The minority ethic: Rethinking religious denominations,minority status,and educational achievement across the globe

We test whether major religious denominations correlate with education in a uniform way across the world and the extent to which minority status contributes to the correlation. Using individual data from the World Values Survey for 77 countries, we first find that no denomination is consistently associated with education and, in fact, for each denomination we study there are countries where its correlation with education is significantly positive, significantly negative, or statistically insignificant. To explain this unexpected result, we relate our first finding to minority status and find that denominations that are a minority in a given country positively correlate with the level of education of their followers in that country. Both findings uphold a series of robustness checks, including changing the definition of minority religions, excluding outliers, and changing the measure of education.     

Statistical analysis of financial time series under the assumption of local stationarity

The aim of this paper is to apply a nonparametric methodology developed by Donoho et al(2003 IEEE Trans. Signal Processing 53614–27) for estimating an autocovariance sequence to the statistical analysis of the return of securities and discuss the advantages offered by this approach over other existing methods such as fixed-window-length segmentation procedures. Theoretical properties of adaptivity of this estimation method have been proved for a specific class of time series, namely the class of locally stationary processes, with an autocovariance structure which varies slowly over time in most cases but might exhibit abrupt changes of regime. This method is based on an algorithm that selects empirically from the data the tiling of the time–frequency plane which exposes best in the least-squares sense the underlying second-order time-varying structure of the time series, and so may properly describe the time-inhomogeneous variations of speculative prices. The applications we consider here mainly concern the analysis of structural changes occurring in stock market returns, VaR estimation and the comparison between the variation structure of stock index returns in developed markets and in developing markets.     

中国能源CO_2排放的因素分解:基于LMDI模型

碳排放是当前全球关注的热点问题。如何评估各种因素在碳排放中的贡献程度对于抓住其中的关键因素,促进碳减排具有重要意义。计算了我国不同分类情境下的碳排放量,并将排放影响分为不同板块,利用LMDI分解模型,以3大能源为研究对象,考察不同板块的排放贡献和影响因素。能源分解模型说明能源结构板块和生活板块对二氧化碳排放强度具有抑制作用,经济的快速增长是造成排放强度下降的主要原因,而能源结构调整对排放强度影响很小,节能板块对排放强度具有促进作用。此外,无论我国能源消费增长还是滑坡,均都是源于工业部门能源消费的起伏,以及由此带来的人均能耗的变化。可以预见在未来一段时间内,工业化尚未完成的中国,人均能耗以及由此带来的碳排放在短时期内都会有所增加,但幅度会趋于平稳。     

村镇银行试点的成效、问题与建议

本文对村镇银行的发展现状进行了分析,并提出了相关政策建议:监管部门和地方政府要扶持村镇银行的发展;鼓励村镇银行充分借助主发起人和股东的力量;支持村镇银行开拓中间业务,提升自身影响力;引导村镇银行建立严密的风险防控机制;建立多元多层的农村金融体系。     

考察美俄保险市场的若干思考

美国是全球最大的保险市场,交易活跃,成熟度高。同时,美国也是此次全球金融危机的发源地,其保险业受到金融海啸的巨大冲击和影响。与此相对的,俄罗斯是全球新兴的保险市场,发展较快但具有鲜明的转轨经济特征,市场机制和监管制度都尚未成型。美俄保险业各具特点,是全球范围内不同发展阶段保险市场的重要代表。在全球金融危机爆发一周年前夕,我们对美俄两国的保险业及保险监管进行了考察,对金融危机造成的影响和两国政府的应对措施进行了分析研究,并在此基础上,结合中国保险市场面临的形势和问题,形成了若干思考和建议。     

2002年中国国际竞争力评价报告

2002年中国国际竞争力在瑞士国际管理发展学院(IMD)的世界排名是第31位,比2001年提高两个位次。根据国际竞争力理论和近年来世界竞争力主流要素趋势,中国要进一步提升国际竞争力,需要进一步普及全民的市场经济知识,提升企业竞争力、科技竞争力、基础竞争力、环境竞争力和政府管理竞争力。     

区域农业发展战略研究

阐述了区域农业发展的战略意义,西部、东北、中部、东部四大区域农业发展的现状与存在的问题;对区域农业发展的影响因素和四大区域的比较优势与潜力进行分析;提出区域农业发展的战略目标及西部发展生态特色农业、东北发展商品型规模农业、中部发展加工型商品农业、东部发展外向型现代农业的设想;最后提出完善区域分工协作互动机制、切实保护耕地、完善流通环节等6项发展区域农业政策建议。     

发展普惠金融，实现社会公平正义——基于辽源、通化、白山普惠金融发展情况的调研

党的十八届三中全会将普惠金融列为重点工作,为了深入了解吉林省“普惠金融”发展情况,总结吉林省在普惠金融创新实践方面的经验,为国务院制定发展普惠金融规划提供翔实的基础数据。长春金融高等专科学校组织专项调研团队对吉林省辽源、通化和白山三个地市进行走访座谈和问卷调查。了解城市低收入群体和农民享受金融服务的情况以及普惠金融发展面临的主要问题,通过对调研数据进行整理分析,提出促进吉林省普惠金融发展的对策建议。