The effect of increased variance on the duration of search: A note

A search procedure with a finite number of possible periods of search is considered here. It is assumed that the offers at different periods are independent of each other, that there are no search costs, and that there is no discounting of future receipts. It is shown that if the offers come from a normal population with the same mean then the expected duration of the search, given that an optimal search procedure is followed, is independent of the variance.     

Technological progress and income inequality

Summary This paper examines the effects of Hicks-neutral, Harrod-neutral, and Solow-neutral technological improvements on the distribution of income in an overlapping generations economy with endogenous labor supply and a bequest motive. Income inequality in this model is generated by a stochastic process representing random variations in intergenerational transfers and pure luck. The comparative dynamics analysis trace the effects of the aforementioned technological changes in each and every period after they occur. These effects depend on the nature of the technological change and on the elasticity of substitution.We thank Carl Davidson, James Foster, and two anonymous referees for their useful comments.     

Act similarity in case-based decision theory

Summary Case-Based Decision Theory (CBDT) postulates that decision making under uncertainty is based on analogies to past cases. In its original version, it suggests that each of the available acts is ranked according to its own performance in similar decision problems encountered in the past.The purpose of this paper is to extend CBDT to deal with cases in which the evaluation of an act may also depend on past performance of different, but similar acts. To this end we provide a behavioral axiomatic definition of the similarity function over problem-act pairs (and not over problem pairs alone, as in the original model).We propose a model in which preferences are context-dependent. For each conceivable history of outcomes (to be thought of as the context of decision) there is a preference order over acts. If these context-dependent preference relations satisfy our consistency-across-contexts axioms, there is an essentially unique similarity function that represents these preferences via the (generalized) CBDT functional.We are grateful to Akihiko Matsui for the discussions that motivated this work. We also thank Enriqueta Aragones, Roger Myerson, Zvika Neeman, Ariel Rubinstein, Peyton Young, and an anonymous referee for their comments. Partial financial support from the Alfred Sloan Foundation is gratefully acknowledged.     

Reaction to price changes and aspiration level adjustments

   Abstract. We claim that preferences of economic agents cannot be assumed given; rather, they are partly determined by the process of trade in the market, by information about the latter and so forth. In other words, preferences determine actions which, in turn, determine preferences. Thus classical tools of analysis such as the neo-classical utility function and the demand curve should be viewed merely as first approximations, which are too simplistic for many purposes. Changing preferences are not restricted to such phenomena as addiction, advertisement and so forth. Rather, for any product a satisficing consumer has an aspiration level, which is subject to change. The consumer's preferences, as reflected in choice behavior, will also change once the aspiration level is adjusted. We illustrate these claims by analyzing two examples concerning consumer reaction to price increases. We analyze the effect of aspiration level adjustments on the dynamic pattern of a single consumer's demand, and show that such adjustments generate predictions which do not conform to the neo-classical theory.     

Consumption-loan type models the Samuelson case

This is a further study of the overlapping generations model with fixed amount of fiat money. We show that when the economy is Samuelsonian then there exists some Pareto optimal stationary competitive equilibrium from some initial money holdings. Moreover, if the steady-state interest factor is less than unity, then a non-monetary Pareto optimal equilibrium exists from any initial money endowments.     

Return migration, human capital accumulation and the brain drain

In this paper we present a model that explains migrations as decisions that respond to where human capital can be acquired more efficiently, and where the return to human capital is highest. The basic framework is a dynamic Roy model in which a worker possesses two distinct skills that can be augmented by learning by doing. There are different implicit prices, in different countries and different rates of skill accumulation. Our analysis contributes to the literature on the selection of immigrants and return migrants by offering a richer framework that may help to accommodate selection of emigrants and return migrants that are not immediately compatible with the one-dimensional skill model. Our analysis also has implications for the debate on brain drain and brain gain. In the two skills model presented here, return migration can lead to a mitigation of the brain drain, or even the creation of a “brain gain”, where those who return bring the home country augmented local skills.     

Capital Adequacy, Bank Mergers, and the Medium of Payment

We examine how banks' capital requirements affect the way bank mergers are financed, as well as the stock-market reaction to the merger announcement. We find that the capital position of the acquirer is one of the two factors most strongly influencing the choice of financing method; the other is the relative size of the merging banks. The smaller the acquirer in relation to the target bank and the higher the acquirer's capital adequacy ratio, the more likely it is that the acquisition will be financed by a stock swap. The capital requirements also affect the market reaction, through their effect on the financing method choice. The value of the acquirer's equity decreases more at the time of the merger announcement if the method of payment is stock. Like prior studies, we find that the abnormal return on the target banks' stock is positive.