对中国电影产业市场环境及营销策略分析

这篇论文是一篇对申国电影产业市场环境及营销策略的分析报告。总共包含了四章。首先第一章对中国电影的发展史进行了简要的回顾;然后,第二章是关于中国电影市场环境在过去二十年间发生的变化的概述;其次,第三章对现阶段中国电影产业应该采取何种市场营销策略以促进其更好地发展进行了深入的分析;最后,第四章将会谈到在加入了WTO之后将会给中国电影产业带来哪些机遇和挑战。 对中国电影产业的发展回顾以及现状分析;揭示目前存在于中国电影产业的问题与面临的挑战;对中国电影产业在未来的发展中应该采取何种市场营销策略以及如何应对外国电影进军中国。市场所带来的影响提出建议和意见。     

Real options and MNE strategies in Asia Pacific

Asia Pacific offers a lot of promising growth opportunities, but it also presents high levels of uncertainty for multinational enterprises (MNEs). In this paper, we introduce real options theory as a theory of investment under uncertainty, and we discuss its implications for MNEs and their strategies with a focus on the emerging economies in Asia Pacific. We suggest that MNEs must recognize the various sources of uncertainty, as well as the various options embedded in their investments, and real options theory can help them structure and design their investments to benefit from uncertainty. In particular, MNEs need to develop the dynamic capabilities of managing real options in their investments to respond to the evolving economic and institutional environment in the region. This paper also provides several implications for policy makers in Asia Pacific to stimulate investment activities in the region and to help their firms venture successfully in the international market place.

A qualitative study of inter-organizational knowledge management in complex products and systems development

Much research has recognized that cross-disciplinary knowledge inputs are necessary to successful product innovation, particularly in complex products and systems (CoPS) development. This paper focuses on developing an exploratory framework for studying how an inter-organizational knowledge management (KM) approach affects the development of CoPS, and exploring how inter-organizational collaboration affects KM within a CoPS context. Based on a review of the literature and in-depth case studies, this paper puts forward some propositions and develops an integrated conceptual model showing the link between the dimensions of inter-organizational KM and the performance of CoPS development. Finally, the implications of the proposed model for inter-organizational KM in a CoPS environment are discussed.     

国际场外衍生品电子交易确认平台发展趋势及启示

交易确认是交易后处理过程中的重要环节,可以通过电话、邮件、传真等人工形式进行,也可以通过电子交易确认平台完成。由于人工确认的不及时可能导致交易失败从而增大交易成本和风险,近年来电子交易确认在国际O T C衍生品市场上得到了广泛的应用。文章梳理和区分了交易确认的概念,回顾了电子确认平台的发展历程,并在此基础上对电子交易确认平台的发展趋势进行了展望。     

Macroeconomic risk and the cross-section of stock returns

We develop a conditional version of the consumption capital asset pricing model (CCAPM) using the conditioning variable from the cointegrating relation among macroeconomic variables (dividend yield, term spread, default spread, and short-term interest rate). Our conditioning variable has a strong power to predict market excess returns in the presence of competing predictive variables. In addition, our conditional CCAPM performs approximately as well as Fama and French’s (1993) three-factor model in explaining the cross-section of the Fama and French 25 size and book-to-market sorted portfolios. Our specification shows that value stocks are riskier than growth stocks in bad times, supporting the risk-based story.     

论语言差异与民族学生学业质量

本文运用文化人类学的研究方法,对影响民族学生学业质量的文化因素进行了深入的研究分析,在此基础上,以文化冲突等相关理论为依据,着重从文化的角度分析影响民族学生学业质量的语言差异因素,并进行理论解释和探讨,提出相关的对策建议。     

Operational risk quantified with spectral risk measures: a refined closed-form approximation

The quantification of operational risk has become an important issue as a result of the new capital charges required by the Basel Capital Accord (Basel II) to cover the potential losses of this type of risk. In this paper, we investigate second-order approximation of operational risk quantified with spectral risk measures (OpSRMs) within the theory of second-order regular variation (2RV) and second-order subexponentiality. The result shows that asymptotically two cases (the fast convergence case and the slow convergence) arise depending on the range of the second-order parameter. We also show that the second-order approximation under 2RV is asymptotically equivalent to the slow convergence case. A number of Monte Carlo simulations for a range of empirically relevant frequency and severity distributions are employed to illustrate the performance of our second-order results. The simulation results indicate that our second-order approximations tend to reduce the estimation errors to a great degree, especially for the fast convergence case, and are able to capture the sub-extremal behavior of OpSRMs better than the first-order approximation. Our asymptotic results have implications for the regulation of financial institutions, and may provide further insights into the measurement and management of operational risk.     

企业家前台化影响企业价值吗？——基于新浪微博的实证证据

互联网时代信息传递成本和沟通成本显著降低。微博作为自媒体的主要代表之一,为企业家从企业的幕后走向台前提供了一条便捷的途径。本文以信息传递理论为基础,利用新浪微博数据,检验了企业家前台化行为对企业价值的影响。实证结果表明:(1)企业家发布微博这一前台化行为有助于提升企业价值。从对价值影响的路径看,企业家微博发布后,企业经营活动现金流增加,系统性风险降低;(2)针对企业家微博进行文本分析,发现企业家微博中个性化微博比例越高、“艾特”人数越多或者微博内容中正向语调比例越高,对企业价值的正向影响越显著;(3)相对于信息不对称程度较低的企业,信息不对称程度较高的企业中企业家更倾向于发布微博。上述实证结果说明自媒体对缓解企业、企业家与投资者之间的信息不对称具有一定作用,为企业家前台化决策及路径选择提供了参考。     

经济政策不确定性、企业现金持有及其价值——基于企业融资约束程度的研究

经济政策不确定性必然对微观企业的行为产生重要影响,本文以2005～2014年中国A股非金融类上市公司年度数据为样本,研究经济政策不确定性对企业现金持有及其价值的影响,并考虑了融资约束在其中的作用.本文发现,经济政策不确定性上升时,企业倾向于增持现金,但此时持有现金的价值会减小,这种效应在企业面临较高的融资约束的情况下更为明显.     

Are analysts’ earnings forecasts more accurate when accompanied by cash flow forecasts?

We examine whether analysts’ earnings forecasts are more accurate when they also issue cash flow forecasts. We find that (i) analysts’ earnings forecasts issued together with cash flow forecasts are more accurate than those not accompanied by cash flow forecasts, and (ii) analysts’ earnings forecasts reflect a better understanding of the implications of current earnings for future earnings when they are accompanied by cash flow forecasts. These results are consistent with analysts adopting a more structured and disciplined approach to forecasting earnings when they also issue cash flow forecasts. Finally, we find that more accurate cash flow forecasts decrease the likelihood of analysts being fired, suggesting that cash flow forecast accuracy is relevant to analysts’ career outcomes.