corporate strategies are used to confer attributes onto the disclosures that bolster the master metaphor of 'altruism'. As such, corporate philanthropy is presented by the paper as a structurally incoherent discourse and yet one that has implications for both extracting greater value from various societal groups and in defining, on behalf of civil society, what is a worthy cause.     

Interfirm learning in environmental safety: evidence from the bakken

This paper examines whether firm learning economies lead to reduced environmental incidents in Bakken unconventional oil drilling. We model the relationship between environmental safety and learning in preventing environmental incidents. We do not find evidence that firm or interfirm learning leads to increased environmental safety. We do find evidence that idiosyncratic quality of matches between firms and subcontractors is associated with improved environmental safety.