零售企业规模无边界的理论与实证分析--以沃尔玛为例

企业规模理论在企业战略联盟及企业网络化环境下受到质疑，学术界提出了企业无边界理论．零售企业尤其是沃尔玛的快速扩张又提出了另一种无边界理论。这是两种不同性质的无边界理论。就单个企业的边界来说．生产企业和流通企业存在本质的区别．生产企业的资产专用性和技术跳跃所带来的沉没成本制约了生产企业的规模扩张．而流通企业的资产通用性和技术稳定性使流通企业避免了威廉姆森的企业“复制和有选择性控制的不可能性”命题的局限。本文通过沃尔玛的规模扩张的案例．建立影响企业规模因素的模型并进行实证分析．提出了零售企业规模无边界的命题。     

Chinese Walls in German Banks*

Analysts in a bank’s research department cover firms that have no relationship with the bank as well as companies in which the bank has a strategic interest. Officially, banks must establish Chinese Walls around their research departments to allow the analysts to work independently and to avoid the flow of insider information. We examine analyst behavior under long-term bank-firm relationships using ownership data and analysts’ earnings per share forecasts for German companies from 1994 to 2001. We find evidence that is consistent with analysts reconciling their employers’ interests with their own career concerns. They seem to use their information advantage strategically by releasing favorable and thereby more precise reports when the market underestimates earnings. In order not to jeopardize the bank-client relationship, they suppress negative information when the market is too optimistic. Combining situations where the market over- and underestimates earnings, we can replicate the unconditional positive bias in analyst forecasts found in the previous literature. Despite the bias in affiliated analysts’ forecasts, they nonetheless selectively communicate valuable information to investors. *We gratefully acknowledge the contribution of I/B/E/S International Inc. for providing earnings per share forecast data. This data has been provided as part of a broad academic program to encourage earnings expectations research. We thankfully acknowledge financial support from the Austrian National Bank (OeNB) under the Jubil?umsfonds grant number 8523. We thank Werner Antweiler, Michael Halling, Helmut Elsinger, Evelyn Hayden, Greg Hebb, Cornelia Kullmann, Kai Li, Colin Mayer, Stefan Pichler, Duane Seppi, Alex Stomper, Neal Stoghton, Michael Stutzer, Suresh Sundaresan, Yishay Yafeh, Josef Zechner, Christine Zulehner, an anonymous referee, and seminar participants at UBC, the Northern Finance Association meetings, the Western Finance Association meetings, and the European Finance Association meetings for helpful comments and Eva Smolen for excellent research assistance.     

Optimal Security Design and Dynamic Capital Structure in a Continuous-Time Agency Model

We derive the optimal dynamic contract in a continuous‐time principal‐agent setting, and implement it with a capital structure (credit line, long‐term debt, and equity) over which the agent controls the payout policy. While the project's volatility and liquidation cost have little impact on the firm's total debt capacity, they increase the use of credit versus debt. Leverage is nonstationary, and declines with past profitability. The firm may hold a compensating cash balance while borrowing (at a higher rate) through the credit line. Surprisingly, the usual conflicts between debt and equity (asset substitution, strategic default) need not arise.     

我国煤炭输送方式经济性方面的研究工作

煤炭运输方式的经济性问题是制定能源产业政策的基本理论问题之一,为此回顾了我国五十年代以来的部分有关研究工作,对不同时期的部分研究实例从研究方法、技术方案和研究结论三个方面进行了对比分析,揭示了不同研究工作在基本原理方面的一致性和技术方案方面的差异性,以及由此造成的研究结论的异同。     

建设项目设计阶段的投资控制

针对近年来国内建设项目普遍存在“三超”现象，分析了造成严重投资失控问题的主要原因，指出在设计阶段进行投资控制对于全面控制建设项目总投资的重要性。研究了如何运用价值工程、推行优化设计、限额设计和标准设计等方法，达到在设计阶段有效地控制投资的目的。     

新形势下加强水利工程项目管理

针对目前水利工程项目的特点和管理状况，探讨了如何通过发展项目管理公司实现水利工程项目的专业管理，加强水利工程项目管理信息化和项目风险管理，来确保新形势下水利工程项目目标的实现。     

状态方程计算高分子共混物的比体积

基于一个简单的非均核链流体分子热力学模型,采用不同形式的微扰项,可构筑不同形式的高分子共混物系统的状态方程。方程已被应用于关联聚苯乙烯/聚2,6-二甲基苯醚(PS/PPO)、聚苯乙烯/聚乙烯甲醚(PS/PVME)、聚苯乙烯/聚丁二烯(PS/PBD)、聚醚砜/聚氧乙烯(PESP/PEO)等高分子共混物的比体积。结果显示,用一个与温度无关的二元相互作用可调参数可满意关联所选体系的比体积,并可预测所选体系的比体积。     

基于信息流程的军事装备管理系统变革设计

基于信息化战争的到来和信息化军事装备逐渐装备部队的新形势,提出了基于信息流程变革军事装备管理系统的构想,分析了存在的问题,给出了军事装备管理系统整体变革设计的整体框架,并对军事装备管理系统中信息流程、业务流程这两大核心流程的重新设计进行了探讨。     

Trading Costs in Early Securities Markets: The Case of the Berlin Stock Exchange 1880-1910

Based on daily prices (amtliche Kurse) we estimate effective spreads of securities traded at the Berlin Stock Exchange in 1880, 1890, 1900 and 1910. Several extensions of the Roll measure are applied. We find surprisingly tight effective spreads for the historical data, comparable with similar measures of the MDAX and DAX at the end of the 20th century.     

关系和谐≠人 自然 人

人是不能离开关系而存活的,从哲学的维度来看,关系就是人的一种生存状态,为人的生存和发展提供了空间和可能。某种程度上说,关系也就是人类社会的代名词,它内涵有社会属性。当然这些关系是在实践中生成的,并且是和实践同构的关系。关系的本质就是一种动态的和谐,而不是一加一的累积。我们可以从社会化的关系、社会关系以及社会内的关系等角度来认识关系。鉴于现在人类面临着越来越多的严峻挑战,旧有的生存关系的“和谐”状态遭到破坏,全面的属人关系产生了一种失衡和异化。在这新的生存环境之中,怎样去建立一种真正的和谐关系,来体察人在现实生活空间中生存和发展的可能性,是值得我们深思的问题。