GATT/WTO与管理贸易

现实中的国际贸易不是自由贸易，国际贸易体制中一直都是自由贸易和贸易保护同时并存，以1GATT／WTO也不是自由贸易组织。管理贸易是指介于纯粹自由贸易和完全贸易保护之间的各种情形，其特点是规则导向、有较大兼容性以及可塑性。管理贸易的发展可以有两个完全相反的方向，而GATT／WTO倡导的贸易自由化实质上是在自由贸易和贸易保护两种成分并存的国际贸易体制中抑制贸易保护、提高贸易自由的程度。     

改进后的PERT方法在进度风险分析中的应用

风险分析是进度控制中的重要内容。针对经典PERT网络的假设和计算过程,分析出它存在的三方面缺陷。并提出解决问题的三种具体措施,从概率论与数理统计的角度,对关键线路和关键工作进行了重新定义和确定的方法。     

从“中国制造”走上“中国创造”

制造业是世界任何一个工业化国家生产能力的基础，我国是继美国、日本、德国之后又一个制造大国。但是“制造大国，大而不强”。世界对制造强国的标志认定已有共识，主要包括：具备强大的产品自主开发能力和技术创新能力，拥有大批具有自主知识产权的重要产品和国际领先的重要制造技术；拥有国际竞争力的     

关于上海地区屋顶绿化的思考

在上海市平面绿化工作已初见成效,大型公共绿地越来越多,城市越来越美之时,构建立体绿化 成为当务之急。本文通过对上海地区屋顶绿化的现状及存在的问题的阐述,结合绿化植物的选择和维护的一 些基本理论,展示了屋顶绿化广阔的发展前景。     

国有商业银行体制改革的思路探讨

国有商业银行的体制改革，关系到国有商业银行生死存亡。如何做好国有商业银行的体制改革，可以从构造多元化的产权制度、完善国有商业银行的业务功能、建立和完善国有商业银行的激励约束机制以及构筑国有商业银行与企业的新型银企关系等方面着手。     

我国上市公司盈余管理的原因及对策

上市公司的盈余管理现象是困扰我国证券市场的一大难题。本文从应计制会计的特点、会计盈余信息的有用性与信息的不对称、市场环境和我国上市公司特有的治理结构剖析了我国上市公司盈余管理的原因,并据此提出了治理我国上市公司盈余管理的对策,包括完善我国上市公司的治理结构、完善具体会计准则和信息披露制度以及加大监督和处罚的力度。     

Rural Population Growth, 1950–1990: The Roles of Human Capital, Industry Structure, and Government Policy

Human capital raises rural incomes, but this effect is swamped by higher returns to human capital in urban markets. This leads to "brain drain" from rural areas. Populations grow more rapidly in rural counties that have a diversified employment base. Farm population grows faster (or declines more slowly) in counties with relatively high farm income, and nonfarm populations grow faster in counties with relatively high nonfarm income. However, higher farm incomes lead to slower nonfarm population growth and vice versa. Rural county government services financed by local taxes or debt have neutral or negative effects on population growth.     

我国金融监管的现状与对策分析

“入世”后我国金融监管面临严峻挑战。如何适应新形势建立高效的金融监管体制成为我国经济发展中一个非常重要的问题。文章通过“入世”后对我国金融监管带来的冲击以及目前金融监管存在的问题分析 ,提出转变我国金融监管的对策。     

VARIANCE BOUND TESTS OF BOND MARKET EFFICIENCY

In this paper we examine variance bound tests of the joint hypothesis that (1) bond markets are efficient and (2) the term structure is determined by the expectations hypothesis. Both the Singleton and Shiller tests are shown to be seriously biased toward rejecting the joint hypothesis in finite samples. Flavin's test is unbiased but has a very high variance leading to many false rejections of the joint hypothesis. When corrected as suggested by Flavin, Shiller's test is unbiased and has a relatively low variance. Unfortunately, it is also sensitive to measurement error.     

Got milk? The rapid rise of China’s dairy sector and its future prospects

This paper synthesizes recent research and new empirical findings to build a more comprehensive understanding of developments in China’s dairy sector. China’s tremendous rise in dairy demand has been driven by several mutually reinforcing factors: including rapid income growth, promotion by the government and dairy industry, changes in urban lifestyles, and the development of new, more sophisticated marketing channels. Domestic milk output has grown to satisfy rising demand largely by increasing the dairy herd. Substantial increases in productivity have been achieved through technology adoption, but there is evidence that the torrid growth has created inefficiencies because adaptations to marketing rules, infrastructure, and institutions have not kept pace with the changing environment. These results suggest there is ample room for future growth in both domestic milk production and dairy demand, but multinational firms and imported products will likely play and increasing role as China’s dairy market continues to develop.