稳健货币政策下我国债券市场发展前瞻

2010年底,货币政策由"适度宽松"回归"稳健".债券市场将面临资金面收紧、运行波动加大、发债主体积极性下降、企业潜在违约风险增加等挑战,也将迎来政策环境向好、银行投资需求增加、国际化加快等良好机遇.为应对这一局面,债券发行和监管需要适时进行调整.     

FDI Policy,Greenfield Investment and Cross‐border Mergers

This paper examines a multinational's choice between greenfield investment and cross‐border merger when it enters another country via foreign direct investment (FDI) and faces the host country's FDI policy. Greenfield investment incurs a fixed plant setup cost, whereas the foreign firm obtains only a share of the joint profit from a cross‐border merger under the restriction of the FDI policy. This trade‐off is affected by market demand, cost differential, and market competition, among other things. The host country's government chooses its FDI policy to affect (or alter) the multinational's entry mode to achieve the maximum social welfare for the domestic country. We characterize the conditions shaping the optimal FDI policy and offer intuitions on FDI patterns in developing and developed countries.     

网络环境下地方志资源的开发与利用

互联网的诞生改变了人类的生活方式,也提高了人们的工作效率和能力。互联网环境下,加强地方志资源的开发与利用,将对本地经济发展和社会进步起到积极的推动作用。     

微波溶解离子选择电极法测定轻烧镁中氟含量

建立了使用微波溶解、离子选择电极法测定轻烧镁中氟的方法,重点研究了在对数工作曲线下判断干扰与空白,据以选择正确的试剂和基体匹配,有效消除基体干扰,使测试精度和准确度大大增加。实验表明,微波溶解试样能有效溶解试样,测试结果良好,经过正确的基体匹配可消除测试基体干扰,回收率达到85%-96%,测试方法可用于轻烧镁中低含量氟的快速测定。     

关于信息化系统建设中风险管理的探讨

信息系统项目的建设是复杂的、开放的和多变的,风险的多样性及隐蔽性,需要一种管理方法对各个过程及环节进行有效管理,为此,引入了风险管理,风险管理是现代项目管理与传统项目管理的不同之处。首先,介绍了风险及风险管理的概念;在此基础上,阐述了信息系统项目风险管理的过程框架,提供了风险管理的各个过程及步骤,进一步研究了各个过程及环节的管理方法,分析了风险管理的管理路径,从而避免了信息化系统项目建设过程中风险导致的项目失败,为信息化系统的管理提供了一种新的手段及新的思路。     

新药研发项目的功能价值评价

在对标准普尔评级的10大潜力新药入选原因的分析的基础上,提出明确新药的功能价值分类,同时汇总了四种新药功能价值的评估方法,为价值工程在新药研发中的应用提供了理论支持。目前国内研发实力薄弱、研发投入不断增加,采用功能价值评估,深入挖掘新药功能价值,才能更有效地利用研发投入,实现新药研发形势的稳步改善。     

Firm Characteristics as Determinants of Capital Structures in Australia

This study investigates capital structures of Australian firms in relation to firm characteristics. Using an unbalanced panel of 367 firms observed over a 15‐year period from 1992 to 2006, our panel data regression results show that debt–asset ratio is positively related to asset tangibility but inversely related to growth prospects and business risk measured by unlevered beta of equity. We also find that although levered firms are generally more profitable than unlevered firms, profitability decreases the debt ratio of levered firms. We do not find that firm size affects the capital structure of Australian firms. These results are consistent with the pecking order and the agency cost theories but contradict the trade‐off theory.     

对强化新疆公众金融服务的思考

现代市场经济中,公众享受优质的金融服务十分必要与迫切,而位于祖国西部的新疆公众金融服务却进展缓慢。本文在调查了解新疆公众金融服务的基础上,剖析了公众金融服务中存在的主要问题及成因,并提出了相应的对策建议。     

Technology Transfer and the South's Participation in an International Environmental Agreement*

We develop a North–South model of international trade and transboundary pollution to analyze the relationship between environmental technology transfer and the South's incentive to join an international environmental agreement (IEA). We find necessary and sufficient conditions under which technology transfer will increase the South's incentive to join the IEA. We also find necessary and sufficient conditions under which the South's participation in the IEA will increase the market incentive for technology transfer. Results have clear policy implications for (i) the sequence of technology transfer and the South's IEA membership, and (ii) the legitimacy of the South's subsidies for technology transfer.     

基于SAS的调整人群归因危险度评估法在口岸流行病学调查中的应用研究

[目的]探索调整人群归因危险度评估法在口岸流行病学调查中的应用。[方法]基于回归模型的调整RR估计加入到PAR估计中,以一整套公式计算调整控制一个或多个变量后的PAR指标,评估多因素影响的口岸流行病发生频率及控制效果,并采用国际权威的统计分析标准软件SAS分析平台进行编程实现。[结果]以宁波口岸某病流行病学调查资料为数据源,对与该病相关的四种风险影响因素由计算机分别自动计算调整人群归因危险度,在校正其他三种因素的基础上,评估每种风险因素所致的危害程度,结果为风险因素A所致的危害占11.8%,风险因素B占30.8%,风险因素C占15.9%,风险因素D占38.2%。[结论]调整人群归因危险度能够评估导致口岸传染病流行风险因素的单独效应,可作为评价流行病发生与控制效果的有效评估方法。