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171.
While it is often assumed that a country's trade balance will improve in the long-run if its currency is allowed to depreciate, this is not necessarily the case for specific goods. In the short run, the opposite might even take place, as fixed quantities and rising import prices cause the trade balance to deteriorate. In this paper, we apply cointegration methodology to assess the short- and long-run impact of fluctuations in the yen–dollar real exchange rate on Japan's trade balance with the U.S. for 117 industries. We find that depreciation causes the trade balance to improve in the long-run for about one-third of Japanese industries. Most short-run effects are in the same direction, indicating a quick improvement in these industries’ trade balance, rather than a period of deterioration such as a “J-curve.” 相似文献
172.
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Nazif Durmaz 《The journal of international trade & economic development》2017,26(1):25-44
Many of the studies that have tested the Orcutt's hypothesis in trade have used aggregate trade data between one country and rest of the world. Since these studies suffer from aggregation bias, three recent studies have employed data at commodity level and have found relatively more support for the hypothesis. In this paper we test the hypothesis using commodity level data from 54 industries that trade between Turkey and the US. We find support for the notion that trade flows respond to exchange rate changes faster than to relative price changes in one-third of the industries, supporting Orcutt's conjecture. 相似文献
173.
Most recent studies have employed the cointegration technique to investigate the long-run stability of the demand for money. This study considers the case of Korea. It is shown that in the long-run while Ml monetary aggregate is cointegrated with income, interest rate, and the exchange rate, M2 is not. However, results from error correction models reveal that both Ml and M2 have short-run relationship with their determinants. [E41] 相似文献
174.
Michael J. Baker Susan Hart Caroline Black Tawfik M. Abdel‐Mohsen 《Journal of Marketing Management》2013,29(1):39-61
This paper reviews the literature relating to the practice of marketing and its relation to corporate success, examining pertinent concepts and issues. The marketing factors thought to be determinants of success are categorised as attitudinal, strategic and tactical factors, and these provide the framework against which enhanced corporate performance through marketing effort is analysed. The final section of the paper presents a summary of observations on the literature reviewed. 相似文献
175.
Three earlier studies examined the impact of dollar depreciation on bilateral trade between the United States and her six
largest trading partners. They used different methodologies that resulted in different outcomes. In this paper we consider
18 major trading partners of the United States and employ a relatively new method to investigate the short-run as well as
the long-run response of the bilateral trade balance to currency depreciation. While as with previous research we are unable
to discover any J-curve pattern in the short run, in the long run real depreciation of the dollar has favorable effects on
the U.S. trade balance in most cases.
Valuable comments of an anonymous referee are greatly appreciated. Any remaining errors, however, are the authors'. 相似文献
176.
Establishing cointegration and long-run convergence between the official and the black market exchange rates is a way of testing
foreign exchange market efficiency. Earlier research employed the Engle-Granger or Johansen method to test for cointegration
between the two rates. Since either method requires each rate to be non-stationary, exchange rates that did not possess this
property had to be excluded from analysis. However, with the introduction of the bounds testing approach to cointegration,
no exchange rate needs to be excluded since this relatively new technique does not require pre-unit root testing. This paper
employs monthly data from 27 developing countries and the bounds testing approach to cointegration by Pesaran et al. (2001)
to show that in 22 out of 27 countries, not only are the two rates cointegrated but in all countries the black market exchange
rate causes the official rate to adjust and converge toward the black market rate in the long run. 相似文献
177.
In this paper we use the Johansen and Juselius cointegration technique and quarterly data over the period 1979–1993 to test the productivity-bias hypothesis between Korea and four of its major trading partners (Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States). The results show that in all four cases the deviation of purchasing-power parity (PPP) from the equilibrium exchange rate has a long-run relationship with the productivity ratios, supporting the notion that as Korea becomes relatively more productive, the Korean won appreciates in real terms. 相似文献
178.
ABSTRACTPrevious research that assessed the impact of exchange rate changes on the trade balance between the U.S. and U.K. assumed the effects are symmetric. In this paper, we add to the literature on the asymmetric J-curve phenomenon by considering the trade balance of 68 two-digit industries that trade between the two countries. We find short-run asymmetric effects of the real dollar-pound rate in almost all industries. However, short-run asymmetric effects were translated into significant long-run asymmetric effects in 25 industries. Indeed, the asymmetric J-curve hypothesis was supported in 18 industries. 相似文献
179.
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Marzieh Bolhassani Scott W. Hegerty 《The North American Journal of Economics and Finance》2011,22(2):89-101
Mexico has longed served as one of Canada's major trade partner, but the plunging peso has had drastic effects across North America. This study investigates the bilateral trade relationship between Canada and Mexico for 27 individual industries, from 1973 to 2006. Cointegration analysis shows that overall sensitivity to the real exchange rate is weak, but that the trade balances of certain manufacturing industries do indeed improve after a currency depreciation. The “J-curve” effect is present for certain electrical and mechanical industries, suggesting that the recent decline of the peso may currently be having a negative impact on Mexican trade—but that it might eventually be beneficial, particularly for the Machinery and Transport Equipment sector. 相似文献
180.
A new approach to density estimation with fuzzy random variables (FRV) is developed. In this approach, three methods (histogram,
empirical c.d.f., and kernel methods) are extended for density estimation based on α-cuts of FRVs. 相似文献