Geographic concentration and vertical disintegration: Evidence from China

Existing theoretical literature predicts that geographic concentration encourages vertical disintegration of firms. Nevertheless, empirical evidence of this prediction is limited, especially in developing countries. Using data on manufacturing firms from China, this paper documents a positive correlation between geographic concentration and vertical disintegration. Additionally, this paper uses the instrumental variable approach to address the issue of endogeneity and finds that geographic concentration has a positive causal effect on vertical disintegration.     

Hachemeister's Bayesian regression model revisited

Hachemeister's (1975) regression model is discussed from a number of viewpoints including credibility theory, Gauss-Markov theory and the Kalman filter. The last formulation facilitates recursive premium formulae including forecast errors. Recursive estimation of structural parameters is also briefly mentioned and an illustration involving a data set is presented. The paper basically serves to unify a number of recently developed ideas rather than present new results.     

When are adaptive expectations rational? A generalization

This note presents a simple generalization of the adaptive expectations mechanism in which the learning parameter is time variant. Expectations generated in this way minimize mean squared forecast errors for any linear state space model.