Lobbying and tax competition in an oligopolistic industry: a reverse home-market effect

This paper studies tax competition between two asymmetrical countries for an oligopolistic industry with many firms. Each government sets its tax rate strategically to maximize the weighted sum of residents’ welfare and political contributions by owners of firms. It is shown that if the governments care deeply about contributions and trade costs are low, the small country attracts a more than proportionate share of firms by setting a lower tax rate. The well-known home-market effect, which states that countries with a larger market attract a more-than-proportionate share of firms, may be reversed as a result of tax competition by politically interested governments.     

Do collective bargaining institutions crowd out discussion and implementation of firm‐related training programs? Evidence from Japan

The paper empirically examines labor‐management communication concerning in‐house training programs and its relation to the actual on‐ and off‐the‐job training policy and wage structure. Using governmental datasets from Japan, we study how different labor‐management communication institutions may affect the training interests of employers and employees differently. We classify these institutions in terms of whether they have a legal (i.e. statutory) foundation (‘de jure’) or not (‘de facto’). We find that collective bargaining, with legal grounds, may crowd out employees’ willingness to communicate about training. However, the existence of ‘de facto’ communication channels such as joint labor‐management councils or shop floor committees is positively correlated with both on‐ and off‐the‐job of training. At the same time, the existence of unions is positively correlated with the steepness of wage profiles for mid‐career workers, which is consistent with the fact that employers and employees assume a long‐term relationship. Thus, we show that a multi‐tiered structure of labor‐management communication, together with a long‐term orientation toward the employment relationship, contributes to strengthen employees’ voice in training matters.     

Can Allowing to Trade Permits Enhance Welfare in Mixed Oligopoly?

We compare the effects of tradable emission permits (TEP) and non-tradable emission permits (NTEP) in a mixed oligopoly, where public firms and private firms compete in a product market. If all technologies and initial endowments of emission permits are symmetric among public and private firms and if the emission constraint is exogenous and binding, social welfare is greater (resp. smaller) under TEP than under NTEP when the weight of social welfare in each public firm's objective function and the degree of convexity of the production cost function and that of the abatement cost function are small (resp. large).     

Price,quality, and reputation: evidence from an online field experiment

We examine the link between price, quality, seller claims, and seller reputation in Internet auctions. After purchasing actual baseball cards and having them professionally graded, we find that some buyers in the online graded market are misled by incredible claims of quality. They pay higher prices but do not receive better quality and, in fact, are defrauded more often. Online seller reputation is effective for identifying good‐faith sellers. But conditional on completed auctions, reputable sellers do not provide better quality. Evidence also suggests that high‐claim sellers target less‐experienced buyers. We attribute these patterns to two loopholes in the eBay rating system. We benefited from the comments of Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Thomadsen, John Shea, Dan Vincent, David Reiley, Larry Ausubel, Peter Cramton, V. Joseph Hotz, Jeff Smith, Jimmy Chan, Vincent Crawford, Mark Duggan, and attendees at numerous seminars and conferences. We are particularly grateful to Seth Sanders and John List for their constructive advice at the early stage of the research, to Timothy Bresnahan, Rachel Kranton, and Thomas Hubbard for their detailed suggestions in reshaping earlier versions, and to Editor Ariel Pakes and two anonymous referees for their careful readings. Special thanks to eight friends who acted as our agents in purchasing baseball cards in retail markets, and to numerous sports card store owners who shared their insights on the sportscard industry. Excellent research assistance from Randy Alexander Moore and Krzysztof Fizyta is gratefully acknowledged. Any remaining errors are ours.     

The role of uncertainty in the term structure of interest rates: A GARCH-ATSM approach

This article examines the roles of uncertainties regarding various macro-variables in determining risk premiums of bond yields. We develop a multivariate GARCH-VAR to quantify uncertainties regarding inflation, real activities and monetary policy as time-varying conditional variances. We jointly estimate the multivariate GARCH and no-arbitrage bond pricing equations using a maximum likelihood method. The results indicate that the inflation uncertainty is the largest contributor to the dynamics of long-term yields since the 1980s, while the monetary policy uncertainty also plays noticeable roles.     

Prediction in the lognormal regression model with spatial error dependence

In the context of the lognormal regression model with spatial error dependence, the present study examines correction of a bias in prediction. If interest lies in the predicted mean value of the dependent variable, antilogarithmic transformation of the predicted mean value of the regressand produces a bias. In order to correct such a transformation bias, we derive several alternative predictors by extending some of the predictors suggested for the lognormal regression model with spherical disturbances. Behaviors of our predictors are described in a theoretical manner, and their performances are assessed in an experimental manner. Extension of an asymptotically unbiased predictor is shown to be useful.     

A Theoretical Reexamination of Privatization: Assessing its Welfare Impacts

Privatization has been one of the significant public policies adopted in the last two decades. Previous studies have focussed on efficacy gains at the firm and industry levels. This paper intends to reconsider the distributive impacts of privatization on the economy as a whole from a theoretical perspective. Specifically, it supposes an economy with two goods, two producers and two consumers, in which it is assumed that one of the consumers is not able to obtain one good that is regarded as a necessity. Since one basis of government intervention is to provide necessity to people who would not otherwise be able to obtain it, government intervention into production is assumed to satisfy this purpose. Using comparative statics, the paper analyzes how the welfare of two consumers is affected by this intervention, and shows that intervention can increase the welfare of some consumers and social welfare in general.     

The ex-dividend-day behavior of stock prices: the case of Japan

We provide a comprehensive empirical analysis of stock pricebehavior around the ex-dividend day in Japan. We find that pricesrise on the ex-day and that dividend-related tax effects appearto be secondary. Returns around ex-dividend days are dominatedby the proximity of many ex-days to the fiscal year end. Excessreturns of 1 percent, which are independent of any dividend-relatedconsiderations, are higher than round-trip transaction costson medium-sized transactions. Prices seem to imply selling pressurebefore and buying pressure at the start of the new fiscal year.These trading patterns appear to be motivated by intercorporatemanipulative trading around the end of the firms' fiscal year,which are unrelated to dividends.     

The Nature and the Determinants of Labor Market Transitions in Former Socialist Economies: Evidence from Bulgaria

To generate stylized facts on transitions between different labor market states during early transition, panel data for a sample of the registered unemployed in Bulgaria were collected. We find that about 60 percent of the unemployed are long-term unemployed. From logit regressions we find that women who had higher education and had not received unemployment benefits are more likely to be reemployed. For men, these factors are not significant, although participation in a training program is significant.     

A dynamic mobility model of individuals between jurisdictions in a system of local governments

This paper presents a dynamic mobility model in which individuals find incentives to move from one jurisdiction to another when they can enjoy a higher utility level by doing so, and inquires about welfare implications of the final outcome of such dynamic paths. The main conclusions are summarized as follows: (i) The mobility process of individuals is globally stable in the sense that the dynamic paths converge to the steady state equilibrium as time tends to infinity. (ii) There is a possible conflict between the principles of horizontal equity and Pareto optimality in the steady state of the dynamic system.