Bank Structure Conference Impact Study

The first Conference on Bank Structure and Competition was held at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in 1963. Since that time, the Conference has served to stimulate and disseminate policy relevant research on issues affecting the financial services industry and as a forum for debating the relevant policy issues of the day. We evaluate the impact of the Conference on public policy and the banking and finance literature. We provide a qualitative argument that the Conference has helped promote policy change by showing that major financial reforms were typically discussed years earlier at the Conference. We then analyze data from the Social Science Citation Index and find that the Conference has had a strong and systematic impact on the banking and finance literature.     

FROM SMILE ASYMPTOTICS TO MARKET RISK MEASURES

The left tail of the implied volatility skew, coming from quotes on out‐of‐the‐money put options, can be thought to reflect the market's assessment of the risk of a huge drop in stock prices. We analyze how this market information can be integrated into the theoretical framework of convex monetary measures of risk. In particular, we make use of indifference pricing by dynamic convex risk measures, which are given as solutions of backward stochastic differential equations, to establish a link between these two approaches to risk measurement. We derive a characterization of the implied volatility in terms of the solution of a nonlinear partial differential equation and provide a small time‐to‐maturity expansion and numerical solutions. This procedure allows to choose convex risk measures in a conveniently parameterized class, distorted entropic dynamic risk measures, which we introduce here, such that the asymptotic volatility skew under indifference pricing can be matched with the market skew. We demonstrate this in a calibration exercise to market implied volatility data.     

Stefano Battilossi,Youssef Cassis,and Kazuhiko Yago (eds.): Review of Handbook of the history of money and currency

Business Economics -     

RISK DIFFERENCES AND FINANCIAL REPORTING

Financial leverage as reported by a consolidated financial statement may differ substantially from leverage for the parent company. To assess the financial risk for the parent (not the consolidated entity), employing consolidated data is hazardous; the problem is magnified by the fact that virtually all firms report only consolidated data. Consolidated leverage almost always equals or exceeds parent leverage for a wholly owned subsidiary, and many firms reporting only consolidated data have betas significantly greater than otherwise comparable firms that report both consolidated and parent company information.     

Establishing standards for intranet on-line education

Following a clear set of on-line programming standards assists educators with consistency the training expectations from participants. Placing staff educational materials and health information online is an effective way to disseminate information and an efficient method of providing ongoing staff education. The presentation of on-line programming should be organized, comprehensive, and up-to-date. In addition, on-line programming should also be appealing, dynamic, and, above all practical. Today's clinical staff are pushed to the limits of time and resources. On-line training is one way to help staff meet their learning needs in today's reality. The inception of the UWMF on-line educational programs began in January 2002. Since that date employee participation has increased steadily. The time for Intranet on-line program development is part of the staff education department. For example, one area of programming is the mandatory educational credits needed for the organizations 100 certified medical assistants (CMAs). Figure 1 shows the nearly 3.5 years (January 2002 through May 2005) of participation. The 912 sessions made available 1,870 CEs for the CMAs. If the organization's CMAs were to pay for the continuing education credits (CEs) outside of the clinic setting, it could cost on average of dollar 10.00 per CE, or dollar 18,700 during the same 3-year period. Another aspect of economics is the cost in time away from work. On-line education allows employees to participate when time is available, versus having to leave work when traditional educational inservices are being held. This flexibility in participation can lead to better staff coverage.     

Pricing the commonality across alternative measures of liquidity

We estimate latent factor models of liquidity, aggregated across various liquidity measures. Shocks to assets’ liquidity have a common component across measures which accounts for most of the explained variation in individual liquidity measures. We find that across-measure systematic liquidity is a priced factor while within-measure systematic liquidity does not exhibit additional pricing information. Controlling for across-measure systematic liquidity risk, there is some evidence that liquidity, as a characteristic of assets, is priced in the cross-section. Our results are robust to the inclusion of other equity characteristics and risk factors, such as market capitalization, book-to-market, and momentum.     

Seasonality in the cross-section of stock returns

This paper presents a new pattern in the cross-section of expected stock returns. Stocks tend to have relatively high (or low) returns every year in the same calendar month. We recognize the annual cross-sectional autocorrelation pattern documented in Jegadeesh [1990. Evidence of predictable behavior of security returns. Journal of Finance 45, 881–898] at lags of 12, 24, and 36 months as part of a general pattern that lasts up to 20 annual lags, superimposed on the general momentum/reversal patterns. This pattern explains an economically and statistically significant magnitude of the cross-sectional variation in average stock returns. Volume and volatility exhibit similar seasonal patterns but they do not explain the seasonality in returns. The pattern is independent of size, industry, earnings announcements, dividends, and fiscal year. The results are consistent with the existence of a persistent seasonal effect in stock returns.     

The divergence of liquidity commonality in the cross-section of stocks

This paper demonstrates that the cross-sectional variation of liquidity commonality has increased over the period 1963–2005. The divergence of systematic liquidity can be explained by patterns in institutional ownership over the sample period. We document that our findings are associated with similar patterns in systematic risk. Our analysis also indicates that the ability to diversify systematic risk and aggregate liquidity shocks by holding large-cap stocks has declined. The evidence suggests that the fragility of the US equity market to unanticipated events has increased over the past few decades.     

Welfare Policy in the Presence of Unionised Labour and Internationally Mobile Firms*

To what extent does the welfare state exacerbate the loss of jobs due to offshoring? We consider a model with oligopolistic sectors that are exposed to offshoring, as well as a unionised labour force that is entitled to unemployment benefits. We find that deeper economic integration induces wage moderation to the point that wages become independent of workers' outside options. Because the entire incidence of redistribution falls on net wages, the unions' willingness to moderate wages is constrained by the level of redistribution. Beyond an upper limit of redistribution, extending the welfare state compels unions to oppose wage moderation at the cost of losing jobs to offshoring. Below that upper limit, however, redistribution becomes less rather than more distortive.