为"十一五"规划开好局、起好步奠定坚实的基础--当前经济形势及下一步经济工作重点

今年以来,全国上下围绕全面建设小康社会的宏伟目标,积极落实科学发展观,认真贯彻加强和改善宏观调控的各项政策措施,经济运行继续朝着宏观调控的预期方向发展,国民经济平稳较快增长。国民经济平稳较快增长经济运行出现新的亮点(一)宏观调控要求有所回落的指标继续有所回落一是     

中低层管理人员的培训

时代的飞速发展,对人才的培训提出了越来越高的要求。这是关系到企业组织生存和发展的一项根本性的战略任务。人才是企业的第一资源,培训教育是一种投资,对人要进行终身教育,这一概念已成为普遍共识。世界各国对人才培训、人力资源开发的投资不断增加,培训教育日益法制化与制度     

上市公司年报粉饰行为的动机、手段与识别

上市公司年报粉饰行为的动机主要有:取得上市资格、获得配股资格、防止亏损、侵占股东利益、牟取二级市场暴利、满足经理人员业绩需要等。本文指出上市公司年报粉饰主要靠利润操纵、编制虚假报表、补充公告隐瞒信息等手段,并提出从上市公司的利润构成、年报中虚拟资产项目、现金流量分析、上市公司关联交易事项等方面对上市公司年报粉饰行为进行识别。     

我国生产性服务业中长期发展战略研究

1966年,美国经济学家H.Greenfield最早提出生产性服务业概念,即可用于商品和服务的进一步生产的非最终消费服务.从分类看,国家统计局将生产性服务业分为交通运输、房地产服务、商务服务、金融服务、信息服务和科研等六个行业.需要指出的是,迄今为止,国内外国民经济统计中的生产服务业分类都与理论定义不完全一致,特别是与消费者服务常有交叉,比如,金融服务业,既有面向企业信贷的生产性服务一面,又有面向居民储蓄的消费性服务一面,关键看面向的服务对象是谁.     

Modeling Cyclical Asymmetries in European Imports

This paper applies smooth transition models to capture the nonlinear behavior in the imports data of six major European economies and to assess whether such nonlinearities are related to business cycle asymmetries. Two classes of switch between regimes are considered: endogenously determined transition that assumes nonlinearities are generated by idiosyncratic components specific to foreign trade, and exogenous transition based on GDP growth as a more direct indicator of the cyclical state of the economy. The results support the proposition that the dynamics of imports are nonlinear. In Belgium, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom, regimes change over the business cycle, while in Germany and Italy the switch between regimes is endogenous. National characteristics play a role in defining the position of extreme regimes, the smoothness of the transition, and local dynamics within each state.Previous versions of this article have been presented at the 57th International Atlantic Economic Conference (Lisbon, Portugal, March 10–14, 2004) and at the VII Encuentro de Economía Aplicada (Vigo, Spain, June 3–5, 2004). The authors thank the conference participants and an anonymous referee for their comments.     

Top dominance and the possibility of strategy-proof stable solutions to matching problems

Summary This paper explores the possibility of designing strategy-proof mechanisms yielding satisfactory solutions to the marriage and to the college admissions problem. Our first result is negative. We prove that no strategy-proof mechanism can always choose marriages that are individually rational and Pareto efficient. This strengthens a result by Roth (1982) showing that strategy-proof mechanisms cannot always select stable marriages. The result also applies, a fortiori, to college admissions. Since finding difficulties with strategy-proofness is quite an expected result, we then address a second question which is classical within the incentives literature. Are there restrictions on the preferences of agents under which strategy-proof and stable mechanisms do exist? We identify a nontrivial restriction on the domain of preferences, to be called top dominance, under which there exist strategy-proof and stable mechanisms for both types of matching problems. The mechanisms turn out to be exactly those that derive from the most classical algorithms in the literature; namely, the women's optimal, the men's optimal and the student's optimal. Finally, top dominance is shown to be essentially necessary, as well as sufficient, for the existence of strategy-proof stable matching mechanisms.This work is partially supported by grant PB 89-0294, from the Directión General de Investigatión Ciencia y Tecnología of the Spanish Ministerio de Educación y Ciencia. Salvador Barberà is also grateful to the Instituto de Estudios Fiscales. This research was initiated while both authors were visting GREMAQ, Université des Sciencies Sociales, Toulouse, whose hospitality is gratefully acknowledged. The paper extends results that were circulated as GREMAQ W.P. 91.22.232. We are grateful to Matthew Jackson and Marilda Sotomayor for their comments.     

费孝通先生的第三篇文章：全球化与地方社会

费先生的第三篇文章主要从人类的整体观、技性与人性、文化的共生与文明的对话等视角来讨论全球体系中的中国社会内部的多民族多文化的相处之道以及中国的文化理念和思想如何成为全球化过程中的重要的文化资源。这种讨论,也是全球化与地方社会对应关系经由人类学视角所进行的具体的努力和实践。简言之,中国社会和文化中所积累起来的对异文化理解的精髓与人文精神,一定会为“和而不同”与高科技的全球社会的建立,发挥积极的作用。     

Employment shifts, economic reform and the changes in public/private sector wages in Mexico: 1987–1997

Over the last decade, the public sector in Mexico experienced substantial fiscal reform, divestiture of public enterprises, and the elimination of many regulations affecting pay and employment. This study analyzes the changes in the public/private sector differences in wages during the 1987–1997 period. The results from analyzing microdata from the Encuesta Nacional de Empleo Urbano show that relative public sector wages increased from 1987 to 1997. Most of the relative wage increase in the public sector can be explained by increases in the price of skills and by changes in sorting across sectors. The results have important public policy implications since they suggest that public sector workers earn more and their wages have grown faster than those of their private sector counterparts. As such, policies contemplating public sector reform should take into account the effect of these measures on the inter-sectoral income distribution and the overall economic growth. First version received: April 2000/Final version received: December 2000     

区域层面经济转型的研究

关于经济转型的研究,长期以来为各国的经济学家和社会学家所重视.针对中国正从国家层面经济转型向区域层面经济转型过渡的背景,本文着重从研究区域层面经济转型出发,探讨国内外经济转型的流派和理论范式,再基于区域经济理论来对中外区域层面经济转型进行比较分析,最后为中国区域层面经济转型和区域政策制定提出相应策略.     

开发性金融对西部县域经济发展的支持

县域经济是我国国民经济的微观基础，县域经济的发展状况及发展潜力。对促进西部地区经济社会协调发展，发挥着十分重要的作用。本文通过阐述开发性金融的含义、特征和任务，分析了开发性金融在推动县域经济发展中的地位和作用。并在简要剖析当前制约我国西部县域经济发展的主要金融问题的基础上。结合开发性金融原理，提出了开发性金融支持西部县域经济发展的途径和重点，为进一步加强开发性金融支持西部县域经济发展指明了方向。