Why will Trump lose the trade war?

ABSTRACT

The escalating U.S.–China trade conflicts have increasingly shadowed the outlook of the world economy. The Trump administration aims to achieve its strategic goals including reducing current account deficits, promoting the U.S. manufacturing sector, and curbing Chinese high-tech industries by waging the trade war against China. This paper argues that the current account deficits and the declining manufacturing sector in the U.S. are mainly driven by its internal structural factors, such as low saving rates, high labor costs, and rising service sector, rather than by the import competition from China. Moreover, the trade war further deteriorates the U.S. current account deficits and erode its comparative advantage, and it forces China to invest more in technological innovation and human capital, and thus promote its progress in high-tech industries. Thus, the U.S. will not be able to achieve its strategical goals and eventually lose the trade war.     

R&D Investments and Tax Incentives: The Role of Intra-Firm Cross-Border Collaboration*

U.S. multinational corporations increasingly use intra-firm, cross-border research collaboration to disperse R&D across different countries. This paper investigates the implications of such collaboration on the abilities of firms to garner benefits from R&D tax incentives. We find that the association between R&D intensity and tax incentives is three to five times larger when firms have extensive cross-border collaboration connected to a country. We also find that the effect is stronger when local intellectual property protection is weaker and when local innovation resources are higher. Our results suggest that cross-border collaboration helps firms achieve more tax-efficient R&D investments both by reducing the nontax frictions posed by weak intellectual property protection and by increasing the nontax benefits of foreign R&D.     

县域特色产业集群高质量发展研究

县域特色产业集群的快速发展有效推动了当地经济发展,在市场中形成了规模优势和竞争优势,是构成经济持续发展的关键动力.但是当前在发展过程中出现了较多的问题,影响了其发展质量和发展速度,基于此,本文对县域特色产业集群的发展优势、发展问题和发展策略进行了分析,以期可以为其高质量发展提供有效参考,扩大发展规模.     

基于AD9361的掌上型LTE RRU设计与开发

当前小体积远端射频单元（Remote Radio Unit,RRU）主要是皮站级别的Pico-RRU，其重量和体积仍然难以满足掌上型的要求。为此，采用高集成度的AD9361芯片来实现长期演进（Long Term Evolution，LTE）宽带收发信机功能，配合时钟同步模块、放大器模块和控制接口电路等一起构建低成本的掌上型RRU。主要解决了基于AD9516的时钟同步、低相位噪声设计和高灵敏度接收机设计三个技术难点，成功实现了掌上型、高性能、低成本的设计目标。整个RRU样机尺寸为18 cm×10 cm×2 cm，质量约500 g，量产成本千元以内。测试表明，该RRU下行误差向量幅度（Error Vector Magnitude，EVM）小于3%，优于3GPP要求的8%；10 MHz带宽时上行接收机灵敏度优于3GPP要求的-93.5 dBm。     

The Short-Selling Hypothesis of Weekend Effect and T + 1 Trading Mechanism

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets - Utilizing a difference-in-difference regression model, we conduct cross-sectional and time-series analysis to explore effect of short sales on the weekend effect in...     

国有商业银行经营绩效的超产权理论分析

超产权论在产权制度改革的基础上提出了竞争和市场结构对企业治理机制改善的作用.我们把超产权理论的企业产权、竞争、治理机制与绩效相互关系模型引入国有商业银行中,建立市场竞争状态下国有商业银行产权、竞争、治理机制和绩效的理论模型.要提高国有商业银行的经营绩效,构建竞争性的银行体系是关键;竞争绩效的产生还有赖于市场的完善和市场得以有序运作的制度结构的建立与完善.     

多媒体与体育教学

传统体育教学模式有许多弊端。多媒体有鲜明的图像和生动的画面，利用其作为手段对提高教学的效果非常明显。体育课可以采用室内外相结合的教学模式。还可以利用互联网来增进师生间的沟通。     

Fiscal decentralization, revenue and expenditure assignments, and growth in China

Theory suggests that a close match between revenue and expenditure assignments at sub-national levels benefits allocative efficiency, and hence economic growth. That is, a convergence of revenue and expenditure assignments at sub-national levels of government should, according to the theory, be positively associated with a higher growth rate. In the case of China, this paper shows, divergence, rather than convergence, in revenue and expenditures at the sub-national level of government is associated with higher rates of growth. A panel dataset for 30 provinces in China is used to examine the relationship between fiscal decentralization and economic growth over two phases of fiscal decentralization in China: (1) 1979–1993 under the fiscal contract system, and (2) 1994–1999 under the tax assignment system. The seeming contradiction between the theory and evidence in the China case is reconciled by taking into account the institutional arrangements that prevailed during the two phases of fiscal decentralization, in particular the inconsistency between the assumptions of the theory of fiscal decentralization and the institutional reality of China.     

广西农村居民消费结构数量分析

在对居民消费结构进行定量研究中,扩展线性支出系统模型被广泛采用.运用扩展线性支出系统模型对广西农村居民的消费结构进行数量分析表明：广西农村居民的恩格尔系数呈现明显下降态势,广西农村居民总的边际消费倾向为0.625,广西农村居民各项需求的收入弹性均为正值,说明随着收入水平的提高,需求量随之增加.总之,目前广西农村居民消费水平低下,消费结构不合理.     

食用菌无公害、经济型保鲜技术研究进展

该文从食用菌保鲜的机理出发,对各种保鲜技术从有无公害、是否经济有效的角度进行了对比研究,以求得到既经济有效又无残留的食用菌保鲜技术,并对无公害食用菌发展的前景进行了分析。