SEARCH UNEMPLOYMENT AND THE EFFECT OF AGGREGATE DEMAND POLICY: A DUAL LABOR MARKETS ANALYSIS

This paper examines the role of aggregate demand policy affecting unemployment under a model of dual labor markets. Recently, some papers have considered the sources of unemployment in OECD countries and have stressed the role of aggregate demand policy in reducing it. However, there exists the argument that aggregate demand policy may have an adverse effect on unemployment. Therefore, in this paper, we will consider in what situations aggregate demand policy has such an effect on unemployment, and propose an analysis of its microfoundation.     

Firm Heterogeneity and FDI in Distribution Services

Distribution services play a large role in intermediating production and consumption across borders. Using firm‐level data on Japanese multinationals in wholesale and retail sectors, this study examines FDI decisions of distribution firms for local distribution services at the extensive and intensive margin. Consistent with the model of heterogeneous firms on multinational production, I find that more productive multinationals are more likely than less productive multinationals to enter a larger number of markets, to penetrate less attractive markets and to generate larger sales per each market. While these findings are consistent with previous evidence on manufacturing multinationals, I find some distinctive determinants of FDI in distribution services.     

K-Asymptotics Associated with Deterministic Trends in Integrated and Near-Integrated Processes

Dealing with integrated and near-integrated processes, this paper investigates the validity of regression on deterministic trends of K terms as K becomes large. It is found that the regression tends to be valid in spite of the true process being free from deterministic trends, which implies that the distinction between stochastic and deterministic trends disappears in K -asymptotics of the integrated and near-integrated processes. It is also shown that in K -asymptotics the usual unit root test, based on the model with deterministic trends of K terms, becomes useless against near-integration since the unit root distribution remains unchanged.
JEL Classification Numbers: C12, C15, C22.     

THE HEX GAME THEOREM AND THE ARROW IMPOSSIBILITY THEOREM: THE CASE OF WEAK ORDERS

The Arrow impossibility theorem when individual preferences are weak orders is equivalent to the HEX game theorem. Because Gale showed that the Brouwer fixed point theorem is equivalent to the HEX game theorem, this paper indirectly shows the equivalence of the Brouwer fixed point theorem and the Arrow impossibility theorem. Chichilnisky showed the equivalence of her impossibility theorem and the Brouwer fixed point theorem, and Baryshnikov showed that the impossibility theorem by Chichilnisky and the Arrow impossibility theorem are very similar. Thus, Chichilnisky and Baryshnikov are precedents for the result—linking the Arrow impossibility theorem to a fixed point theorem.     

Timing of trade liberalization

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of trade liberalization on growth and long-run global income inequality using a two-country model of human capital accumulation by credit-constrained households. I show that the timing of trade liberalization is a crucial determinant of its effects on growth. Moreover, I show that the size of the long-run income gap between the two countries depends on the difference in domestic income inequality when they open up to trade. Based on these results, I analyze the effects of redistributive policy within a country. I show that redistribution in one country may increase income per capita of its trading partner if it is undertaken in a steady state, while the opposite is true if the policy is undertaken during transition.     

Asymptotic Expansion Formula of Option Price Under Multifactor Heston Model

The stochastic volatility model of Heston (Rev Financ Stud 6(2):327–343, 1993) has found difficulty in describing some of the important features of implied volatility dynamics, leading to a quest for multifactor extensions as well as the incorporation of time-dependent model parameters. In this paper, an asymptotic expansion approach to the multifactor Heston model with time-dependent parameters is developed. The results of Benhamou et al. (SIAM J Financ Math 1(1):289–325, 2010) are extended and it is shown that the extension to the multifactor model involves an extra expansion term that captures the interaction between variance factors. The expansion formula under constant parameters can be explicitly computed and the incorporation of time-dependent parameters is straightforward under the framework. As illustration, a two-factor model is calibrated to data of index options and variance swaps and it is found that it is possible to distinguish a short-term and long-term variance factor from the implied volatility surface and variance swap rates. Moreover, the two-factor model is able to reproduce the shapes of the implied volatility surface during various market scenarios.     

Heterogeneous multinational firms and productivity gains from falling FDI barriers

This paper quantitatively assesses the impact of falling foreign direct investment (FDI) barriers on individual firms and its implications for intra-industry reallocation and aggregate productivity. We calibrate the firm-heterogeneity model of Eaton et al. (Econometrica 79(5):1453–1498, 2011) to match micro-level data on Japanese multinational firms facing fixed and variable costs of foreign production. We demonstrate that the calibrated model can be used to replicate the entry and sales patterns of Japanese multinationals. Counterfactual simulations show that declining FDI barriers lead to a disproportionate expansion of foreign production by more efficient firms relative to less efficient firms. A hypothetical 20 % reduction in FDI barriers is found to generate up to a 26.8 % improvement in industry-level productivity through global market-share reallocations within the industry. Compared with fixed entry barriers, reallocation effects and productivity gains are larger for a reduction of variable costs of foreign production.