深化改革，构建适应“三农”特点的农村金融体系

文章分析了现有农村金融体系存在的缺陷，提出了应如何构建适应“三农”特点的农村金融体系以及构建新型农村金融体系的主要原则。     

基于VAR的RAROC指标评估证券投资基金绩效——实证分析

秉承风险调整收益的理念,将基于VAR构建的RAROC指标用于中国的基金业。在实证过程中对所涉及的相关指标和基金收益率的分布形态等分别进行计算和检验,主要结论是,基金投资组合的非系统性风险没有充分化解;大多数的基金收益率分布形态呈尖峰和右偏,不严格服从正态分布。     

Maintaining a Reputation for Consistently Beating Earnings Expectations and the Slippery Slope to Earnings Manipulation

This paper investigates whether maintaining a reputation for consistently beating analysts' earnings expectations can motivate executives to move from “within GAAP” earnings management to “outside of GAAP” earnings manipulation. We analyze firms subject to SEC enforcement actions and find that these firms consistently beat analysts' quarterly earnings forecasts in the three years prior to the manipulation period and continue to do so by smaller “beats” during the manipulation period. We find that manipulating firms beat expectations around 86 percent of the time in the 12 quarters prior to the manipulation period (versus 75 percent for control firms) and that manipulation often ends with a miss in expectations. We document that executives of manipulating firms face strong stock market and CEO pressure to perform. Prior to the manipulation period, these firms have high analyst optimism, growing institutional interest, and high market valuations, along with powerful CEOs. Further, we find that maintaining a reputation for beating expectations is more important than CEO overconfidence and is incremental to CEO equity incentives for explaining manipulation. Our results suggest that pressure to maintain a reputation for beating analysts' expectations can encourage aggressive accounting and, ultimately, earnings manipulation.     

区域合作的制度基础:跨界治理理论与欧盟经验

区域合作是促进区域协调发展的重要形式。如何克服现有行政区划障碍与解决各合作方经济发展不平衡这“两个难题”是保证合作可持续发展的关键。解决这两个难题不是一个单纯的基于比较优势理论的资源配置或产业分工的问题,而是要建立合作的制度基础。文章尝试从“跨界治理”的视角,借鉴欧盟的跨界治理经验,研究我国区域经济合作的制度基础,提出建立一个符合市场经济原则的跨界治理体系,为推动中国区域经济合作提供一种新的路径参考。     

加强校园文化建设-提高大学生思想政治素质

在经济全球化的大背景下,一些与社会主义、高校育人目标不相容的东西进入校园,给大学生带来了不良影响.这使得高校的思想政治教育日趋紧迫.在加强思想政治教育工作时,不能仅依靠课堂灌输,校园文化在思想政治教育中起着不可替代的作用.要从物质文化、精神文化、制度文化三个方面加强校园文化建设,以辅助思想政治教育,实现高校育人功能.     

“一带一路”背景下人民币国际化路径研究

人民币国际化,即是使人民币成为全球性贸易、融资、结算、投资储备的货币,形成一个完善的人民币离岸市场体系,同时在境外形成人民币股市、期市等市场体系,进行即期、远期等各种业务。“一带一路”建设和人民币国际化进程是我国实施的重要经济发展战略。“一带一路”倡议亦成为人民币在国际化道路上的重要引擎,相反,人民币国际化也能促进“一带一路”倡议的顺利开展,两者互相依托、相辅相成。研究主要基于“一带一路”倡议,分析人民币国际化发展的机遇、面临的挑战及稳步实施的途径。     

活跃因子和杠杆因子表现分析——基于A股市场的多因子资产定价研究

多因子资产定价理论是继CAPM理论之后的重大创新,也是时下资本资产定价研究领域的最新成果。本文搜集整理多因子资产定价理论的相关文献,分析梳理其发展脉络。通过理论探究,引入以市值增长率为代理变量的活跃因子和以资产负债率来衡量的杠杆因子。基于我国A股市场进行Fama-MacBeth横截面和时间序列的回归检验,发现加入活跃因子和杠杆因子后的八因子模型解释能力可以得到进一步的增强,其中活跃因子的表现显著,而杠杆因子对股票超额收益解释能力相对较弱,但仍强于六因子模型中的风格因子。     

政策支持、创业激情与技术创业成功：政策感知的调节作用

为了厘清政策支持对技术创业成功的作用机制,将创业激情作为中介变量、政策感知作为调节变量,构建政策支持影响技术创业成功的理论模型,并结合云南地区291家技术创业企业数据开展实证研究。结果表明：政策支持促进技术创业成功;政策支持通过激发技术创业者创业激情进而促进技术创业成功;政策感知强化政策支持对技术创业成功的正向影响,同时增强政策支持对创业激情的正向影响,对创业激情的中介过程具有调节作用,即在不同水平政策感知下,创业激情的中介效用存在明显差异。     

中小制造企业采购管理模式研究

文章对中小制造企业的内涵进行了界定,从重销售、轻采购、忽视"双赢"等方面分析了中小制造企业采购管理现状及存在的问题;并从构建采购管理组织机构、采购管理信息系统和采购管理模式的保障机制三方面提出了中小制造企业采购管理模式的构建——集中采购管理模式。     

OVERSEAS NETWORK OF EXPORT PROMOTION AGENCY AND EXPORT PERFORMANCE: THE KOREAN CASE

Governments have established export promotion agencies (EPAs) in an effort to boost exports. Despite criticism regarding the effectiveness of EPAs, the policy has not been abandoned and there has been an increasing recognition of the benefits on the basis of economic justification, including market failures. Such policies must be based strictly on evidence. Are EPAs truly crucial for export success? Some have argued that export success in Korea has been due largely to government policies targeted at the promotion of exports. This paper demonstrates that the network of EPA offices abroad has been a critical factor in the success of Korea's exports. An increase of 10% in the budget of EPA's overseas offices has been shown to increase exports by 2.45%–6.34%. The findings of this paper present a clear rationale for government intervention. (JEL F10, F14)