An empirical note about estimation and forecasting Latin American Forex returns volatility: the role of long memory and random level shifts components

Portuguese Economic Journal - A set of RLS-type models with ARMA and ARFIMA dynamics is estimated and compared in a forecasting exercise with ARFIMA, GARCH and FIGARCH models. It is an extension of...     

The Performance of Service Industries in Canada: A Real Value Analysis

The performance of service industries in Canada has been lower than that of good industries over the last four decades, with noticeable exceptions such as for railways and telecommunication carriers. Service industries were less economically (and technically) efficient in that they generated less output value (quantity) per hour worked (level and growth) or per combined unit of labour and capital (multifactor productivity growth) than good industries. The relative output price of services declined slightly over time compared with goods. At the disaggregated level, changing relative output prices were substantial and proved to be an important factor explaining the relative satisfactory economic performance of many service industries despite their low technical performance. Nevertheless, the output share of service industries increased over that period, sustained, mainly, by the growing recourse of all firms to outsourcing of services.     

The Dynamics of Productivity: A Decompostion Approach Using Distribution Functions

In this paper we use a micro panel data set of Spanish manufacturing firms to measure the contributions of continuing firms and turnover to total factor productivity growth over the period 1990–1997. The paper proposes an approach to the decomposition of productivity growth that is based on the estimation of productivity distributions. We characterize the dynamics of productivity distributions defining counterfactual distributions and using non-parametric methods. The results we obtain indicate that incumbent firms are the main factor contributing to the change in the productivity distribution. Net entry contributes positively to TFP growth. Finally, changes in the relative weights of incumbent, entering and exiting firms produce a counter-cyclical movement of productivity.     

从南京爱立信"倒戈"事件看我国国际保理业务的发展

国际保理业务作为一项综合性售后服务业务,在当今世界贸易的发展中发挥着日益重要的作用,而我国企业目前对国际保理这种新兴的金融服务方式的了解和使用还非常有限.应统一认识,加大对国际保理业务的宣传,积极参与国际保理业务的运作,加强保理业务的立法研究,培养一支高素质的从业人员队伍.     

Codes of Conduct in Subcontracting Networks: A Labour Law Perspective

In the past ten years, many European companies organised into subcontracting networks have decided to adopt codes of conduct to regulate labour relations and to ensure the respect of fundamental social rights. This paper first determines the context and the issues to be addressed by codes of conduct within networks of companies, and second analyses the terms under which they can be implemented. The paper argues that codes of conduct can complement the standards developed by States, the European Union or the social partners, but that steps should be taken in order to avoid that these texts replace the existing labour law.     

布列塔尼的微笑

三位来自中国山东的摄影家,虽然离开法国布列塔尼大区已有一个月之久了,但他们却依然感到布列塔尼人民所给予他们的友好情谊时时环绕在身边,让·比尔、雅克琳娜、苏蒂芬、妮可儿、大卫……一个个热情、真诚的面容时时浮现在眼前,布列塔尼的微笑已经永远印在了中国摄影家们心中的底片上。     

知识经济的本质特征及对我国发展机遇的思考

本文在解析知识经济本质特征的基础上,分析了知识经济对我国发展带来的机遇和挑战,提出我国实施知识发展战略,应对知识经济挑战的必要性和具体途径,最后从增强吸收知识、获取知识、交流知识能力三方面提出了相关的政策建议。     

VE在油田开发中的应用

孤岛采油厂历经30多年的开发,已处于特高含水期产量递减阶段。由于新井产量受到自然资源和投资的限制是有限的,要减缓原油产量的递减,依靠的是大量增产措施的投入,而每项措施的实施需要耗费几万元到几十万元的费用。所以,引起开发后期油田成本上升的主要原因是油田增产措施难度加大,投入相应增加。为此,我们引入VE原理,科学实施增产措施工作量,达到了降低作业成本,提高增油效果的目的。